snywx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Hour 174 all of NNJ is heavy freezing rain, excluding Sussex County which is still heavy snow. Low passing south of us. Monmouth County south is heavy rain. Your classic heavy WAA event.. What are surface, mid level temps at this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The trend is good / better this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Hr 180 winds flip to the northeast as the low is now to our east, heavy ice continues inland. Temps starting to crash back towards the coast. Nobody north and west of the city makes it above freezing north of say 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 id rather be a heavy rain than any form of ice. snow or rain is fine by me starting to sound like snow-slop/rain along the coast and inland gets a pretty big dumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 NYC is freezing rain? Yes or sleet, depending on what the other levels look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Wow-great trends today. Let's hope this path holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Ill take it.. all the monster storms usually have a period of sleet and freezing rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The trend is good / better this run. It went from suppressed to it almost cutting, which just tells me the models are like a roller coaster. I would have strongly preferred the models showing a suppressed system in this time frame as it's never a good thing when we're very marginal over a week out since models tend to trend further N&W over time with a +NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Wow-great trends today. Let's hope this path holdsdidnt you just yell cutter bro?? LoL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Hour 186 it pulls away. About a 24 hour event. 1-2" QPF. Snow maps have 12-15" for all of NNJ, most of PA and the lower tier of NY upstate. Less south and east. If not for the warming of the mid-levels it would have been more like 20-30" of snow IMO. It was like a slightly less outrageous version of the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yes or sleet, depending on what the other levels look like. With Those Dynamics It's Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 whats behind this - have a wedding that weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Hour 186 it pulls away. About a 24 hour event. 1-2" QPF. Snow maps have 12-15" for all of NNJ, most of PA and the lower tier of NY upstate. Less south and east. If not for the warming of the mid-levels it would have been more like 20-30" of snow IMO. This is gonna be a major producer for someone... Most monsters are modeled out 8+ days. The wavering is a given its just nice to see it still on the maps this far out consistently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 When you say 12-15" for all of NNJ, are you including NENJ, and from about Rt.78 N? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Wednesday would be nearly impossible to travel verbatim from the city NW on the 12z ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 6-10" for LI 12"+ NYC and NW Less than 6" south of NYC Per WB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 This is gonna be a major producer for someone... Most monsters are modeled out 8+ days. The wavering is a given its just nice to see it still on the maps this far out consistently I said the same yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 When you say 12-15" for all of NNJ, are you including NENJ, and from about Rt.78 N? I'm including everyone from I-78 north. Monmouth county still has a nice front end dump but they switch over faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 This is a 50" storm easily, actually, I'm going to avoid this website until Monday, I can't handle the the mood swings these models put me through. Wish me luck, it'll be like quitting heroin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I would temper any excitement with what the models show right now, still think Feb 8-15 is a much more favorable period. Still see this cutting through about central/western PA with probably a snow to sleet/ZR to heavy rain for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 When you say 12-15" for all of NNJ, are you including NENJ, and from about Rt.78 N? This should answer that question: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Please slither back to your forum and be a troll there. Thanks. He's incredibly jealous because a cutter would have been great for his backyard. Why he as a Toronto resident hangs out in the NY forum is mind boggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 7 days out , at least nice to look out , Follow the Ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Euro snow maps show a foot or more for all of NNJ, and southern sections of NYC close to nothing, northern sections within the 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Big system incoming day 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Euro snow maps show a foot or more for all of NNJ, and southern sections of NYC close to nothing, northern sections within the 12"+ Stop, its 8"+ for all 5 boroughs, read the map above please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 You've already had enough storms this winter. It's time to share the wealth Yes because we control the weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 This is not 1 and done lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 This is a 50" storm easily, actually, I'm going to avoid this website until Monday, I can't handle the the mood swings these models put me through. Wish me luck, it'll be like quitting heroin. From your lips to God's ears. I have a feeling lots and lots of posts are going to be deleted and posters getting suspended as the event nears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Day 9-10 threat is real. Looks great for DC area currently. Miller A passes from deep south, off the NC coast and is sitting east of Ocean City, MD at hr 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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