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February 5th beefed up swfe thread-let's get some December 2007 juju,

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Ugh..despise that storm, but I understand how good it was for VT.

Note even close to this storm...maybe evolution but that was progged to hit VT like last Feb blizzard in CT and it did...ie 6-hr QPF of like 1" and totals nearing 3" QPF across a lot of the state. This isn't anywhere close to that juicy anywhere...though I don't know what CIPS analogs measure.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Note even close to this storm...maybe evolution but that was progged to hit VT like last Feb blizzard in CT and it did...ie 6-hr QPF of like 1" and totals nearing 3" QPF across a lot of the state. This isn't anywhere close to that juicy anywhere...though I don't know what CIPS analogs measure.

2000 not 2007 is the analog

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

Note even close to this storm...maybe evolution but that was progged to hit VT like last Feb blizzard in CT and it did...ie 6-hr QPF of like 1" and totals nearing 3" QPF across a lot of the state. This isn't anywhere close to that juicy anywhere...though I don't know what CIPS analogs measure.

 

See the other posts. It was VD 2000.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

Note even close to this storm...maybe evolution but that was progged to hit VT like last Feb blizzard in CT and it did...ie 6-hr QPF of like 1" and totals nearing 3" QPF across a lot of the state. This isn't anywhere close to that juicy anywhere...though I don't know what CIPS analogs measure.

Keep on reading the thread. ;)

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

Wow, check out this excerpt  from BOX:

 

IN FACT CIPS ANALOGS LEND SUPPORT AS THE TOP 5 HAVE SUBSTANTIAL 12+

INCH SNOWS NORTH OF THE MASS PIKE ACROSS UPSTATE NY/VT/NH/ME WITH

POTENTIAL ICE IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND /THE TOP ANALOG

PRESENTLY BEING THE VALENTINES DAY STORM OF 2000/

 

I assume that that typo should read "2007"....

I remember that bad Larry like it was yesterday.....the happy zones in n VT and upstate NY saw like 30"+.

 

I assume they are comparing the overall evolution, and efficient moisture transport northward, ....IOW, do't expect 30" :lol:...but damn.

 

Have to wonder whether the faster transfer is lending itself more to a pure Miller B type evolution, as opposed to a 6-10" swfe.

I'll hold off before biting off on any such implications, but damn.....that is a powerful AFD.

 

Ray, I think this is the weeniest post I've ever read from you  Just the mention of 30" in a post (even though you said you don't expect it) merits one.  :)

 

:weenie:

 

SWFE I will take latitude over elevation anytime.

 

This looks good for the Franklin Co crew.  All three of four of us.

 

LOL  We can't tolerate any northward movement, though.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

actually top analog today is 2/3/11

NOUS41 KBOX 031541 CCA
PNSBOX
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-040339-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1039 AM EST THU FEB 03 2011

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE STORM
THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. MOST OF THESE REPORTS INCLUDE
SNOW TOTALS FOR BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE
OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS
SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...HARTFORD COUNTY...
ENFIELD 10.7 1223 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
NORTH GRANBY 10.0 231 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
WINDSOR LOCKS 9.4 100 PM 2/02 BRADLEY AIRPORT
SUFFIELD 8.4 606 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
AVON 7.8 407 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
COLLINSVILLE 7.7 1100 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
BURLINGTON 7.5 1051 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
NEW BRITAIN 7.4 1048 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
SOUTH WINDSOR 7.3 1254 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
WEST HARTFORD 6.5 629 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
WETHERSFIELD 6.5 806 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
GRANBY (2 SW) 5.5 255 PM 2/02 NWS EMPLOYEE

...TOLLAND COUNTY...
SOMERS 10.5 615 AM 2/03
STAFFORD SPRINGS 9.7 1249 PM 2/02
STAFFORDVILLE 9.0 501 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
TOLLAND 8.0 801 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
VERNON 5.8 559 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO

...WINDHAM COUNTY...
ASHFORD 6.5 1009 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
POMFRET 6.3 815 AM 2/02

MASSACHUSETTS

...BARNSTABLE COUNTY...
SANDWICH 2.6 700 AM 2/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

