ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm Kind of excited about that trough. Most models show it Yeah it actually rotates south with time and perhaps might get some mild enhancement near the Cape with those colder 850 temps. Wouldn't shock me to see an inch or two of fluff at the end there. Of course, its a fickle setup so it could just be flurries too, but something to watch at any rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm going for a final call of 8-12" here IMBY. Maybe just to the NW of you over toward Dracut or Merrimack, NH pulls off a 13-14" amount. Same. Definitely a fan of latitudinal rather than longitudinal gradients. Well, except for EMA specials of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 FWIW here is the NAM clown map. I still say Woodford Vt will be the jackpot here- a real stretch I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Yeah it actually rotates south with time and perhaps might get some mild enhancement near the Cape with those colder 850 temps. Wouldn't shock me to see an inch or two of fluff at the end there. Of course, its a fickle setup so it could just be flurries too, but something to watch at any rate. First part usually disappoints this close to the water. That second part is interesting, we can do suprisingly well with those but it's so fickle. What's your take on the gfs around Plymouth? 4-6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 First part usually disappoints this close to the water. That second part is interesting, we can do suprisingly well with those but it's so fickle. What's your take on the gfs around Plymouth? 4-6"? Yeah...I think its fairly reasonable as a forecast right now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 i'll be in the 8-10 inch range..Feel very confident in that. I'd like to be in Hunchback's yard for this one Creepy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm Kind of excited about that trough. Most models show it And for a few runs, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Holy pike-gradient on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Yeah...I think its fairly reasonable as a forecast right now too. Sounds good. Average for these events is maybe 3-4", good performers 5-6. Hoping to fall somewhere in the middle with this. Nam is worrying but there are more times when it's stubbornly warm and wrong than right in these situations. Once it ingests the warmth into a solution it doesn't seem to be able to shake it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Holy pike-gradient on the NAM. In attempting to allow myself to assume the NAM is too warm, I remind myself of previous storms where it was the NW and west outlier offering me hope when no ptype issue was in play, and lo, for I am peaceful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 In attempting to allow myself to assume the NAM is too warm, I remind myself of previous storms where it was the NW and west outlier offering me hope when no ptype issue was in play, and lo, for I am peaceful. Yes, its def. too warm, but I do think Box is too heavy s of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Accuweather has me as 3-6" here in Smithfield RI. That would be a bummer when the lowest I heard was 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ukie..is cold..Colder than any of the other 12z guidance. Good signal Euro will follow suit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 In attempting to allow myself to assume the NAM is too warm, I remind myself of previous storms where it was the NW and west outlier offering me hope when no ptype issue was in play, and lo, for I am peaceful. Amen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just saw a weatherbell GFS map for snowfall thru next Tuesday... lol 26.8" IMBY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 What the heck is with the 12z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think the 12z NAM is right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think the 12z NAM is right! lol, Everyone is hugging a different model for there BY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ahh yes...the subtle commenting on models for their backyard and masking the hope that they are right..lol. Honestly, you can't ask for more of an overall regional blanket of snow like this storm will give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Wow the NAM is hideous. Almost entirely sleet and freezing rain even to the Massachusetts border. Basically no snow for CT!i hate this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ahh yes...the subtle commenting on models for their backyard and masking the hope that they are right..lol. Honestly, you can't ask for more of an overall regional blanket of snow like this storm will give. Exactly, It would be great if we had these all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 lol, Everyone is hugging a different model for there BY Ha you know me well enough...I ride the model that gives me the least snow. Conservative all the way. I'll eat my hat and videotape it if the NAM is correct with .75" melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I am pumped to finally be in a position to jackpot...hopefully it works out that way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ahh yes...the subtle commenting on models for their backyard and masking the hope that they are right..lol. Honestly, you can't ask for more of an overall regional blanket of snow like this storm will give. Yeah there's going to be a pretty large region of 6"+ in this. Prob from a bit north ofthe south coast all the way into NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ahh yes...the subtle commenting on models for their backyard and masking the hope that they are right..lol. supreme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ahh yes...the subtle commenting on models for their backyard and masking the hope that they are right..lol. Honestly, you can't ask for more of an overall regional blanket of snow like this storm will give. Che Guervera, spreads the wealth. Man it's about as gorgeous today as it can get. What a great run of winter about to evolve. Not discounting the cold either. Huge piles incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ha you know me well enough...I ride the model that gives me the least snow. Conservative all the way. I'll eat my hat and videotape it if the NAM is correct with .75" melted. Not happening lol. I could see 0.50" though...solid 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not happening lol. I could see 0.50" though...solid 4-8" Are you forecasting for VTRANS tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This storm is cold storm like the last storm . Storm will colder than what some models show for the area. With heavy snow for inland ct area and inland ny area . With totals snowfall 8---14 inches for inland areas . southern ct area 4-8 inches with lots of ice near 1-95 area . new york city area 4-6 inches with icestorm . Inland are nj snow then ice totals snowfall 4-8 inches . Watch models on 18 z runs trend colder once they might see or not see the snow on the ground which will keep the storm colder than what models show for this storm . Models dont see the snow on the ground and there is high to the north of the area. low is reforming off the nj coast area . Plus low could form faster than what models show to which storms have been colder than models show this winter . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ahh yes...the subtle commenting on models for their backyard and masking the hope that they are right..lol. Honestly, you can't ask for more of an overall regional blanket of snow like this storm will give. A few quick comments on this: 1.] How dare you B.] I can ask for whatever I want 4.] I mask nothing. I am from the Veruca Salt school of greed when it comes to snow. QPF Queen, ZR Czarina, jackpot fetishist, powder bomb power bottom ... whatever kitschy name feels right, go for it. We wants the redhead. VIII.] For real tho the NAM is 2 warm rite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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