winterymix Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The Southern Stream seems to come alive with abandon. In the h500 images below, antecedence on February 5, there are conflicting geometric renditions of shortwaves (GFS vs. EURO) but the major pieces are in much the same place on both models. The persistent ridge in the west is helpful. Cold air is abundant and moisture is abundant. Arguing against the storm are: a. this is a east-based NAO or more like (+)NAO. b. the hemispheric pattern is not really what Wes tells us to look for in analog 4" and 8" DC snows. It is not a classic pattern for a snowstorm. c. Will there be enough vorticity at upper levels to induce a storm at the surface, the pattern seems more zonal than meridional? Still, the GFS looks nice at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 It's a 240hr map,I think most agree it's unlikely anything close will verify. Hell, look what it just did with the SE storm 72hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's a 240hr map,I think most agree it's unlikely anything close will verify. Hell, look what it just did with the SE storm 72hrs out. The juicy, moisture-laden storm is still there. The slp is stronger and closer to the coast so the solution is a little warmer but the signal persists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Whatever falls, I hope it's a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 You beat DT to it. WOOF WOOF!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Still locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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