A look ahead at the Feb 3-10 Period - Technical Discussion (Updated to Feb 15th)

[dendrite]

Some of those GEFS members are LOL.

[TalcottWx]

Some of those GEFS members are LOL.

Could ya post em

[Heisy]

Bookmark this for GFS ensembles, they come out pretty quick 

 

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/ewallmref.html

[TalcottWx]

Bookmark this for GFS ensembles, they come out pretty quick 

 

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/ewallmref.html

huge spread for the weekend at this stage as expected

[40/70 Benchmark]

Yeah you would love the dryslot as opposed to a blizzard.

Yea because its going to nail it precisely at day 6.

Clown.

 

I'd take my chances with the general GFS evolution.

All set with Miller A.

[CoastalWx]

Yea because its going to nail it precisely at day 6.

Clown.

I'd take my chances with the general GFS evolution.

All set with Miller A.

I know details aren't set in stone, but that is a classic case of where a track outside the benchmark is better than near the BM. That's all I meant.

[weathafella]

Why do people hate on miller a's? My take has always been you get the best bang for ur buck in these juicy systems. It you risk warmth.

[CoastalWx]

Why do people hate in miller a?

Because instead of getting 27" they get 23".

[Ginx snewx]

Why do people hate on miller a's? My take has always been you get the best bang for ur buck in these juicy systems. It you risk warmth.

Don S mentioned 1899 a couple of days ago, yeah in a frigging heartbeat

[NorEastermass128]

Why do people hate on miller a's? My take has always been you get the best bang for ur buck in these juicy systems. It you risk warmth.

Occlusion? Elevated risk of taint?

[Ginx snewx]

Because instead of getting 27" they get 23".

lol and somebody else gets the 27

[CoastalWx]

Occlusion? Elevated risk of taint?

Miller As can mature and occlude south of LI which is what he is afraid of.

[weathafella]

Miller As can mature and occlude south of LI which is what he is afraid of.

Wasn't 3/5/01 miller a?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Because instead of getting 27" they get 23".

Sorry dude, Miller Bs are more prolific on average for sne...not really close.

All of my largest events are....go through the list of top Boston snowfalls.

 

Not sure what the debate is.

Miller As have more margin for error.

They are more likely to:

1) Occlude too far south

2) Hug the coast, cut inland

3) Go out to sea

 

When you have the secondary just getting cranking off of the Delmarva, there isn't as much time for things to go wrong.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Wasn't 3/5/01 miller a?

No.

B.

 

It was originally supposed to be A, but it wasn't....which is why it porked the mid atl.

[40/70 Benchmark]

lol and somebody else gets the 27

Look up the top 10 Boston snowfalls.

Jesus.

 

I simply said I'd rather take my chances with a B, not and A.

Big deal.

 

I'd rather my ace pitch the decisive game, than my #2...what is the issue?

[CoastalWx]

Sorry dude, Miller Bs are more prolific on average for sne...not really close.

All of my largest events are....go through the list of top Boston snowfalls.

Not sure what the debate is.

Miller As have more margin for error.

They are more likely to:

1) Occlude too far south

2) Hug the coast, cut inland

3) Go out to sea

When you have the secondary just getting cranking off of the Delmarva, there isn't as much time for things to go wrong.

I know, I was joking. But, they aren't as bad as you make them out to be. We still do very well with them.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Off the top of my head, The megalopolis storm, PD II, and Jan '96 were Miller As that hit sne hard....I'm sure there are some more.

Miller Bs are more prolific here.

A strong Miller A is fine, but if I were to choose, then I'd take my chances with the B.

Some are making it out like I was complaining.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I know, I was joking. But, they aren't as bad as you make them out to be. We still do very well with them.

Oh, I know.

Believe me....I'm not complaining.

I just felt like you guys were misconstruing my tone a bit.

No worries.

[Ginx snewx]

Oh, I know.

Believe me....I'm not complaining.

I just felt like you guys were misconstruing my tone a bit.

No worries.

lol just having fun

[ORH_wxman]

Off the top of my head, The megalopolis storm, PD II, and Jan '96 were Miller As that hit sne hard....I'm sure there are some more.

Miller Bs are more prolific here.

A strong Miller A is fine, but if I were to choose, then I'd take my chances with the B.

Some are making it out like I was complaining.

 

March 13-14, 1993...the ultimate Miller A on steroids.

 

Others:

 

Jan 22-23, 1987

 

Mar 28-29, 1984

 

Jan 20-21, 1978

 

Feb 15-16, 1958

[40/70 Benchmark]

lol just having fun

LOL

Well, I am one to complain, so I just I didn't want to come off the wrong way.

[40/70 Benchmark]

March 13-14, 1993...the ultimate Miller A on steroids.

 

Others:

 

Jan 22-23, 1987

 

Mar 28-29, 1984

 

Jan 20-21, 1978

 

Feb 15-16, 1958

Wow...yea, shocked I forgot about March 1993, and 1/78.

[CoastalWx]

March 1993 is the mother of all front end dumps.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3/28-29/84 is my first snowfall memory.

[Ginx snewx]

1/20/78 was ferocious

[40/70 Benchmark]

1/20/78 was ferocious

Little bit of oe circle-jerk component to that one.

Gloucester jacked at like 34".

[PineHillsWx]

1/20/78 was ferocious

Yep broke the 24 hour snowfall record for Boston but only had the title for a couple of weeks.

[dryslot]

Because instead of getting 27" they get 0".

FYP

[HoarfrostHubb]

Little bit of oe circle-jerk component to that one.

Gloucester jacked at like 34".

Lol

Boston's all time record

For 2 weeks

Edit. Dwope. Missed the next post