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February Medium/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

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about 0.85 for DC...snow to mix....I wonder what the final solution will be...0.10" of rain with a mangled flake is my guess

 

It's a good run but I have no confidence. Euro is much faster than the gfs so it outruns the temp suck from the low cruising the n plains. Slow it down and we're literally cooked. 

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It will end up with 0 precip for us, partly cloudy. Euro is on it's lonesome. Don't trust it. At all

 

pretty good model consensus among the globals...Euro has an 18 hour snow to mix event with heavy amounts in the NW burbs and the GFS has 0.00" QPF

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Just once I'd like all of you to experience a high qpf sleet event.  Many years ago in Iowa we expected to get 18-24" of snow (unheard of for Iowa) instead we got 6" of sleet.  For the next several (below freezing days), it was like walking on a beach with very coarse grained sand.

 

Also, THE 1993 storm here, I was able to walk across the drifts without sinking in. Much of that was sleet too.

 

So ... a snow to sleet solution is fine with me

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Just once I'd like all of you to experience a high qpf sleet event.  Many years ago in Iowa we expected to get 18-24" of snow (unheard of for Iowa) instead we got 6" of sleet.  For the next several (below freezing days), it was like walking on a beach with very coarse grained sand.

 

Also, THE 1993 storm here, I was able to walk across the drifts without sinking in. Much of that was sleet too.

 

So ... a snow to sleet solution is fine with me

 

we've gotten them..last was in 2007

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