Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 When the euro loses the storm tonight....it's gonna be ugly Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I don't need a HECS.... just a 1/21 repeat would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Now it's the feb 16-18 storm on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Now it's the feb 16-18 storm on the gfs Yea, that period looks good too. I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Yea, that period looks good too. I'm in You said next week wouldn't be complex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 You said next week wouldn't be complex I said it wouldn't be complex if the front running precip held. It didn't and we're fooked now. But it's close in nc so we might be less fooked soon. If we have to rely on a coastal then...well...you know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 It's always complex here except when we have a perfect block in an El Niño Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Euro will save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Wed night is a high QPF event and we mostly shut off before we flip good track given the setup.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Comes in hot and heavy. .95 dca total. We hold 850's and surface but I'm sure a warm nose works in. Solid thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Wed night is a high QPF event and we mostly shut off before we flip good track given the setup.... about 1" of qpf for DC.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 When the euro loses the storm tonight....it's gonna be ugly Friday morning Ugly is delayed and hopefully denied. Euro lives another day to fodder weenie hopes. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Comes in hot and heavy. .95 dca total. We hold 850's and surface but I'm sure a warm nose works in. Solid thump. best case scenario run, right?...or almost?.....I imagine it will just get worse as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Wed night is a high QPF event and we mostly shut off before we flip good track given the setup.... Comes in hot and heavy. .95 dca total. We hold 850's and surface but I'm sure a warm nose works in. Solid thump. What time Wed is the storm start time?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 What time Wed is the storm start time?. 7pm....but that will change as well as precip type, track, QPF and even whether the storm exists Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 best case scenario run, right?...or almost?.....I imagine it will just get worse as we get closerYea, best case. It's awful cold leading in. Gfs supports temps but wide right of course. If a shield like depicted on this run blasts into a dome like that then I'll take my chances all day long. If the front edge is weak we waste our prime colum with light precip and then heavy sleet/zr. I like the speed and intensity. There plenty of support with gefs/eps. Nothing we can do except sweat. It's a great run regardless of where we end up. Further east track and lighter precip is in the cards. We'll see. Total phail is always in the cards too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 7pm....but that will change as well as precip type, track, QPF and even whether the storm exists Thank you i understand that, but was just curious because myself and many family members have flights out between 11 a.m. and 8 p.m. Wed. Thanks for the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Thank you i understand that, but was just curious because myself and many family members have flights out between 11 a.m. and 8 p.m. Wed. Thanks for the info. lol....it's thursday....it could be sunny and 45 next wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Thank you i understand that, but was just curious because myself and many family members have flights out between 11 a.m. and 8 p.m. Wed. Thanks for the info. Sorry RR. I'm rooting for ground stop and 1/8th mile vis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 lol....it's thursday....it could be sunny and 45 next wednesday I know that but i am just nervous because i have a big family thing in FL that i must get to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Yea, best case. It's awful cold leading in. Gfs supports temps but wide right of course. If a shield like depicted on this run blasts into a dome like that then I'll take my chances all day long. If the front edge is weak we waste our prime colum with light precip and then heavy sleet/zr. I like the speed and intensity. There plenty of support with gefs/eps. Nothing we can do except sweat. It's a great run regardless of where we end up. Further east track and lighter precip is in the cards. We'll see. Total phail is always in the cards too 1st call Whatever you got on 1/2-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Sorry RR. I'm rooting for ground stop and 1/8th mile vis I love you to. I am rooting for a blinding snowstorm for the entire subforum, except i hope it is 33 and pouring rain in Rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I know that but i am just nervous because i have a big family thing in FL that i must get to. I wish I ever got nervous about a snow event actually happening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 1st call Whatever you got on 1/2-3 Ballsy call i got 7.3" with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I wish I ever got nervous about a snow event actually happening... Usually i am exactly like you and pray day and night for snow but in this one instance i pray it holds off until after 8 Wed evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 1st call Whatever you got on 1/2-3 I got 4.5". Lock that sh!t up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 6z GFS OP run leaves all the moisture to the south with mid-week - but nice to see that much moisture in the carolinas. Maybe they get a prolonged multi-day snow while we get nothing, but I don't think it would take much change in how the op run evolves to get some of that moisture up to our area. It does toss out a PDIII fantasy storm that is really nice fantasy eye candy. ETA: Really REALLY nice fantasy eye candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Yeah, I saw that PD3 too. I'd gladly forgo all these possible waves and southsliders in the next week to lock that up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 What is going on with the Eruo this year. It has turned into the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Gfs is definitely the new dr no....and its also usually correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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