CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Yeah that was a paint peeler for you guys. I left work with ugly snow growth and sleet and hit rain near 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ray, it is VD 2000. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/event.php?reg=EC&fhr=F096&model=GFS212&dt=2000021318 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Yeah that was a paint peeler for you guys. I left work with ugly snow growth and sleet and hit rain near 128. Yea, cf was smack on rt 128....I maxed at 26*, while Thebudman in Reading was cursing me out, at like 34* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ray, it is VD 2000. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/event.php?reg=EC&fhr=F096&model=GFS212&dt=2000021318 Oh. Oh well. I think I vaguely remember 9" in that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/images/s021800.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Oh. Oh well. I think I vaguely remember 9" in that one. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/images/s021800.gif Yup. Ding, ding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ray, it is VD 2000. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/event.php?reg=EC&fhr=F096&model=GFS212&dt=2000021318 I was going to say....it seemed strange comparing this to one that dropped nearly 3' in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I was going to say....it seemed strange comparing this to one that dropped nearly 3' in spots. Yeah, lol....that's why I checked it out. Seems like a fairly decent analog IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Will your el help you? I am thinking latitude will be more of a factor keeping the taint away but whatever can help Still a bunch of runs to go SWFE I will take latitude over elevation anytime. This looks good for the Franklin Co crew. All three of four of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 SWFE I will take latitude over elevation anytime. This looks good for the Franklin Co crew. All three of four of us. 8-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Right now, It's a win win situation up here as dendrite explained, This one looks like many of them from the 07/08 season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ugh..despise that storm, but I understand how good it was for VT. Note even close to this storm...maybe evolution but that was progged to hit VT like last Feb blizzard in CT and it did...ie 6-hr QPF of like 1" and totals nearing 3" QPF across a lot of the state. This isn't anywhere close to that juicy anywhere...though I don't know what CIPS analogs measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Note even close to this storm...maybe evolution but that was progged to hit VT like last Feb blizzard in CT and it did...ie 6-hr QPF of like 1" and totals nearing 3" QPF across a lot of the state. This isn't anywhere close to that juicy anywhere...though I don't know what CIPS analogs measure. 2000 not 2007 is the analog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Note even close to this storm...maybe evolution but that was progged to hit VT like last Feb blizzard in CT and it did...ie 6-hr QPF of like 1" and totals nearing 3" QPF across a lot of the state. This isn't anywhere close to that juicy anywhere...though I don't know what CIPS analogs measure. See the other posts. It was VD 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Note even close to this storm...maybe evolution but that was progged to hit VT like last Feb blizzard in CT and it did...ie 6-hr QPF of like 1" and totals nearing 3" QPF across a lot of the state. This isn't anywhere close to that juicy anywhere...though I don't know what CIPS analogs measure. Keep on reading the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Wow, check out this excerpt from BOX: IN FACT CIPS ANALOGS LEND SUPPORT AS THE TOP 5 HAVE SUBSTANTIAL 12+ INCH SNOWS NORTH OF THE MASS PIKE ACROSS UPSTATE NY/VT/NH/ME WITH POTENTIAL ICE IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND /THE TOP ANALOG PRESENTLY BEING THE VALENTINES DAY STORM OF 2000/ I assume that that typo should read "2007".... I remember that bad Larry like it was yesterday.....the happy zones in n VT and upstate NY saw like 30"+. I assume they are comparing the overall evolution, and efficient moisture transport northward, ....IOW, do't expect 30" ...but damn. Have to wonder whether the faster transfer is lending itself more to a pure Miller B type evolution, as opposed to a 6-10" swfe. I'll hold off before biting off on any such implications, but damn.....that is a powerful AFD. Ray, I think this is the weeniest post I've ever read from you Just the mention of 30" in a post (even though you said you don't expect it) merits one. SWFE I will take latitude over elevation anytime. This looks good for the Franklin Co crew. All three of four of us. LOL We can't tolerate any northward movement, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 actually top analog today is 2/3/11 NOUS41 KBOX 031541 CCAPNSBOXCTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-040339-PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTSPOTTER REPORTSNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA1039 