stormtracker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Lets see if the GFS/Euro can remain consistent with the Christmas threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Phasing at hr 111, shortwave is over the Texas Panhandle and confluence over New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Big phase incoming vorts are stronger as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Nice 50/50 in place too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 4:08 PM, earthlight said: Phasing at hr 111, shortwave is over the Texas Panhandle and confluence over New England. If the GFS holds it and the Euro keeps it this cycle, it may be time to believe. Wes and others seem to think this one is legit. I'm still nervous as always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Wow, 123 hours the entire northern stream is phasing in big time. The surface low is well developed over Western TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 much faster this run compared to 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 4:10 PM, stormtracker said: If the GFS holds it and the Euro keeps it this cycle, it may be time to believe. Wes and others seem to think this one is legit. As always, I'm, as always, still, as always, nervous, as always fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 MUCH faster this run with a big phase vort is tightly wrapped and stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 DC snowstorm on Christmas at 135 hrs...lets see if it tugs it up the coast. H5 has a terrific look to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Closed off 528mb heights over the OH valley at 141 hrs...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 snow into dc/wetern va hr132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 DC is buried at 144 hrs..big time UVV's and CCB development as the surface low is offshore and H5 is closed off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 4:13 PM, earthlight said: DC snowstorm on Christmas at 135 hrs...lets see if it tugs it up the coast. H5 has a terrific look to it. Agreed....I was just looking at the H5 set up and for kicks, comparing with 1/22/05... Completely different evolution in terms of where the energy originates, but as it transpires, not too bad a comparison once you get out to 132hrs... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/2005/us0122.php#picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 996mb low off the DE coast at 147 hrs and heavy snow from DC-PHL-NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 988 off the NJ coast at 150 hrs..huge deform from PHL to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 It's probably nearing 980 pressures south of Long Island at 153 hrs..NYC and now into SNE are buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Yeah, this still looks good. I'm still amazed and unnerved by how the GFS is being with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Looks like a major snow and ice storm for the lower OH valley as well on Xmas eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 4:17 PM, earthlight said: 988 off the NJ coast at 150 hrs..huge deform from PHL to NYC This run is so good it's scary. I do wish folks wouldn't emphasize the I-95 cities quite so much, or at least mention inland areas as well. We're here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 massive i 95 hit this run all the way to boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Sub 980 surface low going just inside the 40/70 benchmark with the CCB still hammering NYC and SNE at 156. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Every once and a while you get those model runs that are just like weather porn--this is one of them. This is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 4:19 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: <br />massive i 95 hit this run all the way to boston<br /><br /><br /><br />Even here Midlo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 4:20 PM, Kevin Druff said: <br /><br /><br /> Even here Midlo? snow to slop back to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 For us in western pa, the low path is about perfect at tris point. Big storm everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 If there is any consolation, look at the ridging that takes place on this run. Way better, just hope it can hold onto this idea. Also, hoping by Wednesday, its still there, and not one of these where the flow is so fast, this system becomes more flat and doesn't do anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Snow ratios should be fantastic too. Notice how cold it is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 This looks like a hybrid miller A- Miller B on the GFS. Looks like at around 138-144 the low reforms, thats why it can be scary for people in DC if the redeveloping happens too late for them. This is just based off GFS of course though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 this could throw a monkey wrench into it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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