Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 nice shift NW from the GGEM. trends looking good. will be worrying about mixing by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 nice shift NW from the GGEM. trends looking good. will be worrying about mixing by Sunday. Just never relax and take what you get do ya? Your going to get a buttload of snow, without a doubt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 nice shift NW from the GGEM. trends looking good. will be worrying about mixing by Sunday. Not sure it really shifted. The surface low position at 108 hours is almost spot on with 00z at 120. Thermals may be warmer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Just never relax and take what you get do ya? chasing the all-time record....need to max it out but that was mostly in jest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 will be worrying about mixing by Sunday. Only if the High Pressure coming down is weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 chasing the all-time record....need to max it out but that was mostly in jest Its your winter. You are sitting golden on this one. Dont see anyway it goes far enough NW to bring a mix to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Quite the difference between models. 12z GFS clobbers all of Iowa with 6+ inches while the 12z GGEM is almost a total whiff. The surface low placement isn't much different, but the GFS has a strong defo zone well nw of the low while the GEM doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Quite the difference between models. 12z GFS clobbers all of Iowa with 6+ inches while the 12z GGEM is almost a total whiff. The surface low placement isn't much different, but the GFS has a strong defo zone well nw of the low while the GEM doesn't. ULL on the GFS is further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 GGEM clobbers SE MI. Mixing gets up to near toledo. This thing is hauling tho, which will limit amounts. TWC just posted a snowfall map through next Wednesday. Unlike them to do that, but haven't watched much of them in a few years but remember them being conservative. I guess they have changed. Map had 18-24 in illnois through chicago to detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 nice^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 number of NW members took a pretty big jump with the 12z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 GGEM clobbers SE MI. Mixing gets up to near toledo. This thing is hauling tho, which will limit amounts. TWC just posted a snowfall map through next Wednesday. Unlike them to do that, but haven't watched much of them in a few years but remember them being conservative. I guess they have changed. Map had 18-24 in illnois through chicago to detroit. That would please some people immensely. For as far out as it is, its actually a pretty decent consensus that this will be a nighttime event. Like one of those events when youre a kid and you go to bed and theres no new snow, and wake up buried and the storms about over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 As long as tomorrow's storm doesn't push the front/baroclinic zone too far SE vs what is modeled, I have a good feeling of this storm. It may realize itself to just be gas, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 That would please some people immensely. For as far out as it is, its actually a pretty decent consensus that this will be a nighttime event. Like one of those events when youre a kid and you go to bed and theres no new snow, and wake up buried and the storms about over. yea. Still worried we will be battling precip issues eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 yea. Still worried we will be battling precip issues eventually This storm is still 5 days out. 2 days ago all I heard was it was a miss to the south and now mixing issues Anything, good and bad, is on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Ensembles look good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Ensembles look good a much better looking cluster, lends a little bit of weight to this run being a legit shift as opposed to the wobbles we've been seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 This storm is still 5 days out. 2 days ago all I heard was it was a miss to the south and now mixing issues Anything, good and bad, is on the table. So congrats to everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Some more ensembles. 114hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Euro looks a bit stronger and more cold sector QPF at 102hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Euro looks a bit stronger and more cold sector QPF at 102hr. low track doesn't look much different but the whole setup looks more favorable...i'm sure the SLP will correct west with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EvansvilleAce Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Euro a bit east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2014 Author Share Posted January 31, 2014 12z ECMWF is coming in stronger, wetter in the cold sector, and a bit west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Euro a bit east looks slightly west and stronger to me... 1001mb this run vs. 1007mb 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 A local Mets take: "Of the 3 deterministic/operational major global models, today’s 12z GFS is now the warmest–the opposite of its trend yesterday. The GFS would bring the 0 degree 850 isotherm farther north, making for period of mixed precip overwhelming the initial snow for at least a few hours. The ECMWF has also shifted positions in its 00z run, never bringing that 0 degree line north of PA, and the Canadian is similar. In their ensemble means, the GFS is a little warmer Wednesday, but not as warm as its deterministic run. The Canadian & ECMWF mean keeps us with mainly, if not entirely snow." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2014 Author Share Posted January 31, 2014 GGEM and GFS ejecting issues continue on............... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 baby step in the right direction from the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Huge changes/improvements with amount of cold sector QPF, great hit for LAF/Indy and into OH. Baby steppin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.