sferic Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 who is staying up for euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 who is staying up for euro? I will, but I do not possess the necessary tools for a PbP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GGEM cont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 So painfully close to being something much bigger. How are the GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 So painfully close to being something much bigger. How are the GEFS?they look wetter GGEM snow total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Hr 36 shows light snow for LI and jersey shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The low looks in the same spot to me with some heavier precip west of where is was at 12z in NC. Overall it looks about the. same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GGEM is 1-3" 2-4" for many if ratios exceed 15:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GGEM is 1-3" 2-4" for many if ratios exceed 15:1 The Snowgrowth/Lift needs to be exceptionally good for even 15:1. I'd say 12:1 is a good shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The Snowgrowth/Lift needs to be exceptionally good for even 15:1. I'd say 12:1 is a good shot. Yup 10-12.5/1 should cut it for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 fwiw the 6z nam is a hair southeast of 0z run. was hoping for another nw jog. oh well,,,still hoping for 1-2" at the shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Precip is much further west this morning when compared to the 6z Guidance Neither the GFS nor the NAM Snow in Western TENN back thru Little Rock AR . I don't know if that translates downstream . But would like to see how the 12z Guidance initializes and see how it matches up this morning . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 If anything does fall on the coast , Ratios as per UPTON . SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...CONSENSUS AMONG THE GUIDANCE DEEPENS THE SOUTHERN STREAM LOW OFFTHE SOUTHEAST COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND TRACKS THE LOW WELLSOUTH AND EAST OF THE BENCHMARK TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THEPRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. WITH THE ARCTICAIRMASS IN PLACE THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS ALL SNOW. WILLAGAIN BE A RATHER DRY SNOW AND USED A SNOW RATIO BETWEEN 15 TO 1AND 20 TO 1. HIGHEST SNOWFALL WILL BE ACROSS THE TWIN FORKS ANDINTO COASTAL NEW LONDON COUNTY. THE LOW IS PROGRESSIVE AND WILLQUICKLY PRODUCE MUCH OF THE SNOW THIS EVENING INTO LATE TONIGHTWITH THE BEST LIFT AND SNOW GROWTH. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THE LOW ISTRACKING AWAY AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE WEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 i would have 2 more feet on the year if the srefs were half right loli still cannot find my car after all the snow i got from the srefs last wedneday night up here in western mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 i still cannot find my car after all the snow i got from the srefs last wedneday night up here in western mass lol - I think everyone should get extra sleep this week because starting this weekend there are going to be several late and all nighters with a train of storms coming each one with the potential to deliver big ! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014012806/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 i still cannot find my car after all the snow i got from the srefs last wedneday night up here in western mass Speaking of which I still have no power because the power lines are buried in 60" of snow from last years 00z NAM run prior to February's blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Speaking of which I still have no power because the power lines are buried in 60" of snow from last years 00z NAM run prior to February's blizzard.It should've melted by now from the DGEX's 113 degrees last July. Back on topic, looks like clouds will be thicker then originally thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Speaking of which I still have no power because the power lines are buried in 60" of snow from last years 00z NAM run prior to February's blizzard. yes I saw a picture of your street http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/image/1401/snowpoles_brinkman_960.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 NAM well N&W, brings a 1-3" storm for most of the Metro, more east...0.1" QPF line going to about KMMU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Lol, the NAM moved the precipitation shield 50-100 miles west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Lol, the NAM moved the precipitation shield 50-100 miles west. Is that a response to the trough continuing to sharpen, the kicker slowing, or a combination of both? Does 700 RH support the western precip or do we have a ways to go to saturate? TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Is that a response to the trough continuing to sharpen, the kicker slowing, or a combination of both? Does 700 RH support the western precip or do we have a ways to go to saturate? TIA. It could be a little bit of all of those things. But this model is so god awful, I really have a hard time putting trust into it even at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Lol, the NAM moved the precipitation shield 50-100 miles west. Models just have been absolutely terrible this winter. With everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 http://www.nynjpaweather.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/Screen-Shot-2014-01-28-at-8.53.47-AM-800x516.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 If I can get a 1" pack refresher....Ill be very happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 It could be a little bit of all of those things. But this model is so god awful, I really have a hard time putting trust into it even at this range. But the trend has most defintely been our friend & NAM & GFS were near carbon copies last night. You dont think this is real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 But the trend has most defintely been our friend & NAM & GFS were near carbon copies last night. You dont think this is real? The SREF mean keeps the 0.1" contour southeast of Montauk. I'm not that excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 the NAM does have the low further north - not just an expansion of the precip field to the west - the steadiest heavier snow line runs from the Bronx southwest across passaic - morris - somerset down to trenton all areas east of there get accumulations greater then 1 inch http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2014012812/namconus_reflectivity_us.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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