jjvesnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 This run is really cold..most precip falls as snow or sleet from I-78 northward. Significant snowstorm for Northern NJ...NYC and all of SNE. Wow! GFS looks like an outlier at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Total QPF? Thanks around a inch…hard to tell because we have monday included in that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 This run is really cold..most precip falls as snow or sleet from I-78 northward. Significant snowstorm for Northern NJ...NYC and all of SNE.The last 45 minutes or so is what we all root for! Thanks for the analysis guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 sne gets crushed…12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 How much snow/sleet W Monmouth? Does it go to rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 sne gets crushed…12+ Snow maps will be interesting. Any clue why most the QPF goes to SNE? I hate being blind to the euro. Thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happy pappy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I wonder if Ace's fat lady is still warming up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Snow maps will be interesting. Any clue why most the QPF goes to SNE? I hate being blind to the euro. Thanks!! they are colder and don't deal with ptype problems…... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 The Euro is relatively short duration due to the precip shifting to the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Wxbell showing 6+ from northern ocean county on NW..Not sure how legit that it but monmouth sees some snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 How much snow/sleet W Monmouth? Does it go to rain? 2 to 4 yes we rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Wxbell showing 6+ from northern ocean county on NW..Not sure how legit that it but monmouth sees some snow.. Its counting sleet at 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 2 to 4 yes we rain Post a snow map if you can? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Wxbell showing 6+ from northern ocean county on NW..Not sure how legit that it but monmouth sees some snow.. who or what creates those weatherbell maps ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Post a snow map if you can? Can't driving my man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Can't driving my man What's more important? Your life, or a snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 6-8" of snow on the 12Z EURO from Ocean County, NJ going north (including sleet). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Its counting sleet at 10 to 1 Thanks makes sense, good trends nontheless. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Id take front end thump to IP/ZR any day to preserve the snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 who or what creates those weatherbell maps ?Ryan Maue created them. He came out the navy jet propulsion lab , really smart Uses soundings , but uses 10 to 1 across the board. So in marginal events when its 5 to 1 or 8 to 1 They turn out awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 What's more important? Your life, or a snow map. I'm thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I'm thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 6-8" of snow on the 12Z EURO from Ocean County, NJ going north (including sleet). ecmwf_snow_24_neng_20.png That's a very intriguing run by the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The gfs could still be correct, but it appears to be playing catch up with the storm on Monday and this event. I can't 100 percent confirm the Euro is much better at southern stream systems over the gfs but I believe it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The gfs could still be correct, but it appears to be playing catch up with the storm on Monday and this event. I can't 100 percent confirm the Euro is much better at southern stream systems over the gfs but I believe it is. I think the other models are seeing the CAD and strength of the preceding cold better than the GFS, and is therefore transferring the low faster. You could even see on the GFS that it "wants" to transfer the low sooner but doesn't until it's way too late. There's the baggy isobar appearance on the coast for quite a while but the low doesn't dominate there until it's good only for New England. Euro didn't seem that far away from mostly snow for everyone. If it transfers and takes over just a few hours sooner, it would be a great event for all. As is, with 4" or more of snow possible Monday and what falls from this, many areas will have a thick layer of cement on the ground by Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 euro ens are further se and colder compared to the operational. 1008 east of acy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 euro ens are further se and colder compared to the operational. 1008 east of acy I think that's a red flag for another SE trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 euro ens are further se and colder compared to the operational. 1008 east of acy how far north does the primary get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 how far north does the primary get? It's just south of Pitt once in NWV there's a secondary off AC KNYC hour 96 850 minus 2 at 108 its minus 10 Can't see in between that I'm every 12 hours. Corrected hour 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 It's just south of Pitt once in NWV there's a secondary off AC KNYC hour 96 850 minus 2 at 108 its minus 10 Can't see in between that I'm every 12 hours. Corrected hour 108 Very good signs. The New England thread is hoping for a last minute north trend, and they're probably right-these usually trend north a little at the last minute. But the GFS idea of having a rampaging primary low might be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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