Yeoman Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 GFS dry as a bone for mid week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Is that the new NOGAPS ? Because no coastal storm on the models is legit until the NOGAPS is on board. Yup! NAVGEM and DGEX on board....lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 GFS dry as a bone for mid week Hoping it's the usual GFS losing a storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 GFS dry as a bone for mid week its a total disaster. We gotta hope its some south east bias or some weenie rule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Hoping it's the usual GFS losing a storm... Here we go....the first to fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 We couldn't even get till friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 GFS dry as a bone for mid week Crazy rendition of pre-Boxing Day Snowstorm on there, it will come west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 We couldn't even get till friday Finally get some good sleep tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 A step towards the Euro. It no phases the SW, it just needs to do it a little faster next run. Bomb in Gulf of Maine as usual, lets see if it can drop 45mb in 3 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 We can't get the storm to stay on the models under truncation for one day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Wes said it perfectly earlier today. Fast pattern with lots of pieces. Forecaster's nightmare beyond 48 hours. Gefs/eps look fine. That's all I care about for now. I'm going to spend the next 4 days tracking 3 storms that might pile up 2". I'll worry about op runs later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 When the euro loses the storm tonight....it's gonna be ugly Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I don't need a HECS.... just a 1/21 repeat would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Now it's the feb 16-18 storm on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Now it's the feb 16-18 storm on the gfs Yea, that period looks good too. I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Yea, that period looks good too. I'm in You said next week wouldn't be complex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 You said next week wouldn't be complex I said it wouldn't be complex if the front running precip held. It didn't and we're fooked now. But it's close in nc so we might be less fooked soon. If we have to rely on a coastal then...well...you know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 It's always complex here except when we have a perfect block in an El Niño Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Euro will save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Wed night is a high QPF event and we mostly shut off before we flip good track given the setup.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Comes in hot and heavy. .95 dca total. We hold 850's and surface but I'm sure a warm nose works in. Solid thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Wed night is a high QPF event and we mostly shut off before we flip good track given the setup.... about 1" of qpf for DC.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 When the euro loses the storm tonight....it's gonna be ugly Friday morning Ugly is delayed and hopefully denied. Euro lives another day to fodder weenie hopes. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Comes in hot and heavy. .95 dca total. We hold 850's and surface but I'm sure a warm nose works in. Solid thump. best case scenario run, right?...or almost?.....I imagine it will just get worse as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Wed night is a high QPF event and we mostly shut off before we flip good track given the setup.... Comes in hot and heavy. .95 dca total. We hold 850's and surface but I'm sure a warm nose works in. Solid thump. What time Wed is the storm start time?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 What time Wed is the storm start time?. 7pm....but that will change as well as precip type, track, QPF and even whether the storm exists Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 best case scenario run, right?...or almost?.....I imagine it will just get worse as we get closerYea, best case. It's awful cold leading in. Gfs supports temps but wide right of course. If a shield like depicted on this run blasts into a dome like that then I'll take my chances all day long. If the front edge is weak we waste our prime colum with light precip and then heavy sleet/zr. I like the speed and intensity. There plenty of support with gefs/eps. Nothing we can do except sweat. It's a great run regardless of where we end up. Further east track and lighter precip is in the cards. We'll see. Total phail is always in the cards too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 7pm....but that will change as well as precip type, track, QPF and even whether the storm exists Thank you i understand that, but was just curious because myself and many family members have flights out between 11 a.m. and 8 p.m. Wed. Thanks for the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Thank you i understand that, but was just curious because myself and many family members have flights out between 11 a.m. and 8 p.m. Wed. Thanks for the info. lol....it's thursday....it could be sunny and 45 next wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Thank you i understand that, but was just curious because myself and many family members have flights out between 11 a.m. and 8 p.m. Wed. Thanks for the info. Sorry RR. I'm rooting for ground stop and 1/8th mile vis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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