February 5th beefed up swfe thread-let's get some December 2007 juju,

[ORH_wxman]

What would another se shift by 75 look like for him

 

 

Shift the jackpot south of him...but I'm not sure why you would be worried about whiffing on QPF on a SWFE where there is still guidance that has it north of you.

 

Obviously there is still uncertainty at 96h, but I would be fairly surprised if this just kept going S and didn't wobble back N

[moneypitmike]

You are pretty much near the jackpot on the Euro/esn.

 

And a whole lot less if it continues to shift southward......I don't expect it will, mind you.  But, this has not been a GC winter this year, so I'm a bit jaded.  You're looking great in ORH, though.  Should do well barring anything dramatic.

 

34.8/27

[SnowMan]

Birthday week, new moon week, the stars are aligned.

Ha - my birthday week too. Looks to be good.

[dendrite]

GFS should be a little SE again.

[weathafella]

I ran this one from the basement.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah a bit SE.

[weathafella]

Lol....verbatim a foot for me.

[Ginx snewx]

Lol....verbatim a foot for me.

crushed

[TalcottWx]

I ran this one from the basement.

God, I hope it keeps heading south. Maybe it won't even end up being a SWFE lol

[Ginx snewx]

God, I hope it keeps heading south. Maybe it won't even end up being a SWFE lol

I think its trending the way of Miller time, shot hour

[Boston Bulldog]

Would a Miller B produce the same amount of snow in the ski areas as a SWFE would?

[powderfreak]

Decent tick SE... but at least it keeps the H5 and H7 low pressure areas to the NW.  That means there's still some hope for up here, haha.

[powderfreak]

Would a Miller B produce the same amount of snow in the ski areas as a SWFE would?

 

Probably not, unless you are talking like Berkshires and WaWa ski area.  The bulk of the major resorts would be a lighter fare event.

[Damage In Tolland]

10-16 for the whole region it seems on this run

[moneypitmike]

Congrats Jerry and Scooter.  18z = less than good trending for GC

[dendrite]

Nice hit up here with the lingering mid-level fun.

[SnowMan]

Congrats Jerry and Scooter. 18z = less than good trending for GC

What?

[N. OF PIKE]

GFS should be a little SE again.

AJT

[powderfreak]

10-16 for the whole region it seems on this run

 

Congrats...that's one helluva thump to get those amounts in a 8-12 hour snowfall.

[ORH_wxman]

Congrats Jerry and Scooter.  18z = less than good trending for GC

 

Stop. There isn't much difference between you and BOS in a system like this...its more latitude and not longitude gradients. I'm sure you did just fine in 12/19/08, 12/13/07, 12/16/07, etc...in fact, I already know you did.

 

Its possible it trends in an absolutely perfect spot where BOS somehow gets 10" and you get 5"...but that woul dbe very difficult in this setup.

[Ginx snewx]

Congrats Jerry and Scooter.  18z = less than good trending for GC

say what?

[powderfreak]

Congrats Jerry and Scooter.  18z = less than good trending for GC

 

I'll trade positions with you for this one in a heartbeat as modeled now... you're a solid warning criteria snow there, lol.

[free_man]

I'll trade positions with you for this one in a heartbeat as modeled now... you're a solid warning criteria snow there, lol.

Yeah, actually a little more offshore and MPM/myself etc. will catch more of the mid-level stuff Dendrite spoke of.  Not bad.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I think its trending the way of Miller time, shot hour

Its also becoming a little less impressive as it trends se, as the vort is a little more sheared, hence the more s track....but that is nitpicking.

Point is, I don't think that there will be widespread amounts of over 1'.

[dendrite]

Stop. There isn't much difference between you and BOS in a system like this...its more latitude and not longitude gradients. I'm sure you did just fine in 12/19/08, 12/13/07, 12/16/07, etc...in fact, I already know you did.

 

Its possible it trends in an absolutely perfect spot where BOS somehow gets 10" and you get 5"...but that woul dbe very difficult in this setup.

Don't get sucked into the EV. (eeyore vortex)

[N. OF PIKE]

Its also becoming a little less impressive as it trends se, as the vort is a little more sheared, hence the more s track....but that is nitpicking.

Point is, I don't think that there will be widespread amounts of over 1'.

Yup 6-10 is prob good place to start

[40/70 Benchmark]

Yup 6-10 is prob good place to start

Yea, and end, most likely.

[Damage In Tolland]

Congrats...that's one helluva thump to get those amounts in a 8-12 hour snowfall.

It starts after midnight Tuesday in Sne and it's still going into Wed evening..later in ENE

[Ginx snewx]

Tsnow sigs on soundings, wall of snow stuff, if Euro and Ens are correct the swfe climo stuff is moot.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Yeah this system is about as close to a slam dunk for a snowday as your going to get Wednesday. That is, if it stays about as modeled right now (unlikely)

Man even in college, still something special about a snowday lol