...BRISTOL COUNTY...
NORTH ATTLEBOROUGH 8.5 618 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
MANSFIELD 6.9 143 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
TAUNTON 6.4 700 AM 2/02 NWS OFFICE
DIGHTON 4.8 904 AM 2/02 NWS EMPLOYEE

...ESSEX COUNTY...
GEORGETOWN 16.0 230 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
METHUEN 14.5 948 PM 2/02
TOPSFIELD 13.2 707 AM 2/03
SALEM 12.5 325 PM 2/02 SALEM STATE
NEWBURYPORT 12.5 1035 AM 2/02 CO-OP
NORTH ANDOVER 12.0 1024 PM 2/02
IPSWICH 11.6 837 AM 2/02

...FRANKLIN COUNTY...
SHELBURNE 14.0 446 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
COLRAIN 13.0 623 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
HEATH 12.3 340 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
EAST CHARLEMONT 10.8 1205 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
GREENFIELD 9.5 642 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO

...HAMPDEN COUNTY...
WEST SPRINGFIELD 13.5 525 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
CHICOPEE 13.5 932 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
GRANVILLE 13.0 643 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
SOUTHWICK 11.7 439 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
WESTFIELD 11.7 1100 AM 2/02 MEDIA
LONGMEADOW 11.0 1056 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
EAST LONGMEADOW 10.5 1057 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
BLANDFORD 10.5 715 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
SPRINGFIELD 10.5 933 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
MONSON 10.0 628 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
AMHERST 8.0 514 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO

...HAMPSHIRE COUNTY...
BELCHERTOWN 13.0 640 PM 2/02 HAM RADIO
SOUTH HADLEY 13.0 1020 AM 2/02
CHESTERFIELD 12.5 931 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
WESTHAMPTON 12.4 217 PM 2/02
WARE 11.5 652 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
NORTHAMPTON 11.0 738 AM 2/02
WORTHINGTON 9.5 1200 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
AMHERST 9.2 935 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
ACTON 15.5 655 AM 2/03
TOWNSEND 14.2 400 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
WESTFORD STATION 14.1 1133 PM 2/02
LITTLETON 14.0 1200 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
AYER 14.0 955 PM 2/02
TYNGSBORO 13.7 946 AM 2/03 GENERAL PUBLIC
WINCHESTER 13.2 1201 AM 2/03 HAM RADIO
DRACUT 13.1 1224 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
WILMINGTON 13.0 348 PM 2/02 HAM RADIO
SUDBURY 13.0 742 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
FRAMINGHAM 13.0 214 PM 2/02 HAM RADIO
PEPPERELL 12.7 322 PM 2/02
CARLISLE 12.1 1150 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
CHELMSFORD 12.0 305 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
WAKEFIELD 11.0 1116 AM 2/02
HUDSON 9.5 214 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
NATICK 9.3 1010 AM 2/02 SPOTTER
WESTON 8.6 901 AM 2/02
WAYLAND 8.1 726 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO

...NORFOLK COUNTY...
SOUTH WEYMOUTH 10.0 500 PM 2/02 MEDIA
RANDOLPH 9.8 825 AM 2/02
NORTH WEYMOUTH 9.5 800 PM 2/02 MEDIA
MEDFIELD 9.2 1232 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
NORWOOD 8.7 700 AM 2/02 NWS EMPLOYEE
WALPOLE 8.1 947 AM 2/02

...PLYMOUTH COUNTY...
BROCKTON 9.1 809 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
ROCKLAND 8.5 720 AM 2/02 SPOTTER
PEMBROKE 6.7 844 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
HALIFAX 6.6 922 AM 2/02

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
WEST ROXBURY 10.6 408 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
DORCHESTER 10.4 313 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
EAST BOSTON 10.2 105 PM 2/02 LOGAN AIRPORT
WINTHROP 3.6 1159 PM 2/02

