HM Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 the current forecast for next week describes what your talking about perfectly. Weather is not chess, it predictable only to a certain point. Nearly a 7 wave pattern in medium range between China and here. Um...yeah....not winter like at all. We saw this in December too, when things got active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 It's an unusual pattern. At least it is in my memory. When you look at heights on paper it's a warm look here. But we have an unusually stable cold air source by having the pv firmly locked in central and eastern canada. We might fluke our way to something which defies the pattern in many ways. And if we do score and use these dates as future analogs we'll get false hope. lol Lol good point about analogs. While my analog year is currently dominating the cpc last (61-62), I don't think it got active until mid Feb. Still, there's only so far you can go here before analogs become useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Anyone dream the dream with the 6Z 192hr DGEX this morning? If only man...if only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Anyone dream the dream with the 6Z 192hr DGEX this morning? If only man...if only. im taking the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 im taking the under You would make a prolific bettor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 im taking the under BfJfsabIMAACJ3C.jpg I took my eyes off that model in 08 I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 DGEX always sniffs out the big ones first #thingssnowweeniessay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 im taking the under BfJfsabIMAACJ3C.jpg What are the units exactly of that 4 swath between Arkansas and D.C.? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 im taking the under BfJfsabIMAACJ3C.jpg I would too. Under 2 flakes at DCA. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 DGEX always sniffs out the big ones first #thingssnowweeniessay i remember it showed a 50 inch show event for Feb 5,2010 a week out. I was off by 20 inches. THe model sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 i remember it showed a 50 inch show event for Feb 5,2010 a week out. I was off by 20 inches. THe model sucks Well then with the modeled 48" we're only 2 inches away from scoring big in the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 12z GFS significantly drier than 06z for sun/mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yeah GFS is a whiff on Sun/Mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yeah GFS is a whiff on Sun/MonLotta run to run differences in this pattern even at medium leads. It will probably be back and forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Lotta run to run differences in this pattern even at medium leads. It will probably be back and forth. Oh I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I like the gfs for monday. Delays the vort a bit so it's a colder solution. Good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 SnowTV Monday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Eh. Everything is on the board. I would happy with a 2 incher next week. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The GFS has increased the confluence and west NAO "blip" ...woof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I like the gfs for monday. Delays the vort a bit so it's a colder solution. Good trend. That cold will hold? Maybe take away the issue of mixed precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 12z runs give me headaches....I'm a 0z man myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 maybe 0.5" for me...better for the western burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 12z runs give me headaches....I'm a 0z man myself I prefer Happy Hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 6z was flatter snowier. 12z was juiced and icier and wetter. And we have piles of model runs to live and die by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yup, more wrapped up and cuts. Some front end with the mid-week storm on that run, but not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Looks like another arctic shot as well by Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yup, more wrapped up and cuts. Some front end with the mid-week storm on that run, but not much. It's pretty much a snowless run through day 7..of course that is a while off, but I am def bearish on the period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 It's pretty much a snowless run through day 7..of course that is a while off, but I am def bearish on the period Yeah, on closer look, really no front end. That kind of evolution would end Burlington, Vermont's snow drought... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 12z runs give me headaches....I'm a 0z man myself For model runs creating ere headaches lasting 4 hours or longer, be sure to see your doctor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 if this trend north....we will be dry and hardly get anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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