packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Holy cats, the NS is doing it all by itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 gfs colder at the coast, ip where there was frz rain before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 A little less inland at hour 54, but still better than the 12z GFS and 00z NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The trough appears to maybe be sharper. If it would go negative then it would really explode! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's pulling away @57. We're still in the game. CLT east gets 4+ inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 Sharp cutoff west on this run for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's pulling away @57. We're still in the game. CLT east gets 4+ inches. Cuts off at interstate 85? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 This run looks the most realistic out of all of them to me..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Ha! I'll have to find the hills, but only because I'm going to be working (after I was supposed to have the week off...). That's actually not a bad idea... Find where the good hills are so I can have some good live shots! ... If they let me... LOL! I want to go out and enjoy this snow. Unlike the ice storm back in 2011 when I had to work the whole event inside. Seriously, you may have to wait another 40 years to see this again, if it happens. The nam gave me 2.7 in snow. Don't know what the ratio's would be, but it's a lot. I don't believe that, because I've waited all my life for it to happen, so why would I believe it now, lol. It's fun though. Might be time to tell your viewers how to sled properly and not bust their butts, lol. I sure hope they don't lock you in the studios for a week with this one. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Not sure how that happened, the southern stream did get some late interaction with NS .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 A little less inland at hour 54, but still better than the 12z GFS and 00z NAM... The initial batch of energy moving through is stronger.. but it all ends faster because it's left the baja low behind which reinforces the gulf mosture fetch and what brings in the last chunk of precip from the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Right at .75 qpf for RDU...I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Between .2 and .3 for the ATL metro. Increases greatly once you get south of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 well lost my NW shift, I'm back to nothing again up here in the N.Foothills................ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I'd be willing to bet the ensembles will be just as good as the 18z run. The full phase scenario was almost there had the southern wave progressed just a tad quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 gfs much colder this run for coastal areas good trend in that aspect. ends as snow along the coast as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The initial batch of energy moving through is stronger.. but it all ends faster because it's left the baja low behind which reinforces the gulf mosture fetch and what brings in the last chunk of precip from the 18z run. Yeah, that really makes a big difference as far as extreme totals go. However, in the end about the same amount falls for inland areas..and that's a good thing since that means we don't need so much interaction to get good snow out of it. Around 0.50 falls here. Had just under 0.75 with the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Probably about time for a round of applause for Mr. FeelGood, Larry!!!! Looks like he's roped a monster in the making. Good on ya, Larry! I think this one will top your Sav call, by a wide margin, though the Sav call may have been the tougher needle to thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 ILM is a wicked ice storm, 1.5" QPF over a 30+ hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 You are correct sir. Sharp cutoff west on this run for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Through 51 hours, 20 miles south of Atlanta, looks like a total of about .45 inches liquid. Not sure what the ratios would be. Looks to give Tony's place better than mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Cuts off at interstate 85? For SC. For NC it looks more like somewhere between I-77 and I-85. It actually reminds me of January 2000's cutoff a little, though probably further west than that. Actually, the whole state gets snow, but if you're talking about significant snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 For SC. For NC it looks more like somewhere between I-77 and I-85. It actually reminds me of January 2000's cutoff a little, though probably further west than that. Actually, the whole state gets snow, but if you're talking about significant snowfall... Yea but need it more north and west to get you and me. Still be a good storm for a lot of others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 0z GFS is better than I expected given its outcome with the baja low. Curious how the ensembles take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 These 00z NAM & 00z GFS runs are much better to not have ptype issues for the KCAE area for more than just a bit. Anxiously awaiting COBB data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Yea but need it more north and west to get you and me. Still be a good storm for a lot of others It's actually still a pretty good storm here. If I didn't see the 18z run, I'd be jumping for joy right now. Even out your way, it's maybe an inch. I'll take being on the NW fringes at this stage every day over being on the SE fringes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Through 51 hours, 20 miles south of Atlanta, looks like a total of about .45 inches liquid. Not sure what the ratios would be. Looks to give Tony's place better than mine. Looks like us N GA folks need to have a snow party at Tony's! What ya say, T? 0z dropped the QPF numbers here when compared to the 18z. Time to see what the GEFS says! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 0Z RGEM is encouraging -- much more precip at 48 hours than the 12z GGEM had at 60 hours. Can't see into Mexico to see what happens to southern energy, but wouldn't be surprised to see the Big Brother Canadian make a comeback on 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 It's actually still a pretty good storm here. If I didn't see the 18z run, I'd be jumping for joy right now. Even out your way, it's maybe an inch. I'll take being on the NW fringes at this stage every day over being on the SE fringes. It's probably 4-5" with 10:1, so probably 5-6" with ratios, verbatim for you? Nice, I would take that right now and call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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