...WORCESTER COUNTY...
NORTH GRAFTON 15.3 124 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
LANCASTER 14.5 621 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
STERLING 14.2 705 AM 2/03 GENERAL PUBLIC
FITCHBURG 13.5 1007 AM 2/02 SPOTTER
BOYLSTON 12.5 1049 PM 2/02
WEST BROOKFIELD 12.5 340 PM 2/02
HUBBARDSTON 12.4 828 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
WESTBOROUGH 12.3 1030 AM 2/03 NWS EMPLOYEE
WORCESTER 12.2 115 PM 2/02 WORCESTER AIRPORT
NORTH BROOKFIELD 11.5 1220 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
MILLBURY 11.4 1142 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
SHREWSBURY 11.0 905 AM 2/02
MILFORD 10.5 1136 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
WESTMINSTER 10.5 743 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
ASHBURNHAM 10.4 410 PM 2/02 CO-OP
LEICESTER 10.0 221 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
ROYALSTON 9.4 1025 AM 2/02 SPOTTER
BLACKSTONE 9.0 1059 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
STURBRIDGE 9.0 844 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
SPENCER 8.9 555 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
SOUTHBRIDGE 4.0 203 PM 2/02

NEW HAMPSHIRE

...CHESHIRE COUNTY...
NELSON 11.3 852 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
TROY 11.0 1225 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
WINCHESTER 10.0 315 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
KEENE 9.8 114 PM 2/02 CO-OP OBSERVER
WALPOLE 7.9 338 PM 2/02
EAST ALSTEAD 6.0 541 AM 2/02

...HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY...
GREENFIELD 16.0 300 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
PETERBOROUGH 14.0 320 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
HUDSON 13.9 414 PM 2/02
BEDFORD 13.5 410 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
SOUTH HUDSON 13.5 1128 PM 2/02
NASHUA 12.6 105 PM 2/02 NWS EMPLOYEE
MERRIMACK 11.0 1129 PM 2/02
MASON 10.5 345 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
PELHAM 10.0 411 PM 2/02 HAM RADIO
GOFFSTOWN 10.0 1055 AM 2/02 SPOTTER
SOUTH WEARE 9.5 1200 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
MILFORD 8.3 948 AM 2/02 SPOTTER

RHODE ISLAND

...KENT COUNTY...
WARWICK 6.0 1058 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO
WEST WARWICK 6.0 1244 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC

...PROVIDENCE COUNTY...
NORTH CUMBERLAND 8.0 953 AM 2/02
HARRISVILLE 8.0 900 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
MANVILLE 7.7 700 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
WOONSOCKET 7.5 841 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC
WEST GLOCESTER 7.3 1221 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
SCITUATE 6.0 337 PM 2/02
PROVIDENCE 6.0 100 PM 2/02 SPOTTER
RUMFORD 5.7 940 AM 2/02 EMERGENCY MANAGER 

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

Looks like the GFS is a tick colder here in SNE. Snow bomb even just south of the pike. Pretty much omega thump to dryslot.

 

 

Yeah I was surprised how cold the sounding was at 96h. It seems that the warm punch above 850mb has weakened some.

 

 

140201160725.gif

 

 

 

 

 

Still a long ways to go though.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Looks like the GFS is a tick colder here in SNE. Snow bomb even just south of the pike. Pretty much omega thump to dryslot.

Nice and thanks for keeping us up to date, appreciate it. On a personal note we have a huge animatronic bug exhibit crossing the country scheduled to be here Wed AM for delivery, big undertaking and logistics of unloading. weather is crucial and I appreciate all the input from all the pros and the non pros. (OT if you have kids they will love it when it opens)

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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted

Ray, I think this is the weeniest post I've ever read from you  Just the mention of 30" in a post (even though you said you don't expect it) merits one.  :)

 

:weenie:

 

 

LOL  We can't tolerate any northward movement, though.

Well, Mike I intimated that something must be up with that analog....I certainly don't expect over 1', anywhere.

VD 2000 makes much more sense.

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codfishsnowman

codfishsnowman

Posted
Posted

Yeah, seeing 90% pops at this range is pretty interesting. At least we have a couple mild days for me to inflate the flat tire on my snowblower. You can't make a left turn if the right wheel won't turn. The one upside--one--to a meh winter in the snowfall department has been not having to worry about that.

I think I've used the snow blower twice, maybe 3 times.this season. Hopefully, I'll get more than a few inches this go 'round.and need to fire it up.

Was it the GFS that first showed this system? I remember having a brief back-and-forth with PF on this over

Perhaps I'll get enough to use th

:weenie:;)

i know its ot but why is it they get flat tires so often?? mine almost always has one and we really dont use it all that much here in dv lol
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