max100 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 i would love to see this trend up that way for snow, so I can get in the sleet line. I'd love to have my snow undercut with sleet. Probably the only one but there you are. Things still in play, I'd say, could be a bust for us, could get better I'm waiting to see Goofy at midnight before I let the excitement creep in...I remember too vividly what happen in 73. Weather will put in the shrive, and give it a twist, and laugh at you Best to expect to get screwed, lol. T Atlanta was still recovering from the massive ice storm about a month before in January, we honestly did not need 16 inches of snow after that. I did not have power for 15 days. I still feel Midtown and S and SE ward will get at least an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 I may be forgetting something but on the GFS this is the first run in awhile that I've seen that energy actually making it into WY up north. Of course it is the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 This is going to be awfully close for a lot of people on the 18z. Energy in the west digging more and southern energy racing east. Just for reference 12z had that southern energy in the baja while 18z has it off the Mexico coast. At 45 energy in the west is in CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 Lots more moisture firing off in Texas @48 compared to 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 If the 18z GFS ain't a complete weenie run I give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Lots more moisture firing off in Texas @48 compared to 12z GFS. Yeah, this is going to be a better run...More moisture inland at 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 This looks like it's going to be night and day compared to the 12z. Big NW shift with moisture on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Good lord the 18z is WET...I-20 in play this run.... hour54 so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 If the 18z GFS ain't a complete weenie run I give up. Weenie run coming...All the SE has moisture at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 It does look a little warmer to me along the coast. We'll have to see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 fury88, on 26 Jan 2014 - 4:53 PM, said:I'm confused. Is that rain or snow totals? It says it on the map.. storm total snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Here's a tidbit from the NWS at Charleston: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THIS WINTER STORM. ONCE THE STORMBEGINS...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY AND TRAVEL WILLBECOME DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. PREPARE TO REMAIN IN A SAFESHELTER WITHOUT ELECTRICITY FOR SEVERAL DAYS. OBTAIN VITALSUPPLIES SUCH AS POTABLE WATER...NON-PERISHABLE FOOD...MEDICINE...BATTERIES...FLASHLIGHTS...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND AN ALTERNATEHEAT SOURCE SUCH AS A GENERATOR...NON- ELECTRIC SPACE HEATER ORWOOD FOR YOUR FIREPLACE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS went ape shi* this run...huge diff at hr 60...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Atlanta was still recovering from the massive ice storm about a month before in January, we honestly did not need 16 inches of snow after that. I did not have power for 15 days. I still feel Midtown and S and SE ward will get at least an inch or two. Sorry, I'm hard core. I was living in Buckhead, and would have given anything to see that much snow the day after the ice storm. Would have only been fitting for how much I suffered from the zmonster I expect Marietta will see some snow this time. This hasn't been written yet. Every map I see gets me closer to the glory. One I just looked at had the best bumbing off the bottom of the county. 0z's will tell the tale. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS went ape shi* this run...huge diff at hr 60...lol Phasing the NS and Southern completely? I know its close at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The 18z went crazy and buried the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 As far as I'm concerned GFS went BOOM compared to where it was. Lots more moisture. Puts CLT in what looks like .50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 18z GFS dug the polar s/w much more to the southwest. Big run for most, including RDU. However, more ice/snow in coastal sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dg12x Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 It does look a little warmer to me along the coast. We'll have to see what happens. For sure..it's all rain in Charleston through 12z Wed with 1.60" qpf. Sfc dips below freezing by 18z Wed...when another 0.6" falls, but that would be mainly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUProud Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 James Spann's map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 As far as I'm concerned GFS went BOOM compared to where it was. Lots more moisture. Puts CLT in what looks like .50 I'd cash out now. This has been as good a look since Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 By the way from the past, my Feb 1973 case study. http://www.americanwx.com/models/raleighwx/studies/feb73.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS went ape shi* this run...huge diff at hr 60...lol 180kt 250mb jet core along the New England coast, evidence of the 200mb shortwave axis taking on a neg tilt over TX, 18z GFS does not disappoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 around 0.75 here through 69. This is such a huge change in every regard, I'd be cautious to jump all over it. So much faster with the southern system and having it interact with the northern stream when it was already considered to be on the fast side via wpc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 TBH; I don't like where the 850MB 0c line is for many in in Central SC lately. Too close for comfort; and now a tad worse. Far from all snow around these parts probably. So I know the coast is screwed for a good portion of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 wow at 18z GFS. The GFS ensemble members have been hinting at this possibility (much more precip inland) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 What is the western cutoff for precip according to the 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 18z GFS is a big time SE storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 wow at 18z GFS. The GFS ensemble members have been hinting at this possibility (much more precip inland) Wow.. I was just about to throw it in for us. 9z SREF was onto something perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Total precip up to 78 hrs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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