wederwarrior Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Did a full breakdown of my ideas in the AFD today. Like 12Z ec track snow to ice to rain to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Did a full breakdown of my ideas in the AFD today. Like 12Z ec track snow to ice to rain to snow.Nice read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 0z gfs is an ice storm turning to rain for the area. Its not too far off from being ALL frozen for the big city since there is a strong cad signal this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricktamland Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Though neither storm is a hit with snow on 0z GFS, there were clear positive trends, we seem headed back in the right direction. Very good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I think EURO is a pretty big ice storm for the burbs, need someone with the surface maps to comment. The DT storm is an absolute bomb though. EPIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Pretty epic ICE storm on the 6z GFS this morning for the burbs, even into the city gets a little thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 that 32 line hangs around mby. really dont want an ice storm. fwiw, 0z euro total snow through hr240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 that 32 line hangs around mby. really dont want an ice storm. fwiw, 0z euro total snow through hr240 Axis of heaviest snow in the Lehigh Valley? Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Latest Wxsim module output see attached with 18z data paints quite the ice storm for the NW Philly burbs Tuesday evening into Wed AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 i'll pass on ice storm, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Someone care to point out all the organizations which are sharing the EPS Control Run snowfall map from WxBell showing 30+ inches on Facebook? They all need a double facepalm from me Well, at least I know the source of this bad information now. I had everyone I know asking me what this 24-36 inch snow storm 10 days out was about. I told them, not sure, but it's a week and a half away and bogus. They were all claiming different sources, TWC, AccuWx, etc. Facepalm is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 0z ECM colder for midweek system, maybe major icestorm far N&W I95 crowd Since there is no thread the late week storm looks like game on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 ECM snow is 6-7" lehigh valley and 3-4" SEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 ECM snow is 6-7" lehigh valley and 3-4" SEPA I assume you are referring to Feb 8-9? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 As modeled, its wash rinse repeat with these cutters, rainstorms. Monday has best chance for accumulating snow for the foreseeable future. But what an awesome January we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 0z models are considerably colder. GFS and CMC show a significant ice storm for the Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and NW burbs after 3-6" of snow to start. The UKMET is far enough south that I wouldn't be surprised if locations north of I-78 stayed all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro is colder as well...major ice for eastern PA. .5" amounts are common this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 0z ECM has a fast system with 3" SEPA and 4-6" lehigh valley followed by little rain mostly drizzle or freezing drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS won't budge with it's toaster look midweek GGEM is a good hit now for N&W I95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro is looking very icy for SE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I just bought stormvista so I can bother you guys even more, the EURO is much colder for mid-week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I just bought stormvista so I can bother you guys even more, the EURO is much colder for mid-week. Please do....get the crickets outta here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Yeah EURO is an awesome run so far....we'll see how it handles the LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Precip running out ahead of the shortwave @ 156 hours, C VA is getting snow/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Interesting solution so far, Our area has gotten 2-6" @ 168 hours, the 2m 0 line is running through PA/NJ border, what makes it interesting is that the main vort is still down in Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 At 174 Hrs the whole state is warmed up, but looks like a new Low forming over Mississippi 180 Hrs, the initial low is weak and east of Maine, while a new, stronger low is deepening over Tennessee. Basically how the EURO handled the energy over Canada is way different, at 00z it had this energy diving SE before the main show started, this one is kind of phasing it in, it's probably going to show an Ohio Valley bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 18Z GFS lost the icing at ABE - 6" of snow followed by 0.85" of plooey. Similar at KMMU, so it doesn't seem like a local fluke. Nearly isothermal for a while there before it all warms above freezing at 12Z Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Mt Holly NWS seems unimpressed for the event up north regarding snow. Talks freezing rain and sleet. Must be hugging the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Per EC snow maps on WxBell, total snow from both of these events exceeds 17" by Thursday morning for most of the region including areas away from immediate CNJ coast. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricktamland Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Per EC snow maps on WxBell, total snow from both of these events exceeds 17" by Thursday morning for most of the region including areas away from immediate CNJ coast. Go figure. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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