AM EST THU FEB 03 2011THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE STORMTHAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. MOST OF THESE REPORTS INCLUDESNOW TOTALS FOR BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVEOBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THISSUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTSSNOWFALL OF/INCHES/ MEASUREMENTCONNECTICUT...HARTFORD COUNTY...ENFIELD 10.7 1223 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICNORTH GRANBY 10.0 231 PM 2/02 SPOTTERWINDSOR LOCKS 9.4 100 PM 2/02 BRADLEY AIRPORTSUFFIELD 8.4 606 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOAVON 7.8 407 PM 2/02 SPOTTERCOLLINSVILLE 7.7 1100 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOBURLINGTON 7.5 1051 AM 2/02 HAM RADIONEW BRITAIN 7.4 1048 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOSOUTH WINDSOR 7.3 1254 PM 2/02 SPOTTERWEST HARTFORD 6.5 629 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOWETHERSFIELD 6.5 806 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOGRANBY (2 SW) 5.5 255 PM 2/02 NWS EMPLOYEE...TOLLAND COUNTY...SOMERS 10.5 615 AM 2/03STAFFORD SPRINGS 9.7 1249 PM 2/02STAFFORDVILLE 9.0 501 PM 2/02 SPOTTERTOLLAND 8.0 801 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOVERNON 5.8 559 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO...WINDHAM COUNTY...ASHFORD 6.5 1009 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOPOMFRET 6.3 815 AM 2/02MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE COUNTY...SANDWICH 2.6 700 AM 2/02 CO-OP OBSERVER...BRISTOL COUNTY...NORTH ATTLEBOROUGH 8.5 618 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOMANSFIELD 6.9 143 PM 2/02 SPOTTERTAUNTON 6.4 700 AM 2/02 NWS OFFICEDIGHTON 4.8 904 AM 2/02 NWS EMPLOYEE...ESSEX COUNTY...GEORGETOWN 16.0 230 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICMETHUEN 14.5 948 PM 2/02TOPSFIELD 13.2 707 AM 2/03SALEM 12.5 325 PM 2/02 SALEM STATENEWBURYPORT 12.5 1035 AM 2/02 CO-OPNORTH ANDOVER 12.0 1024 PM 2/02IPSWICH 11.6 837 AM 2/02...FRANKLIN COUNTY...SHELBURNE 14.0 446 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICCOLRAIN 13.0 623 PM 2/02 SPOTTERHEATH 12.3 340 PM 2/02 SPOTTEREAST CHARLEMONT 10.8 1205 PM 2/02 SPOTTERGREENFIELD 9.5 642 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO...HAMPDEN COUNTY...WEST SPRINGFIELD 13.5 525 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOCHICOPEE 13.5 932 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOGRANVILLE 13.0 643 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOSOUTHWICK 11.7 439 PM 2/02 SPOTTERWESTFIELD 11.7 1100 AM 2/02 MEDIALONGMEADOW 11.0 1056 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOEAST LONGMEADOW 10.5 1057 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOBLANDFORD 10.5 715 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOSPRINGFIELD 10.5 933 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOMONSON 10.0 628 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICAMHERST 8.0 514 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO...HAMPSHIRE COUNTY...BELCHERTOWN 13.0 640 PM 2/02 HAM RADIOSOUTH HADLEY 13.0 1020 AM 2/02CHESTERFIELD 12.5 931 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOWESTHAMPTON 12.4 217 PM 2/02WARE 11.5 652 AM 2/02 HAM RADIONORTHAMPTON 11.0 738 AM 2/02WORTHINGTON 9.5 1200 PM 2/02 SPOTTERAMHERST 9.2 935 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...ACTON 15.5 655 AM 2/03TOWNSEND 14.2 400 PM 2/02 SPOTTERWESTFORD STATION 14.1 1133 PM 2/02LITTLETON 14.0 1200 PM 2/02 SPOTTERAYER 14.0 955 PM 2/02TYNGSBORO 13.7 946 AM 2/03 GENERAL PUBLICWINCHESTER 13.2 1201 AM 2/03 HAM RADIODRACUT 13.1 1224 PM 2/02 SPOTTERWILMINGTON 13.0 348 PM 2/02 HAM RADIOSUDBURY 13.0 742 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOFRAMINGHAM 13.0 214 PM 2/02 HAM RADIOPEPPERELL 12.7 322 PM 2/02CARLISLE 12.1 1150 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICCHELMSFORD 12.0 305 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICWAKEFIELD 11.0 1116 AM 2/02HUDSON 9.5 214 PM 2/02 SPOTTERNATICK 9.3 1010 AM 2/02 SPOTTERWESTON 8.6 901 AM 2/02WAYLAND 8.1 726 AM 2/02 HAM RADIO...NORFOLK COUNTY...SOUTH WEYMOUTH 10.0 500 PM 2/02 MEDIARANDOLPH 9.8 825 AM 2/02NORTH WEYMOUTH 9.5 800 PM 2/02 MEDIAMEDFIELD 9.2 1232 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICNORWOOD 8.7 700 AM 2/02 NWS EMPLOYEEWALPOLE 8.1 947 AM 2/02...PLYMOUTH COUNTY...BROCKTON 9.1 809 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOROCKLAND 8.5 720 AM 2/02 SPOTTERPEMBROKE 6.7 844 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOHALIFAX 6.6 922 AM 2/02...SUFFOLK COUNTY...WEST ROXBURY 10.6 408 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICDORCHESTER 10.4 313 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICEAST BOSTON 10.2 105 PM 2/02 LOGAN AIRPORTWINTHROP 3.6 1159 PM 2/02...WORCESTER COUNTY...NORTH GRAFTON 15.3 124 PM 2/02 SPOTTERLANCASTER 14.5 621 PM 2/02 SPOTTERSTERLING 14.2 705 AM 2/03 GENERAL PUBLICFITCHBURG 13.5 1007 AM 2/02 SPOTTERBOYLSTON 12.5 1049 PM 2/02WEST BROOKFIELD 12.5 340 PM 2/02HUBBARDSTON 12.4 828 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICWESTBOROUGH 12.3 1030 AM 2/03 NWS EMPLOYEEWORCESTER 12.2 115 PM 2/02 WORCESTER AIRPORTNORTH BROOKFIELD 11.5 1220 PM 2/02 