doncat Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Is it really that much warmer there? We had less snow to work with than you and the snowpack here is still at least 4-5" deep with no bare ground showing anywhere.Parts of Long Island were already well above freezing by midnight last night... didn't go above freezing here till 9 am this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 ticks me off. left charleston to hopefully see some snow up here,,,now it looks like charleston gets the big ice/snow and were left cold and dry up here. such great timing I have We've had over 20" of snow this month (I'm at 22" this month), we have some real opportunities next month and are in a massively below normal cold snap. It might take Charleston more than half a decade to accumulate the snow we've had in a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 GFS is not gospel, either. NAM and RGEM wheelshouse. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Euro and jma also shifted west and gets light precip into nyc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Euro and jma also shifted west and gets light precip into nyc. hell,,,I'll take even an inch at this point. just give me a little something to look at before I go back home sunday,,lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Beez. You need to play the lottery . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Beez. You need to play the lottery . yes,,,,now would probably be the time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On DT's facebook page he shows GFS and Canadian esembles and both show snow for NJ. The Euro has moved way west. So NJ is not out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On DT's facebook page he shows GFS and Canadian esembles and both show snow for NJ. The Euro has moved way west. So NJ is not out of it. A few flurries to perhaps an inch or two of snow just isn't that exciting for me. Even with the trends today, no one north of Atlantic City sees any more than that, except for maybe Nantucket and outermost Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 QPF over the next 48 hrs .... This one needs ALOT of improvement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 QPF.gif QPF over the next 48 hrs .... This one needs ALOT of improvement! Not alot. Good west trend on the models. Hope it continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Not alot. Good west trend on the models. Hope it continues. Think the storm around the 5th of Feb has a much better chance of occurring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Not alot. Good west trend on the models. Hope it continues. the trend has certainly slowed and were coming into better consensus as we get within the 48 hour range.. while small adjustments may take place either way, your needing about a 100 mile n/w shift if you're rooting for NYC and even then you have to hope the models are handling the qpf shield correctly etc... not happening on this one... a flake or two in the air, cant be ruled out, but this does not look like an accumulating snowfall for nyc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 SREF anyone ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Out to 24 on SV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 .1 back to NYC actually. So it's a bit west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 hell,,,I'll take even an inch at this point. just give me a little something to look at before I go back home sunday,,lol You should be good for 1 - 5" IMHO as Belmar is a good spot for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Why must the SREF's drag everyone back in. This run is quite a bit wetter than the last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 We get sucked in because every model but the GFS is west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 SREFs have a history of being too amplified. Look what happened with the last storm we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Is it really that much warmer there? We had less snow to work with than you and the snowpack here is still at least 4-5" deep with no bare ground showing anywhere. We were at 40 at midnight. And we were briefly in the upper 30s Saturday with the blasting sw wind. So we didn't have much left this am anyway. It's very hard to hang on to a snow pack on the immediate south shore. You go 15 miles north to the north side of the morain and its a whole other world! As far as this storm I think it's a lock we see not a flake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nam and next GFS and then we can have a better idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nam and next GFS and then we can have a better idea. I think we have an excellent idea already in most of the Metro - some clouds thats about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Lol at anyone writing this off as clouds or not a flake or SREFs are usually amped, etc. Just let things play out. As of now, we're ALL going to see some light snow on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 SREFs(mean) was dead on in my area. They should get more accurate as time goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 SREF's were within a few hundredths of an inch for me for last three events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 SREF's were within a few hundredths of an inch for me for last three events. i would have 2 more feet on the year if the srefs were half right lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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