DCAlexandria Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 DT just woofed. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Mid 40's on Thursday may help dry up the puddles from the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 The 500mb pattern on the Euro is pretty awful for a big MA snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Don't care if it sticks around...just want to see heavy snow fall. Since when does the euro outrace anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 DT just woofed. Sent from my iPhone Yeah and in a few days he'll say he was just woofing at the runs and it didn't mean anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 It's a good run but I have no confidence. Euro is much faster than the gfs so it outruns the temp suck from the low cruising the n plains. Slow it down and we're literally cooked. We also get lucky with teh 850s... they are like -1 at 144... barely good enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 The 500mb pattern on the Euro is pretty awful for a big MA snowstorm. Maybe that's what need. We've blown it with plenty of better ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 We also get lucky with teh 850s... they are like -1 at 144... barely good enough With that low track and receding hp, there's definitely warmer air above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 DT just woofed. Sent from my iPhone DT jumps on the bandwagon with every threat. If it happens, he claims victory, if not, he jumps off and pretends it didn't exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 We also get lucky with teh 850s... they are like -1 at 144... barely good enough There is a guaranteed warm nose for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 accuwx has the Euro skewts, but they won't be out for a few hours...I'll check them in a few hours and let you know but on last night's run, it stayed all snow at BWI thru the end of 156 hrs, which was the period ending the heavy snow...but barely IAD was better, of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 accuwx has the Euro skewts, but they won't be out for a few hours...I'll check them in a few hours and let you know but on last night's run, it stayed all snow at BWI thru the end of 156 hrs, which was the period ending the heavy snow...but barely IAD was better, of course yesterday was a little colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k94 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 about 0.85 for DC...snow to mix....I wonder what the final solution will be...0.10" of rain with a mangled flake is my guess 0.85? It had 0.95 at 00Z, not the best of trends lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Euro has pdIII. I'm not sure but I don't think a 986 lp over cleveland will do it for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 just checked last night's run for DCA's skewts on the Euro and it also had DCA staying all snow, barely, at the end of 156 hrs, which is when the precip ended it seems the further west you go, the better you are with this storm temp-wise, more so than usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 just checked last night's run for DCA's skewts on the Euro and it also had DCA staying all snow, barely, at the end of 156 hrs, which is when the precip ended it seems the further west you go, the better you are with this storm temp-wise, more so than usual so no warm nose anywhere from 700-825?...was it close? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Hey guys, I was on my cell when posting. I don't like the setup at all really, if we (DC, Balt, Philly) somehow get 3+ inches out of this it'll be thread the needle to the max. I am kind of shocked DT is woofing considering where the HP moves off too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 How does this setup compare to Feb 2006? I don't know nearly as much as many of you, but I recall that one being a classic thread-the-needle storm that happened in a crappy pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 this is DCA 12Z...I really don't think there's a warm layer because the thicknesses would be higher than 540 rather, isothermal THU 00Z 13-FEB -1.2 -2.5 1019 93 98 0.26 554 538 THU 06Z 13-FEB 0.5 -0.2 1011 95 100 0.55 549 540 THU 12Z 13-FEB 0.9 -1.1 1009 91 95 0.11 546 539 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 so no warm nose anywhere from 700-825?...was it close? warmest was at around 825 and yeah, it was close (last night) I imagine today's run will be similar but again, I just don't recall ever seeing anything but snow when the thicknesses are at 540 or less....maybe someone else can remember such an event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 The only way I see this really being a big snow threat for I-95 is if the shrotwave ends up being much stronger and we get some closed circulation right off the coast. Once again the EURO has that interesting solution where places down south get a nasty ice storm while it warms up by the time it gets up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Hey guys, I was on my cell when posting. I don't like the setup at all really, if we (DC, Balt, Philly) somehow get 3+ inches out of this it'll be thread the needle to the max. I am kind of shocked DT is woofing considering where the HP moves off too. This is the most encouraging news I have heard all month. I'm in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 DT just woofed. Sent from my iPhone He did more than woof, a lot more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 How does this setup compare to Feb 2006? I don't know nearly as much as many of you, but I recall that one being a classic thread-the-needle storm that happened in a crappy pattern. ehh,..that pattern was a quite a bit better than people recall....PNA ridge on steroids...huge diggy 500mb trough....yeah...the surface high was weak....so we needed a good track and major amplification....but the setup was way better than many think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Euro vs GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 As fragile as the setup is, getting invested right now is precarious at best. I'm oddly not enthused at all. Remove any ns energy from tracking to the north and I would feel better and even then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 This is the most encouraging news I have heard all month. I'm in! Glad I could make you happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 if we could just get this to work out as or near depicted on the 12Z Euro, I'd be happy to call it a winter and walk away with my average snowfall for the season to give me time to rest for next year's Nino after a cold pool off Nova Scotia as also depicted on some of the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k94 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 He did more than woof, a lot more http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lv8Hzo2uIPw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2014 Author Share Posted February 7, 2014 Guys, I went ahead and started a new thread. This one is approaching 50, and we have a lot of talk coming I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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