Pilotwx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I haven't seen this mentioned since last night so I thought I would ask. What are your thoughts on the current water vapor loop. It looks light the southern system is moving ever so slightly east ne and possibly interacting a little with the northern stream. There is a little blow up on the the water vapor to the east of where this is occurring. Was this interaction modeled or is it something new? Or am I misreading the interaction? http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/reg/index.php?type=usa-wv-48 Been watching this all day and if you will notice the out west the ridge has sharpened up in turn I notice numerous pieces of energy get sucked into the Vort. This leads me to believe the the storm goes negative @ some point and the duration is longer. Is this the reason why we keep seeing the models back the moisture back west? But it seems to me that we may be in for something bigger than now modeled and longer in duration. But the truth be know i am just taking a stab at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GSP keeps going up on totals in Upstate SC.Man that's very encouraging. My ground is almost covered now and as Phil eluded the flake size is creeping up. The rate continues to be moderate and steady! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks like the 18z Rap increased precip amounts slightly for central NC and SC and filled in that hole in SC, to some degree. Looks great for the RDU area. Happy that hole is gone. In a situation like this you want everybody to get as much as possible. That way you have some wiggle room. Man this is killing me waiting for the snow. Actually glad I'm at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Man that's very encouraging. My ground is almost covered now and as Phil eluded the flake size is creeping up. The rate continues to be moderate and steady! Good for you Oconee.....send it due East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwupstatewx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Man that's very encouraging. My ground is almost covered now and as Phil eluded the flake size is creeping up. The rate continues to be moderate and steady! Absolutely. These have been more encouraging after every update. Phil has provided some great guidance on the flake size as well as the radar returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Man that's very encouraging. My ground is almost covered now and as Phil eluded the flake size is creeping up. The rate continues to be moderate and steady!good to see you finally getting in on the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 wow .....Civil Emergency issued in Alabama due to extremely hazardous roads.....my brother used to live in Ohio and they would do that there......basically if you are caught on the road and it is not an emergency you can be fined or arrested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 NWS is on board for 10-14" in ORF. Hope you guys in NC can cash in on this as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Man that's very encouraging. My ground is almost covered now and as Phil eluded the flake size is creeping up. The rate continues to be moderate and steady! the radar echos around ne ga and the upstate seem to be having spurts of probably moderate snow. lets hope that keeps expanding a bit lol just did a measurement (without moderate snow dangit haha) : .9" edited to add (hit post too fast : it is and they sure have. was about inch this morning and now 3-4 for a lot of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Moderate snow falling in northern pickens county. Our local weatherman are probably going to want to hide after this. NWS just increase d my area between 3-4 and it keeps increasing every few hours. So much for just a few flurries north of I-85....... Kudos to Robert (Foothills) & Dr. Phil!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Moderate snow falling in northern pickens county. Our local weatherman are probably going to want to hide after this. NWS just increase d my area between 3-4 and it keeps increasing every few hours. So much for just a few flurries north of I-85....... Kudos to Robert (Foothills) & Dr. Phil!!!!! Two of the best mets from around these parts. Maybe Phil will come back -1 850s creeping into my area of Lexington, SC! Models had it warmer; so happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 NWS is on board for 10-14" in ORF. Hope you guys in NC can cash in on this as well. I was in Newport News in 1988 and experienced the biggest snow storm in my life (and I grew up in WV). Went to bed with a forecast of 1 - 3" and woke up with over a foot on the ground. Did not stop until late afternoon with 18" Sounds like they are in for another biggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Uhm, SC is alrdy under state of emergency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Uhm, SC is alrdy under state of emergency. I wonder why. I'm beginning to wonder if we are going to get anything here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 RAH still expecting 5-6" over here in Johnston Co. via FB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCStateMMY Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I was in Newport News in 1988 and experienced the biggest snow storm in my life (and I grew up in WV). Went to bed with a forecast of 1 - 3" and woke up with over a foot on the ground. Did not stop until late afternoon with 18" Sounds like they are in for another biggie. Hopefully the high accumulations will creep there way to the southwest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfman23601 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I was in Newport News in 1988 and experienced the biggest snow storm in my life (and I grew up in WV). Went to bed with a forecast of 1 - 3" and woke up with over a foot on the ground. Did not stop until late afternoon with 18" Sounds like they are in for another biggie. I remember that clearly. Went with my aunt to the video store down the street. Started snowing when we got there. By the time we left it was already covered in about 3 inches. That was nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 SIAP, but just got back in and waaaaay too many pages to wade through. Has anyone addressed what looks like a nice chunk of energy breaking away from the southern low on WV and joining the northern stream. Currently flooding the southern stream in east Texas. Any thoughts on what that means downstream? http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Finally radar is filling in over eastern NC snow being reported reaching the ground in numerous areas now....hope its the start of about 18 straight hrs of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks like the 18z Rap increased precip amounts slightly for central NC and SC and filled in that hole in SC, to some degree. the 18z on the county map is actually lower and not as expensive with the 7"+ line in Wake County, as the 17z got the 8" line into Northern Wake, but it is higher precip amounts in NE NC with a more expansive 9" area into SE VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I wonder why. I'm beginning to wonder if we are going to get anything here. You're kidding me right? lol KCAE is definitely goint to see winter weather. Been sleeting here forever; just about to evap cool down to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I wonder why. I'm beginning to wonder if we are going to get anything here. The state does not equal just your backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 the 18z on the county map is actually lower and not as expensive with the 7"+ line in Wake County, as the 17z got the 8" line into Northern Wake, but it is higher precip amounts in NE NC with a more expansive 9" area into SE VA. Thanks Jon. The 19z is coming in now. I'll post an image for comparison, when it's done....not that it really matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 the 18z on the county map is actually lower and not as expensive with the 7"+ line in Wake County, as the 17z got the 8" line into Northern Wake, but it is higher precip amounts in NE NC with a more expansive 9" area into SE VA. 19z looks the same as the 18z, still 0.6-0.7", falling back in line with the NAM of 0.4-0.5". RAH ain't buying with calling for 4-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Based on radar returns out west I'm not so sure they won't change their tune. I think they must like to be conservative and then raise the totals if needed so they can say they didn't cry wolf. If you look at the models and the radar and reports of places in AL getting snow that were not supposed to, then 5 inches would be at the low end for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 19z looks the same as the 18z, still 0.6-0.7", falling back in line with the NAM of 0.4-0.5". RAH ain't buying with calling for 4-5". Not a good trend for Wake Co...I bet that 0.7" line is out of wake county by 20z run. IDK it's obvious to me the runs are getting drier in Central NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
airmarci Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 19Z RAP puts out 0.69" of QPF for RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Latest RAP also calls for less sleet in the region, down to .15 on 19Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=RAP&grid=255&model_yyyy=2014&model_mm=01&model_dd=28&model_init_hh=19&fhour=18¶meter=PCPIN&level=18&unit=HR&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Here's the image. Not a ton of difference, but would definitely like to see it trend wetter rather than drier, even if the difference is slight. It closed the donut hole in SC, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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