Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 NAVGEM manages to screw us with every event which seems legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Ugly shift in Canada on new GFS with western Canada and NAO-light. yea was just chatting with friends from NYC about this... if the GFS is right about the sudden changes we are in big trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 yea was just chatting with friends from NYC about this... if the GFS is right about the sudden changes we are in big trouble Does the atmosphere often suddenly change or do models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 yea was just chatting with friends from NYC about this... if the GFS is right about the sudden changes we are in big trouble mattie g will be thrilled.... nothing seems to make him happier than 50s and 60s in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Euro seems fine so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Heavy snow moving in at 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Heavy snow moving in at 132 Ur good with stormvista! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 euro is another high QPF snow to mix event for DC, but I am confident it will trend badly for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Euro seems fine so far About an inch of snow with the Monday event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 about 0.85 for DC...snow to mix....I wonder what the final solution will be...0.10" of rain with a mangled flake is my guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 about 0.85 for DC...snow to mix....I wonder what the final solution will be...0.10" of rain with a mangled flake is my guess Only has to hold for 5 more runs before we take it serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Only has to hold for 5 more runs before we take it serious I'm pretty sure even as depicted there is a major warm nose above 850mb after the 1st 0.3" or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 about 0.85 for DC...snow to mix....I wonder what the final solution will be...0.10" of rain with a mangled flake is my guess It's a good run but I have no confidence. Euro is much faster than the gfs so it outruns the temp suck from the low cruising the n plains. Slow it down and we're literally cooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 about 0.85 for DC...snow to mix....I wonder what the final solution will be...0.10" of rain with a mangled flake is my guess It will end up with 0 precip for us, partly cloudy. Euro is on it's lonesome. Don't trust it. At all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 It will end up with 0 precip for us, partly cloudy. Euro is on it's lonesome. Don't trust it. At all pretty good model consensus among the globals...Euro has an 18 hour snow to mix event with heavy amounts in the NW burbs and the GFS has 0.00" QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Terrible run. Keeps us awake now tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Just once I'd like all of you to experience a high qpf sleet event. Many years ago in Iowa we expected to get 18-24" of snow (unheard of for Iowa) instead we got 6" of sleet. For the next several (below freezing days), it was like walking on a beach with very coarse grained sand. Also, THE 1993 storm here, I was able to walk across the drifts without sinking in. Much of that was sleet too. So ... a snow to sleet solution is fine with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 About an inch of snow with the Monday event. I am 100% certain 1 week from now, I will not have seen even 0.1" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Just once I'd like all of you to experience a high qpf sleet event. Many years ago in Iowa we expected to get 18-24" of snow (unheard of for Iowa) instead we got 6" of sleet. For the next several (below freezing days), it was like walking on a beach with very coarse grained sand. Also, THE 1993 storm here, I was able to walk across the drifts without sinking in. Much of that was sleet too. So ... a snow to sleet solution is fine with me we've gotten them..last was in 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 DT just woofed. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Mid 40's on Thursday may help dry up the puddles from the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 The 500mb pattern on the Euro is pretty awful for a big MA snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Don't care if it sticks around...just want to see heavy snow fall. Since when does the euro outrace anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 DT just woofed. Sent from my iPhone Yeah and in a few days he'll say he was just woofing at the runs and it didn't mean anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 It's a good run but I have no confidence. Euro is much faster than the gfs so it outruns the temp suck from the low cruising the n plains. Slow it down and we're literally cooked. We also get lucky with teh 850s... they are like -1 at 144... barely good enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 The 500mb pattern on the Euro is pretty awful for a big MA snowstorm. Maybe that's what need. We've blown it with plenty of better ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 We also get lucky with teh 850s... they are like -1 at 144... barely good enough With that low track and receding hp, there's definitely warmer air above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 DT just woofed. Sent from my iPhone DT jumps on the bandwagon with every threat. If it happens, he claims victory, if not, he jumps off and pretends it didn't exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 We also get lucky with teh 850s... they are like -1 at 144... barely good enough There is a guaranteed warm nose for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 accuwx has the Euro skewts, but they won't be out for a few hours...I'll check them in a few hours and let you know but on last night's run, it stayed all snow at BWI thru the end of 156 hrs, which was the period ending the heavy snow...but barely IAD was better, of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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