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February 5th beefed up swfe thread-let's get some December 2007 juju,

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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New Englander

New Englander

Posted
Posted

Leon dominating! 2/11/94 was just great and Ray said earlier they were way south of the Pike specials. Everyone is sick of hearing it but when I read the bumped Miller thread all I could think of was 94, overrunning, swfe, Miller B, just look at tonight's GFS porn

I will not forget those either. I was talking with someone about that Feb 94 run a bit earlier.

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thomasnh

thomasnh

Posted
Posted

I like what our met is saying which is 4-8 inches, that way if this doesn't produce then not dissapointed. I personally think that we get about 6 inches which is great!  I hope NNE and ME get the 10+ they so deserve it.  With the the way this has moved NW you just may get it.

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Chrisrotary12

Chrisrotary12

Posted
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I haven't seen the 00z Euro, but this is my initial thoughts for Wednesday.  I do think that mixing will be an issue across much of Connecticut and there could be some pretty good sleet accumulations down there.  But this comes after a pretty good initial thump of snow which is why they fall in the 5-8" range.

2-5-snowfall.png?w=540&h=647

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

I haven't seen the 00z Euro, but this is my initial thoughts for Wednesday.  I do think that mixing will be an issue across much of Connecticut and there could be some pretty good sleet accumulations down there.  But this comes after a pretty good initial thump of snow which is why they fall in the 5-8" range.

2-5-snowfall.png?w=540&h=647

Pretty much what the Euro has
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SnowGoose69

SnowGoose69

Posted
Posted

I haven't seen the 00z Euro, but this is my initial thoughts for Wednesday.  I do think that mixing will be an issue across much of Connecticut and there could be some pretty good sleet accumulations down there.  But this comes after a pretty good initial thump of snow which is why they fall in the 5-8" range.

2-5-snowfall.png?w=540&h=647

 

I think pounding the sleet drum for S CT on south is a good idea, the Euro may be suffering the worst in underestimating the mid-level WAA...I would not be surprised if alot of places from there south were snow for an hour or two and then sleet for 5-6 hours thereafter...the thermal profile in extreme SRN NE (mostly SRN CT) is dangerously close to isothermal 0C in significant layers which means if the model is even 1 degree too cold its gonna be pinging hard.

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HailMan06

HailMan06

Posted
Posted

i expect mixing in this set up but these things rarely produce more than four or five inches of snow around here so i am very weary of an 8 inch forecast...watching nyc and much of s ct get creamed again today is getting to be brutal though....

My area in north-central Jersey may have some big problems with the icing potential.
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wxsniss

wxsniss

Posted
Posted

Warnings up, general 8-12 with lollis to 14. More aggressive for MA than I expected given northward ticks in 0z suite.

 

BOX leaning towards colder EC profiles

All snow north of IJD-PVD-PYM

 

Surprised 10-14 dips into CT, would have expected a more N-S distribution with WAA...

 

Also, looks like a really, really long-duration event lol:

"Overall believe that snow...heavy at times will fall across the much of the region late Wednesday night and into Tuesday." 

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