SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Yikes, some nasty icing potential for some. It's finally starting to show a transfer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 If you loop the 850 temps they actually cool between 99 and 102 hours with the temp profile dropping south...this could be an indication of the secondary trying to takeover earlier but not sure, I don't remember ever seeing that signal before in the absence of a clear transfer but the transfer actually occurs much later than that. Thanks for pointing that out. I never noticed that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 GGEM pops a secondary over the VA Capes! Primary in Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GGEM pops a secondary over the VA Capes! Primary in Ohio. It's not giving into its' amped bias. Hmmmm.....could mean nothing or maybe something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Coastal hugger, QPF bomb, primary not quite dead. Huge hit for the Lower Hudson Valley. Ice most of PA and NW NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 North of KSWF stays mainly all snow as the coastal is tucked in right under Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 The trough out west was so much less amplified I knew this was going to be much better. Excellent trends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The trough out west so much less amplified I knew this was going to be much better. Excellent trends! If the Euro follows up on this, then this will be the typical progression for the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 00z GEFS mean is showing the transfer earlier, probably a few members that look like the GGEM is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Navgem is great for the area. Great trends so far tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I always felt this was our best shot at a legitimate snowfall this upcoming week. Both GFS & GGEM are very nice for up here. These type of events usually treat us well and when I say "us" I mean the interior.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 4-6" front end dump north of 78 and west of NYC. 0z GFS verbatim is a 8" snowfall for up here followed by some sleet. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KMGJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ukie looks really interesting. Further south than the 12z run. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&hh=096 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 As long as the system is weak, then we have a better shot at more frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro now has a transfer near Wildwood, NJ at 108 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Low goes east of LI at 114 hours. This run has cooled down a lot from 12z. Still warm for the coast but an icestorm just to the north of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 There are improvements from the 0z suite...but its snow to rain for the coast and snow to ice to probably rain inland until you get well nw of nyc for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Def a decent thump of snow nw of I95 on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Edit: after looking again at the Euro depiction on wb it looks like the primary makes it to SW Pa. Mostly rain after some snow SE of i95. Snow to ice to rain nw of I95. Snow to ice well inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro lost the cutter for midweek and next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro ens for this event? Bluewave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 similar to the op. lots of ice immediately west of nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Thanks Fork. Worst fear for up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS continues to suck for anyone but inland areas, GGEM just had it best run yet by far with a very quick transfer, probably is snow/rain back to snow at the coast just looking at it quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Still 3 solutions from GFS, Euro and GGEM... Loads of time and another event to get through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Hr 96 of GGEM pops a secondary off of Delmarva, looks good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 ggem is not as amped and further se…looks more like 00z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 ggem is a heavy wet snow bomb for nyc and north jersey..secondary off delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Hr 102 primary dies and secondary takes complete control, just inside 40/70. Awesome run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 992 over the bm…this is a nw jersey special..with decent snows along 95..ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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