WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:21 AM, stormtracker said: Sometimes...but I shouldn't have used the word lore. It doesn't always pan out, but most of the time it really does get a bit colder when CAD is involved the closer we get. You're right, not always. But frequently. Lore is fine. It just isn't a weenieism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:21 AM, stormtracker said: Sometimes...but I shouldn't have used the word lore. It doesn't always pan out, but most of the time it really does get a bit colder when CAD is involved the closer we get. at least 90% of he time CAD does get colder....but at this far out, we may be making a wrong assumption that there will be any CAD and the warm air just overwhelms quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I guess Bob's taking the night off or he's with his bride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 if the CFS2 is right, then this area of precip gets shoved south a few hundred miles and we see a massive snow before any change http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=165ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_165_precip_p24.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p24&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Miller B epicness if the cold air can hold on... Snow/Ice/Snow sandwich! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Good run. Trending in. Tracking changeover timing and ice duration is always fun. It can get better. Vort wasn't so amped leaving the sw. Let's keep that going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:26 AM, mitchnick said: I guess Bob's taking the night off or he's with his bride Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 so for those who have it already, how does the system for next weekend look?....or isn't it out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:28 AM, wxmeddler said: Miller B epicness if the cold air can hold on... Snow/Ice/Snow sandwich! I can't remember which model or run but that solution was on the table a couple days ago. I rate this run as a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:32 AM, mitchnick said: so for those who have it already, how does the system for next weekend look?....or isn't it out yet?only out to 189 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:32 AM, mitchnick said: so for those who have it already, how does the system for next weekend look?....or isn't it out yet? Looks nice before crayola time. Good confluence overhead and nice vort out the west. I hate the gfs op after 192. It becomes a low res ensemble. Ewall is the way to go later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Is this the February 4th-6th threat we're talking about? The AccuWeather forums say that we don't do well with storm (contrary to what's being said in the last hour here). But, they're just forums, not models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:37 AM, Bob Chill said: Looks nice before crayola time. Good confluence overhead and nice vort on the west. I hate the gfs op after 192. It becomes a low res ensemble. Ewall is the way to go later Yeah, the storm is still there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Stays mostly south but as bob said not much weight...signal remains Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:40 AM, jums300 said: Is this the February 4th-6th threat we're talking about? The AccuWeather forums say that we don't do well with storm (contrary to what's being said in the last hour here). But, they're just forums, not models.Accuweather forums are terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:40 AM, jums300 said: Is this the February 4th-6th threat we're talking about? The AccuWeather forums say that we don't do well with storm (contrary to what's being said in the last hour here). But, they're just forums, not models. It's subjective. It's a nice winter event verbatim but some folks don't consider snow/ice/rain good. But were good at those here. I like them a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:40 AM, jums300 said: Is this the February 4th-6th threat we're talking about? The AccuWeather forums say that we don't do well with storm (contrary to what's being said in the last hour here). But, they're just forums, not models. that's the earlier one we spoke of....the thump, then ice, then rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:41 AM, anotherman said: Accuweather forums are terrible. I've been lurking there for the last (maybe) 2 years or so. It's was my only source for storms...until I found this forum. I still frequent the site, but maybe I should stay around here more often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:40 AM, stormtracker said: Yeah, the storm is still there.. Snow in n ga and sc on the run. H5 pattern not nearly as good for the south as yesterday. We're good. I'm much more worried about walking the line than any suppressed south solution. Good times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:43 AM, jums300 said: I've been lurking there for the last (maybe) 2 years or so. It's was my only source for storms...until I found this forum. I still frequent the site, but maybe I should stay around here more often.These forums are far superior. You will not find a more knowledgeable group of weenies all in one place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:43 AM, jums300 said: I've been lurking there for the last (maybe) 2 years or so. It's was my only source for storms...until I found this forum. I still frequent the site, but maybe I should stay around here more often. If you're more serious about learning this is where you want to be, but there's no reason why you can't visit accuweather forums for entertainment purposes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 If the Wednesday storm was coming tomorrow it might be a big deal. Otherwise it's still pretty far out for people to get excited about an ice storm. edit: I guess it's a Tuesday storm. close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Four years ago tonight we were about to embark on 3-6' of snow in 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 4:26 AM, mitchnick said: I guess Bob's taking the night off or he's with his bride On 1/30/2014 at 4:29 AM, Bob Chill said: Lol He was with his bride, hence the reason it only took him 3 minutes to respond to your post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 What's with the good runs at night....bad during the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 5:10 AM, Ji said: What's with the good runs at night....bad during the day Because if they were during the day you would be able to troll more people. Chill and watch the Wiz game and see if we can get above .500 for the first time in 85 tries and 4 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/29/2014 at 4:16 PM, leesburg 04 said: 12z runs give me headaches....I'm a 0z man myself Like I said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 00z GGEM is juicy 132 to 156... aka Tues afternoon into Wednesday... snow to ice to rain I would guess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I think people have been punting the midweek event too much looking ahead to dt storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 On 1/30/2014 at 5:20 AM, Ji said: I think people have been punting the midweek event too much looking ahead to dt storm Canadian is a legit 4-5" storm for you next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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