SPOTTERMILLBURY 11.4 1142 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICSHREWSBURY 11.0 905 AM 2/02MILFORD 10.5 1136 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOWESTMINSTER 10.5 743 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOASHBURNHAM 10.4 410 PM 2/02 CO-OPLEICESTER 10.0 221 PM 2/02 SPOTTERROYALSTON 9.4 1025 AM 2/02 SPOTTERBLACKSTONE 9.0 1059 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOSTURBRIDGE 9.0 844 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICSPENCER 8.9 555 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICSOUTHBRIDGE 4.0 203 PM 2/02NEW HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE COUNTY...NELSON 11.3 852 PM 2/02 SPOTTERTROY 11.0 1225 PM 2/02 SPOTTERWINCHESTER 10.0 315 PM 2/02 SPOTTERKEENE 9.8 114 PM 2/02 CO-OP OBSERVERWALPOLE 7.9 338 PM 2/02EAST ALSTEAD 6.0 541 AM 2/02...HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY...GREENFIELD 16.0 300 PM 2/02 SPOTTERPETERBOROUGH 14.0 320 PM 2/02 SPOTTERHUDSON 13.9 414 PM 2/02BEDFORD 13.5 410 PM 2/02 SPOTTERSOUTH HUDSON 13.5 1128 PM 2/02NASHUA 12.6 105 PM 2/02 NWS EMPLOYEEMERRIMACK 11.0 1129 PM 2/02MASON 10.5 345 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICPELHAM 10.0 411 PM 2/02 HAM RADIOGOFFSTOWN 10.0 1055 AM 2/02 SPOTTERSOUTH WEARE 9.5 1200 PM 2/02 SPOTTERMILFORD 8.3 948 AM 2/02 SPOTTERRHODE ISLAND...KENT COUNTY...WARWICK 6.0 1058 AM 2/02 HAM RADIOWEST WARWICK 6.0 1244 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLIC...PROVIDENCE COUNTY...NORTH CUMBERLAND 8.0 953 AM 2/02HARRISVILLE 8.0 900 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICMANVILLE 7.7 700 AM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICWOONSOCKET 7.5 841 PM 2/02 GENERAL PUBLICWEST GLOCESTER 7.3 1221 PM 2/02 SPOTTERSCITUATE 6.0 337 PM 2/02PROVIDENCE 6.0 100 PM 2/02 SPOTTERRUMFORD 5.7 940 AM 2/02 EMERGENCY MANAGER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like the GFS is a tick colder here in SNE. Snow bomb even just south of the pike. Pretty much omega thump to dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Snow lingers right into thurs up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS is a giant sleet/zr/rain bomb for a lot of CT after a few inches of snow. That's a really juiced up system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
walthsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 12z GFS looks a little better than 6z. Good snow maybe a tick more south of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like the GFS is a tick colder here in SNE. Snow bomb even just south of the pike. Pretty much omega thump to dryslot. Yeah I was surprised how cold the sounding was at 96h. It seems that the warm punch above 850mb has weakened some. Still a long ways to go though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like the GFS is a tick colder here in SNE. Snow bomb even just south of the pike. Pretty much omega thump to dryslot. Nice and thanks for keeping us up to date, appreciate it. On a personal note we have a huge animatronic bug exhibit crossing the country scheduled to be here Wed AM for delivery, big undertaking and logistics of unloading. weather is crucial and I appreciate all the input from all the pros and the non pros. (OT if you have kids they will love it when it opens) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 If anything the GFS just looked a hair slower to me compared to 6Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS is a giant sleet/zr/rain bomb for a lot of CT after a few inches of snow. That's a really juiced up system. Ryan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ray, I think this is the weeniest post I've ever read from you Just the mention of 30" in a post (even though you said you don't expect it) merits one. LOL We can't tolerate any northward movement, though. Well, Mike I intimated that something must be up with that analog....I certainly don't expect over 1', anywhere. VD 2000 makes much more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Yeah, seeing 90% pops at this range is pretty interesting. At least we have a couple mild days for me to inflate the flat tire on my snowblower. You can't make a left turn if the right wheel won't turn. The one upside--one--to a meh winter in the snowfall department has been not having to worry about that. I think I've used the snow blower twice, maybe 3 times.this season. Hopefully, I'll get more than a few inches this go 'round.and need to fire it up. Was it the GFS that first showed this system? I remember having a brief back-and-forth with PF on this over Perhaps I'll get enough to use th i know its ot but why is it they get flat tires so often?? mine almost always has one and we really dont use it all that much here in dv lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Well, Mike I intimated that something must be up with that analog....I certainly don't expect over 1', anywhere. VD 2000 makes much more sense. Moot point anyways, top analog now is 2/3/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ryan? Saw that... the map I looked at first looked warmer. Will wait for BUFKIT to know for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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