stormtracker Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:27 PM, Ji said: GGEM had storm last night as did JMA Two stellar models. I'm back on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Watch us finally get a perfect NAO block and gulf low in mid April for two days of heavy rain and 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I think its pretty safe to say finally that Winter is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I wonder why the models consistently show solutions that are wholly incompatible with their own 500mb forecast pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:54 PM, Ji said: I think its pretty safe to say finally that Winter is over. This is the last weekend before sun angle season. Actually, if you go outside today and lay on the road in traffic you might feel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I'm ready for several months of historic above average temps. Time to start worrying about summer now. Let's get some epic SE ridging now and get it over with before it occurs during summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 this thread= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:55 PM, Ian said: This is the last weekend before sun angle season. Actually, if you go outside today and lay on the road in traffic you might feel it. that's not fair....do you know how much property damage that could cause to the cars of those unsuspecting, warm weather loving, motorists? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Decent event on the 23rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 CMC took a big step towards the GFS here at 12z for next weeks storm. Not good At least through hour 120 I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 In a fair world, the Euro would trend in our direction and improve on its 8-10" thump event...and the GFS would follow....but that never happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:50 PM, Ji said: Next winter looks promise so it makes the demise of this winter a bit easier to take Super-Nino. 97-98 top analog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:41 PM, Ji said: how is it possible that we go an entire winter without -NAO. I thought we were in era where -NAO was to become more commonplace A lot of people with "unique" new indices got owned. There's still some time to ease the numbers but yeah...that QBO based -NAO forecast and OPI +AO are in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:55 PM, zwyts said: I wonder why the models consistently show solutions that are wholly incompatible with their own 500mb forecast pattern I know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 If I win the powerball tomorrow I sending Jay and Jeb off to the Sierra's next winter to experience real winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:58 PM, zwyts said: In a fair world, the Euro would trend in our direction and improve on its 8-10" thump event...and the GFS would follow....but that never happens it used to be when the euro showed snow for us and the GFS didnt, we were not uncomfortable. Now, whatever model does not show snow is the one that will end up being right...including the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:59 PM, mitchnick said: I know... wouldnt chaos involve a somewhat proportionate amount of time that the models trend in our favor and not the current 100:1 ratio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:57 PM, Bob Chill said: Decent event on the 23rd 22-24th pattern looks pretty epic on the 12z GFS actually. Where's Highzenberg? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Euro weeklies are below normal to start march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 4:59 PM, Subtropics said: If I win the powerball tomorrow I sending Jay and Jeb off to the Sierra's next winter to experience real winter. good thing it isn't this winter. well, until they get our type of late summer deluge this coming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:01 PM, WxUSAF said: 22-24th pattern looks pretty epic on the 12z GFS actually. Where's Highzenberg? still digging out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:02 PM, Ian said: good thing it isn't this winter. well, until they get our type of late summer deluge this coming week. Historically bad winter for them, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:01 PM, WxUSAF said: 22-24th pattern looks pretty epic on the 12z GFS actually. Where's Highzenberg? we need highzenberg/amped/uvmet here to counterbalance the negativity and tell us they are seeing a window for a 24-36" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:01 PM, Bob Chill said: Euro weeklies are below normal to start march I take that back. Below normal starting second week of march. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:01 PM, WxUSAF said: 22-24th pattern looks pretty epic on the 12z GFS actually. Where's Highzenberg? anyone looking at the d16 gfs needs some help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:01 PM, Bob Chill said: Euro weeklies are below normal to start march we kill it at March and April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 hizenberg paid lots of money for the euro model. She should ask for a refund Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:01 PM, zwyts said: wouldnt chaos involve a somewhat proportionate amount of time that the models trend in our favor and not the current 100:1 ratio? no, that would inject fairness into the solution the odds must be decreased 10 to 100 fold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:03 PM, Ian said: anyone looking at the d16 gfs needs some help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 On 2/7/2014 at 5:02 PM, Subtropics said: Historically bad winter for them, correct? yeah.. it has been a little better recently plus they are about to get clocked at least at the highest elevations but their snowstorm last week looked really depressing as there was really no snow on the ground prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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