Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 It would be nice to see the rgem bump @ 18z as well. Not kidding either. I like the rgem overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The bright banding feature on the simulated radar is tad to my south. Still I get over .15" which would easily give me 2 inches and might give me 3 if it is correct. Y'all don't happen to have a NAM qpf spit out for KEZF? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 obligatory sat pic.....nice expansion of clouds to our west in the Ohio Valley http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/us_comp_big.html That sat loop makes me want to punch the baja vort right in the mouth for staying home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 kind of a dry look so far to the radar across the carolinas. of course, it's early and all, but i'd be curious to see if they suffer some of the same appalachian filtering effect that we do with that upper level energy swing through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 It would be nice to see the rgem bump @ 18z as well. Not kidding either. I like the rgem overall. So what did it bump us/me to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Sun is peaking again convecting our atmosphere for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 So does this mean we like the NAM for winter precip now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Sun is peaking again convecting our atmosphere for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 kind of a dry look so far to the radar across the carolinas. of course, it's early and all, but i'd be curious to see if they suffer some of the same appalachian filtering effect that we do with that upper level energy swing through. They do have the ocean on their side at least in the eastern regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 So does this mean we like the NAM for winter precip now? Only if it verifies, I'd still like to see the GFS wet up a big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 that's all part of the northern shortwave lagging just a bit behind schedule. Adding some lift and energy on the nw edge of the shield. It's probably why ROA seems to getting a bit of a surprise. They have to have an inch by now? Not sure about ROA, looks like ground is white from cameras. Blacksburg looks '1ish' from the cameras. Heck,even I've had a few flurries at 1 and it is just now flurrying again with 10dbz over me on the very NW side of precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 So what did it bump us/me to? Yoda will post the pencil and crayon maps first. I don't have 18z high res yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Hi Res NAM looks good Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I can probably speak for the board (except for Ji) when I say a 2-3 hour period of snow with temps in the teens that drops between .5 - 1" of snow would be pretty awesome in my book. It would stick to everything instantly. Just what I'm thinking. Initial snowfall in the last storm was wasted in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Sun is peaking again convecting our atmosphere for tonight. Say what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Only if it verifies, I'd still like to see the GFS wet up a big. nam is definitely huggable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Yoda will post the pencil and crayon maps first. I don't have 18z high res yet. Wes was asking about the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 They do have the ocean on their side at least in the eastern regions. yea but i've seen some of these systems underperform down there. probably happens more often than it doesn't. the system is large, but it wouldn't surprise me if things don't pan out on the high end there, at least in central areas. it's not exactly a wound up system throwing epic moisture back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 nam is definitely huggable. hires_t_precip_washdc_5.png m*%^$#@()&%$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Either the nam is being the nam or the nam is being the nam. I can't decide. But it looks good for my yard so I'm in. Snow should be falling most everywhere between 7-9pm according the to nam. I will hold it to that or else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 nam is definitely huggable. hires_t_precip_washdc_5.png That's close.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 m*%^$#@()&%$ sucks to be you for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 nam is definitely huggable. hires_t_precip_washdc_5.png I'm gonna hug it until I finish running and come back and look at the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 sucks to be you for once LOL, I'm just having fun. If I see flurries I'll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 19Z RAP is coming back to its senses it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I'm gonna hug it until I finish running and come back and look at the GFS. I sense a new PR coming for you during your run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Both the HRRR and RAP2 still suck IMBY. I'm not sure I trust the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Say what? I'd rather have peaks of sunshine that might help with banding later versus having complete overcast skies all day to keep stratus virga hanging around. Let me try to reword some of that...Because stratus-type clouds tend to produce light continuous precipitation, early timing of full overcast skies doesn't always help with producing precipitation. I know I still have a lot to learn and I welcome these comments trying to correct me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 nam is definitely huggable. hires_t_precip_washdc_5.png Good grief, what an FU out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 yea but i've seen some of these systems underperform down there. probably happens more often than it doesn't. the system is large, but it wouldn't surprise me if things don't pan out on the high end there, at least in central areas. it's not exactly a wound up system throwing epic moisture back. Yea, even though the ocean could enhance the precip, it could also advect warming westward along coastal areas. NWS Eastern Region has mentioned possibly more sleet and freezing rain mixing in from a recent update I read on their facebook page. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=572774289467407&set=a.259227180822121.60708.143979475680226&type=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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