HighStakes Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Could there be 3-5" of surprise snow the day after 3-5" was forecasted for my area? As of now you have an outside shot of 1-2 before a changeover. It could trend better but not likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 After today's debacle, I'm all in for the unicorn. Who's coming with? MAJOR LOL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Based off today's Euro, GFS and GEFS, it looks like we get maybe 1 more shot at a snow event late next week and then the pattern looks like it breaks down. Cold air retreats toward the pole with a +EPO/+AO/+NAO pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 After today's debacle, I'm all in for the unicorn. Who's coming with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Looks like a pretty good cold shot after the weekend storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Based off today's Euro, GFS and GEFS, it looks like we get maybe 1 more shot at a snow event late next week and then the pattern looks like it breaks down. Cold air retreats toward the pole with a +EPO/+AO/+NAO pattern. I agree but we'll see how the goa vortex looks in a week or 2. I have a feeling it weakens faster than modeled and the epo gives us a last hurrah. The big +AO signal is backing off as well. I think we'll have a 4-7 day warm spell but one last gasp to close the month. Just a wag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 So is this month over with no more chances? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 So is this month over with no more chances? Slap yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Start paying attention the the nao. Op runs are picking up on a decent blocking signal. Last 2 gfs op runs showed some 534 and 540 closed ridging over greenland. Ensemble runs have some in the mix but the means are still weak. The big +AO signal that was being touted is all but off the table (for now). Maybe HM can pop by and discuss. I'm not versed in strat stuff at all. But I am intigued by what I'm seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 That sounds about right, just in time for March. Some epic March blocking and cold cold March rain would be awesome again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z will set everybody straight and this place will be hap hap happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 That sounds about right, just in time for March. Some epic March blocking and cold cold March rain would be awesome again.March is our new winter.Rockin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I guess I'll keep my thoughts to myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I guess I'll keep my thoughts to myself. Why? Was my response too negative? Blocking showing up now just reminded me of last year. I guess I am not a huge fan of potential March snows, as they are few and far between and hard as hell to get. Somewhere around March 1 I hope for spring. Doesn't mean I don't a like a heads up it might be cold and blocky. Your thoughts are always welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Why? Was my response too negative? Blocking showing up now just reminded me of last year. I guess I am not a huge fan of potential March snows, as they are few and far between and hard as hell to get. Somewhere around March 1 I hope for spring. Doesn't mean I don't a like a heads up it might be cold and blocky. Your thoughts are always welcome. we aren't even a week into February... what makes you think Bob was talking about March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I really do not know where to put this post but... I am looking to upgrade my weather station at my house. What is a good one that is not too pricey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 we aren't even a week into February... what makes you think Bob was talking about March? Fair enough. I guess because blocking modeled in the long range around here always seems to be delayed in arriving. You are correct, a faulty assumption to assume that modeled blocking now will wait until March to show up. My apologies to Bob for being overly negative. I do get grumpy when misses start to pile up for winter events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z will set everybody straight and this place will be hap hap happy! Oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z will set everybody straight and this place will be hap hap happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Long term looking bad... DT is calling out the flood of Pacific Air and hostile to winter storms.. maybe a fluke will happen and shock us all? If it does, I will play the lottery that day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Long term looking bad... DT is calling out the flood of Pacific Air and hostile to winter storms.. maybe a fluke will happen and shock us all? If it does, I will play the lottery that day! DT isn't always right. He has flip flopped with this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 DT isn't always right. He has flip flopped with this EVERY storm... fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 DT isn't always right. He has flip flopped with this storm... DT is not inventing this lol. The guidance shows a crappy pattern after next week. EPO ridge gone, and AO and NAO look positive. So yeah no mechanism to deliver arctic air with that set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 DT is not inventing this lol. The guidance shows a crappy pattern after next week. EPO ridge gone, and AO and NAO look positive. So yeah no mechanism to deliver arctic air with that set up. Pattern does look bad! The mechanisms in place this winter are changing... Not hard to see it, and we have to face the music - seasons change! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Oops All the 12z runs are over I guess On to the 21z Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 All the 12z runs are over I guess On to the 21z Euro! Expect epic trolling if it fails to deliver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Pattern does look bad! The mechanisms in place this winter are changing... Not hard to see it, and we have to face the music - seasons change! Would love to get a decent hit from this weekend "event", then a few days of cold afterwards. After that, I am fine with a pacific fire-hose, or hell let the SE ridge really flex its muscles and pump some air from the subtropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 So is this month over with no more chances? So yes? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Expect epic trolling if it fails to deliver Prepping for trolling, because it's going to fail miserably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Long range doesn't look quite as dismal on the GEFS today. Certainly a storm signal around Valentine's Day with a +PNA/-NAO/weak -AO and a s/w moving through the eastern CONUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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