Ltrain Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 JB2's call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 That map makes no sense...Westminster gets nothing on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Sorry, I'm on Matt's team. Fully expecting to shovel my driveway tomorrow AM.I clearly have issues posting here. I think I was on a north trend earlier than most. Then again the NAM is the worst model ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 That seems about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I clearly have issues posting here. I think I was on a north trend earlier than most. Then again the NAM is the worst model ever. I do recall you saying a few days back that we were SNE in this storm scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I clearly have issues posting here. I think I was on a north trend earlier than most. Then again the NAM is the worst model ever. What say the CRAS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Well I guess LWX already has taken note of the 12z NAM per their updated HWO http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=LWX&product=HWO&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Watch this get out to sea, wind up and bury BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Come to Daddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I do recall you saying a few days back that we were SNE in this storm scenario.I've been kinda luke warm because .1" or less isn't enough to be excited about usually and the edge is a scary place. Getting up toward .2" makes it more real but still need support. Most storm do shift north.. That's a fact. But not all do and there are plenty of modeled edges that end up sucking v over performing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 At least the only ptype issue is whether we get some or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 All of those that jumped off yesterday and the day before need to stay off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Sorry guys but Im on the in house model train...I think the NAM is being too broad in its precipitation shield, though maybe a broad low pressure system warrants a broad precip shield...But I think this model represents a sharp cutoff in accum snow well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 My dewpoint is still -9. There's got to be a lot of column moistening before we see anything. Forecast DP doesn't get above zero until almost midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 RGEM looks a little wetter but not a ton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I've been kinda luke warm because .1" or less isn't enough to be excited about usually and the edge is a scary place. Getting up toward .2" makes it more real but still need support. Most storm do shift north.. That's a fact. But not all do and there are plenty of modeled edges that end up sucking v over performing. in the past 3 years, there has been a total of zero storms that have shifted north to nail us. How many times did we see the split the past several years? The north shift only occurs to screw us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 RAP running and brings the good accums way back into south central VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 LWX inches a little closer to the metro Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 FYI, if you are going to look at snow depth maps, make sure you use the depth change maps on instantweather ... The snow depth itself will show what is already on the ground... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMDweather Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC1002 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014MDZ017-018-282315-/O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0008.140128T2200Z-140129T1100Z/ST. MARYS-CALVERT-INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST MARYS CITY1002 AM EST TUE JAN 28 2014...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECTFROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.* TEMPERATURES...TEENS.* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY BELOW ONE-HALF MILE AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS. THE EVENING RUSH HOUR MAY BE IMPACTED TONIGHT...BUT THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH SNOW WILL END BY THE MORNING RUSH HOUR WEDNESDAY...UNTREATED ROADS WILL REMAIN SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSETRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITEDVISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 WWA up for S MD (Calvert and St. Mary's) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 14z RAP def moved a little west with the western edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 14z RAP def moved a little west with the western edge. I am only out to hr 6 on TwisterData Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Rap just needs to come 10 miles west each run through 18z and 95 could get that inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 All of those that jumped off yesterday and the day before need to stay off. I am not getting anything out of this. But so cool to see it creep this far. #teamtracker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 14z RAP def moved a little west with the western edge. boy, when you compare it to the 10-12Z runs, it has been a steady progression westward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I am only out to hr 6 on TwisterData It looks like it gets .1 - .2 up to DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I am only out to hr 6 on TwisterData It's out on NCEP's site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Rap just needs to come 10 miles west each run through 18z and 95 could get that inch. 13z RAP gave I-95 corridor .1" QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I want dca to get 2-4 inches. Anything to help the cwg winter forecast to fail miserably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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