snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Tough to tell what the GFS is going to do. Well defined s/w trough over CA at 156 but confluence across southern Canada looks too far west. May send our storm through the grinder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Where are you so far with snow total's for the season? 43.5" Looks like the 0z GFS will stay mostly south of here. Probably a good thing right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Tough to tell what the GFS is going to do. Well defined s/w trough over CA at 156 but confluence across southern Canada looks too far west. May send our storm through the grinder. Yeah that would be one concern I have with this potential, a lot of moving parts though so this will show us a lot of different looks between now and when it occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 43.5" Looks like the 0z GFS will stay mostly south of here. Probably a good thing right now. me thinks 55-62" is a lock by the end of the snow season, notice I didn't say the end of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 me thinks 55-62" is a lock by the end of the snow season, notice I didn't say the end of Feb. 60.1" would be the magical number. At some point, I think our luck has to run out. But by the same token, I think we have a chance. One more big storm would really help... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 00z GGEM looks somewhat close to the 12z run. Edit: hold on, maybe farther south with a coastal transfer. Gotta wait for the 12 hour images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 00z GGEM looks somewhat close to the 12z run. Edit: hold on, maybe farther south with a coastal transfer. Gotta wait for the 12 hour images. It is.. Keeps the surface low out of Michigan on this run. Tracks from near Indianapolis to between Toledo/Sandusky and then Cleveland/Buffalo..Have the 3hr time frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 60.1" would be the magical number. At some point, I think our luck has to run out. But by the same token, I think we have a chance. One more big storm would really help... I take it 60.1" is the record snowfall, if not what is the significance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 It is.. Keeps the surface low out of Michigan on this run. Tracks from near Indianapolis to between Toledo/Sandusky and then Cleveland/Buffalo..Have the 3hr time frames. Link? or is it pass word protected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I take it 60.1" is the record snowfall, if not what is the significance? 60.0". Kinda un-official...but we're using that as the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Hmmmm....not sure LAF special??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Link? or is it pass word protected? Paysite. OT a sec.. That system in the 192-210hr time frame nails LAF/Indianapolis/NW OH to near Columbus/se MI and Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Hmmmm....not sure LAF special??? That track usually works for here. No idea on the QPF yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 That track usually works for here. No idea on the QPF yet. Around a inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 (sing to the tune of Woody Woodpecker) Clippers and hybrids, clippers and hybrids, every day they come by with snow, now there's a cutter, stay in the gutter, cuz we need some in Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Paysite. OT a sec.. That system in the 192-210hr time frame nails LAF/Indianapolis/NW OH to near Columbus/se MI and Toronto. it's a mess for us.....which is a broken record with every prospective storm....but I looped thru the weatherbell maps and it's reminiscent of March'08 with the track displaced about 30-50 miles west. Nice hit for western OH and all of IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 it's a mess for us.....which is a broken record with every prospective storm....but I looped thru the weatherbell maps and it's reminiscent of March'08 with the track displaced about 30-50 miles west. Nice hit for western OH and all of IN I was thinking that ( March 08 ) as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Tough to tell what the GFS is going to do. Well defined s/w trough over CA at 156 but confluence across southern Canada looks too far west. May send our storm through the grinder. Yeah, it's definitely not going to come easy for us as far as big dog potential is concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Around a inch. That would work. it's a mess for us.....which is a broken record with every prospective storm....but I looped thru the weatherbell maps and it's reminiscent of March'08 with the track displaced about 30-50 miles west. Nice hit for western OH and all of IN I was thinking that ( March 08 ) as well. March 2008. Unless you're talking the actual results being shifted 150 miles west...then right on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Yeah I'll take March 21st 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 That would work. March 2008. Unless you're talking the actual results being shifted 150 miles west...then right on. March 2008 rocked in Ottawa, where I was living at the time with a storm around the 8th dropping around over 20 inches of snow. Most amazing storm of my life. Snow piles were half way up to the roof tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 look at the GOM fetch from this..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I'd call it a win with a march 8th 4" fluffer. would be 4" more than i expect to fall. I felt the same way with the GHD storm though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 look at the GOM fetch from this..... Solid move east with each run. But yeah, if it comes to fruition...it's gonna have some juice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Yeah I'll take March 21st 2008 THAT was sweet. 13" inches of fluff/powder ( nice drifting with it too ) which was a first for me that late in March. Really helped take the sting out of the one earlier in March which left me smoking cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Hard to tell precip types with this, 540 line gets obscured but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Sorry, I must explain. The March 2008 CMH crusher, while being awesome for them, was a cirrus smoker for here. We ended up falling shy of 50.0" for that season...which for that reason, I always go back to that storm as being the missing opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 LAF going to get GHD revenge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 This is looking like another STL/LAF/DTW special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Sorry, I must explain. The March 2008 CMH crusher, while being awesome for them, was a cirrus smoker for here. We ended up falling shy of 50.0" for that season...which for that reason, I always go back to that storm as being the missing opportunity. Sorry 2008 is when the economy went south as well as my back, didn't work for 2.5 yrs, so that's when I turned my interest in weather into a hobby...not sure what you mean CMH crusher....sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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