stadiumwave Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 lol (Original main disturbance is the nonsense in the Mid-Atl.) System out west has phase written all over it. Joe Renken had said on his blog the main event would be around Feb. 11. I'd say that in SW is the main evet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Wow at the EURO. Maybe the models simply ingested some bad data and this was all a fluke. For now, I'l just pretend this run didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Don't even think the wyandotte magnet has the force to bring this one back. Hope to hell I eat crow. Still a long ways out but I think we've been duped in to models trying to break in to the new "pattern" if its to materialize too fast and we'll have to wait a little longer in to the last stretch of winter for the foot long potential storm in the western part of the forum. Still darn well worth to track this one south and east and hopefully models were sniffing something out early and not just a pigs arse and this one can go nuclear in time for those. Time for a couple day break and stick to catching the wx garbage on local tv like in the ole days of this old fart. Need a break and this looks like a good time to with the next couple stat padder events leading up to this thread seemingly wanting to go for a zzzzzzzz break also. See ya'll friday with hopefully models showing this one juicer than ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Hmmm...a little early for the ol' models losing the storm trick. Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 System out west has phase written all over it. Joe Renken had said on his blog the main event would be around Feb. 11. I'd say that in SW is the main evet. He has been doing some amazing LR forecasting this fall/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 He has been doing some amazing LR forecasting this fall/winter Indeed!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Don't even think the wyandotte magnet has the force to bring this one back. Hope to hell I eat crow. Still a long ways out but I think we've been duped in to models trying to break in to the new "pattern" if its to materialize too fast and we'll have to wait a little longer in to the last stretch of winter for the foot long potential storm in the western part of the forum. Still darn well worth to track this one south and east and hopefully models were sniffing something out early and not just a pigs arse and this one can go nuclear in time for those. Time for a couple day break and stick to catching the wx garbage on local tv like in the ole days of this old fart. Need a break and this looks like a good time to with the next couple stat padder events leading up to this thread seemingly wanting to go for a zzzzzzzz break also. See ya'll friday with hopefully models showing this one juicer than ever. DTW will somehow get its 2-4" out of this. I'm pretty confident of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Canada's Weather Network has already backed off from, and indeed cancelled, this storm for southern Ontario, says it will be an eastern U.S. storm. I'll give it a couple more days before I start punting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 DGEX punted. We're done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Canada's Weather Network has already backed off from, and indeed cancelled, this storm for southern Ontario, says it will be an eastern U.S. storm. I'll give it a couple more days before I start punting.That is just silly. How can they do that when the models keep flipping around from run to run?. Anyways euro ensembles don't support the op run. Much wetter here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 That is just silly. How can they do that when the models keep flipping around from run to run?. Anyways euro ensembles don't support the op run. Much wetter here. TWN is worse than me when it comes to hugging weather models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 lol I am more worried about mixing issues than getting shafted to the south at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I think Bow took his magnet back in my sleep.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 DGEX punted. We're done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Mathematic calculations will always create a chance, however some are 1/1 000 000..... This far out its up for grabs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 If model trends from the past week or so hold this will probably just end up being like 12 waves, 7 clippers and an arctic squall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 If model trends from the past week or so hold this will probably just end up being like 12 waves, 7 clippers and an arctic squall Maybe once you leave for Georgia, the storm will return on the models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The idea of a partial/sloppy vort ejection leading to the main vort hanging way back and digging into oblivion isn't something we haven't seen before and appears to be gaining favor. We're still well into no-mans-land model range (see how much they are struggling with this weekends event) but the trends aren't good for anyone in the subforum looking for a major. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Already seeing some fundamental changes with both the southern and northern stream on the 12z GFS by 126. I figure this run stops the bleeding at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Storm slowly coming back north on the GFS>..Steps.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 12z GFS does look better for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Big improvement.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Already seeing some fundamental changes with both the southern and northern stream on the 12z GFS by 126. I figure this run stops the bleeding at least. Yeah only a couple hundred mile shift of the surface low track. If this is any indication of the 12z model suite, things will probably be coming back north on the other models and would probably give us a chance to toss the 00z as being crap if all models follow this shift back north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 12z GFS with a 1052mb high over northern MT by 12z Weds.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yeah only a couple hundred mile shift of the surface low track. If this is any indication of the 12z model suite, things will probably be coming back north on the other models and would probably give us a chance to toss the 00z as being crap if all models follow this shift back north. we haven't really seen any consistency or reason to think this isn't just one of many more multi-hundred mile wobbles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 12z GFS with a 1052mb high over northern MT by 12z Weds.. Oh great more wonderful temperature anomalies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The 6z GEFS were marginally better than the 0z which were pretty much garbage, would be nice to see a few more amped members show up on 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 It amazes me the emotions of members in this thread. Y'all, above ALL forums, know that we see drastic model solutions this far out. Stop acting like a Facebook Weather Page in posting maps like they are gospel...PLEASE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 It amazes me the emotions of members in this thread. Y'all, above ALL forums, know that we see drastic model solutions this far out. Stop acting like a Facebook Weather Page in posting maps like they are gospel...PLEASE! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Just this storm. GFS within 48-96 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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