jamesnichols1989 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 ACK could see between 7" and 10" of snow. CHH could see 5-7" if the NAM and GFS are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 And the 18z HiresNAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I think nowcast can determine if we get another 50 or so mile shift northwestward. It will come down to timing and movement of the low pressure system and how it strengthens over time tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Low is down to 1012mb, four millibar drop in the last three hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 All in all this will have came pretty close to a bigger event, but just not quite get there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Advisories expanded to include S Bristol and Plymouth counties. Snow totals bumped up a touch to reflect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 28, 2014 Author Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:04 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Advisories expanded to include S Bristol and Plymouth counties. Snow totals bumped up a touch to reflect. StormTotalSnowFcst.png If that even comes close to verifying Jeremy from WHDH will be in the hall of shame for bad forecasts leading up to an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:08 PM, PolarVortex said: If that even comes close to verifying Jeremy from WHDH will be in the hall of shame for bad forecasts leading up to an event. Do tell. Gotta run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 28, 2014 Author Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:11 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Do tell. Gotta run. He had me in nothing, C-1" east of the canal down to Hyannis, 1-2" the eastern 1/2 of the cape and ACK. This thread should be pinned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:13 PM, PolarVortex said: He had me in nothing, C-1" east of the canal down to Hyannis, 1-2" the eastern 1/2 of the cape and ACK. This thread should be pinned. Eh, you are forgetting the 18" of washed away I got from Pete B back in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:08 PM, PolarVortex said: If that even comes close to verifying Jeremy from WHDH will be in the hall of shame for bad forecasts leading up to an event.He is gunshy from last Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:13 PM, PolarVortex said: He had me in nothing, C-1" east of the canal down to Hyannis, 1-2" the eastern 1/2 of the cape and ACK.. Still a chance those numbers could verify though. 50 mile bump SE and he'll be pretty close. Hope he's wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 50 miles either way has a pretty big impact on sensible weather. Should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 nice, now in the 2-4" range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Could be a sneaky crappy commute in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:04 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Advisories expanded to include S Bristol and Plymouth counties. Snow totals bumped up a touch to reflect. In the low end of the 1-2 range. Cool. Wasn't expecting anything and still might not get anything, but even a slight something would be cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 OKX view, my work is under that 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:45 PM, Cold Miser said: In the low end of the 1-2 range. Cool. Wasn't expecting anything and still might not get anything, but even a slight something would be cool.both GFS and nam now give us 1-2, we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 RAP backing off a bit now. I would act shocked, but I don't care to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 9:59 PM, Ginxy said: both GFS and nam now give us 1-2, we'll see Snow surprise at this stage would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 28, 2014 Author Share Posted January 28, 2014 latest 21z rap isn't expanding precip as far N&W as earlier runs but still within guidance envelope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 10:07 PM, PolarVortex said: latest 21z rap isn't expanding precip as far N&W as earlier runs but still within guidance envelopegreat job sniffing this out when no one else even gave it a chance, good thing we have great hobbyists like you who think out of the box and are free from constraints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 28, 2014 Author Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 10:14 PM, Ginxy said: great job sniffing this out when no one else even gave it a chance, good thing we have great hobbyists like you who think out of the box and are free from constraints. I may be just sniffing cirrus time will tell. Bouchard went in a totally different direction. C-1" Boston to Providence, 1-2" and 2-5" elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 10:14 PM, Ginxy said: great job sniffing this out when no one else even gave it a chance, good thing we have great hobbyists like you who think out of the box and are free from constraints. I feel like this has been talked about as a scraper since the end of last week...here's just a few posts (note the date): On 1/23/2014 at 9:10 PM, ORH_wxman said: I have far more interest in something next weekend or early the week after than next week. I suppose we could get lucky with a scraper next week. I'd probably be more interested if I was on Cape Cod, MA, USA. On 1/23/2014 at 9:16 PM, ORH_wxman said: No that is a clipper going well NW of us...middle of next week...like Wed/Thu there could be a coastal offshore close enough to "scrape" us. 12z OP Euro showed it close enough for SE areas for a light to moderate snow. On 1/23/2014 at 9:41 PM, CoastalWx said: That's timeframe I llike. I Suppose we could get a scraper, but that H5 look was sort of eye opening. On 1/23/2014 at 11:39 PM, cpick79 said: Cape scrape , and OE "cj" for Ray Ray on on Wed? On 1/23/2014 at 11:40 PM, SouthCoastMA said: GFS took a small step in that direction. A lot of time for this to trend right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Is Eck at OKX again? Great AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 28, 2014 Author Share Posted January 28, 2014 I've felt pretty good about this one since the end of last week, not really sure why other than it's the type of system that seems to end up coming closer. I'm still trying to figure out whether 1-3" is in the cards or a dusting. ACK should get into it good tonight but that's about the only place I'm sure of. This date was originally targeted by some OP GFS runs way, way out FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 10:47 PM, PolarVortex said: I've felt pretty good about this one since the end of last week, not really sure why other than it's the type of system that seems to end up coming closer. I'm still trying to figure out whether 1-3" is in the cards or a dusting. ACK should get into it good tonight but that's about the only place I'm sure of. This date was originally targeted by some OP GFS runs way, way out FWIW. This is one of those system that it mgith be fun to be hunkered down in a cottage at CC National Seashore. Quite cold and wintry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastBayWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Not a lot of northward movement on the echos off the Jersey Shore, mostly chugging along east out into the open ocean. Would love to be on a ship about 150 miles south of Nantucket later tonight. Don't feel good about accumulation in SNE except for perhaps Nantucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 On 1/28/2014 at 11:40 PM, EastBayWx said: Not a lot of northward movement on the echos off the Jersey Shore, mostly chugging along east out into the open ocean. Would love to be on a ship about 150 miles south of Nantucket later tonight. Don't feel good about accumulation in SNE except for perhaps Nantucket. That's about what is modeled at the moment. It's not really until after 06z where it moves more nrly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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