mattie g Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Amen. Surely nobody needs reminding that cad usually gets stronger as we get closer. Some parts of the area do very well with this setup. Be nice to see that thing get to Knoxville and jump to the coast "Some parts of the area..." I wonder who that might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I've been away a few days so if this has been talked about, I'm sorry but perhaps we shouldn't be greedy here. Wouldn't it be better to get that Wednesday storm to run inland some (sacrifice it, if you will) and get it in a better 50/50 position to allow the 9th/10th to bomb out and slow down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 So does anyone know if this is "sudden and warm" enough to help us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Front end thump on 0z for wednesday Edit: Tuesday Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Here's where things are starting to firm up a little: first system is not dead, but looking pretty bad. Second thing looks like front end snow/ice, change to rain. Unicorn time DT storm looking like the best out of the 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Tuesday looks fun on the current gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Here's where things are starting to firm up a little: first system is not dead, but looking pretty bad. Second thing looks like front end snow/ice, change to rain. Unicorn time DT storm looking like the best out of the 3 Tuesday would be a big winter storm as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Tuesday looks fun on the current gfs seems real close to being something better with a few minor tweaks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Tuesday would be a big winter storm as modeled. very cold surface for everyone, even I95 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Pretty nasty ice storm as modeled on the GFS, even for the metro areas....cold the old weenie lore of CAD gets colder closer be in play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 very cold surface for everyone, even I95 corridor Pretty nasty ice storm as modeled on the GFS, even for the metro areas....cold the old weenie lore of CAD gets colder closer be in play? GMTA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Pretty nasty ice storm as modeled on the GFS, even for the metro areas....cold the old weenie lore of CAD gets colder closer be in play? Looks like a good snow thump prior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Long duration as well....especially NW Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Major ice storm on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Pretty nasty ice storm as modeled on the GFS, even for the metro areas....cold the old weenie lore of CAD gets colder closer be in play? That is absolutely not weenie lore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Tuesday looks fun on the current gfs As modeled now, it does look fun. Certainly not ideal (all snow), but definitely not wall to wall rain. I'd take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 the southern stream looks fine....it's the ragged looking vortex in Canada that's not giving us any help http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=141ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_141_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 That is absolutely not weenie lore. Sometimes...but I shouldn't have used the word lore. It doesn't always pan out, but most of the time it really does get a bit colder when CAD is involved the closer we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 As modeled now, it does look fun. Certainly not ideal (all snow), but definitely not wall to wall rain. I'd take it. I personally love 3-4 snow followed by a good dose of freezing rain. Actually it's my favorite. White concrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 PERFECT timing on the GFS, the night before is COLD, clouds stream in early morning just before sunrise, precip gets heaviest while the sun is down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Sometimes...but I shouldn't have used the word lore. It doesn't always pan out, but most of the time it really does get a bit colder when CAD is involved the closer we get. You're right, not always. But frequently. Lore is fine. It just isn't a weenieism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Sometimes...but I shouldn't have used the word lore. It doesn't always pan out, but most of the time it really does get a bit colder when CAD is involved the closer we get. at least 90% of he time CAD does get colder....but at this far out, we may be making a wrong assumption that there will be any CAD and the warm air just overwhelms quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I guess Bob's taking the night off or he's with his bride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 if the CFS2 is right, then this area of precip gets shoved south a few hundred miles and we see a massive snow before any change http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=165ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_165_precip_p24.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p24&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Miller B epicness if the cold air can hold on... Snow/Ice/Snow sandwich! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Good run. Trending in. Tracking changeover timing and ice duration is always fun. It can get better. Vort wasn't so amped leaving the sw. Let's keep that going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I guess Bob's taking the night off or he's with his bride Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 so for those who have it already, how does the system for next weekend look?....or isn't it out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Miller B epicness if the cold air can hold on... Snow/Ice/Snow sandwich! I can't remember which model or run but that solution was on the table a couple days ago. I rate this run as a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 so for those who have it already, how does the system for next weekend look?....or isn't it out yet?only out to 189 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.