RevDodd Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Before we get into lockdown mode today for posts, let me thank the folks who kept reminding people to stay away from the ledge yesterday. This feels exactly like the week before Christmas 2010. The models giveth, and they taketh away ... and sometimes giveth right back. Best of luck to everyone today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 On 1/26/2014 at 2:07 PM, stormtracker said: I just my mom in Marion, SC that she might get snow. She laughed at me dude. You tell some people living down there that and it aint right on their doorstep they will laugh every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Oooh, it is nice to see the southern energy further west at 30 than on the 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 KAVL plume's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 Anyone want to talk about what WPC put out about that "wavy front" that would lead to snow in the southern apps? Just curious how that sets up and what we look for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 SREF plumes for FAY tripled overnight. Hard not to get giddy seeing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Thanks. Even though I should have JFGIT On 1/26/2014 at 2:09 PM, calculus1 said: This is the link for SREF plumes for Hickory. Click on the little dots to get other cities in the map below. They just upgraded the site yesterday, I believe. It looks a little different than it used to. I like it. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140126&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=HKY&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=35.42906773122139&mLON=-79.288746484375&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 Skip you were def. spot on about the 00z NAM run. This looks a lot like it just all parties are shifted slightly east. My guess is this keeps moisture just a tick south of where 00z had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I know it's early, but any ideas on the timing of this event for CLT, should there be one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Better with southern energy, but now the 12z has the northern energy even farther east than 0z run. Will be interesting to see how that plays out. On 1/26/2014 at 2:16 PM, burgertime said: Skip you were def. spot on about the 00z NAM run. This looks a lot like it just all parties are shifted slightly east. My guess is this keeps moisture just a tick south of where 00z had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 @45 our southern energy looks more NE of 6z. Looking at the SFC it's reflective in Texas as well. Small blip of precip has moved north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 45hr has a closed contour to the northeast of the 6z position in MX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 On 1/26/2014 at 2:16 PM, QC_Halo said: I know it's early, but any ideas on the timing of this event for CLT, should there be one? Looking like Wed. around 3-4 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 12z looks better than 0z IMO, digging more SW through 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 NAM is close to something big. That energy in MX looks much better @51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 SFC looks night and day with moisture in TX @54. Keep moving east vort! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 On 1/26/2014 at 2:23 PM, burgertime said: SFC looks night and day with moisture in TX @54. Keep moving east vort!Northern not as sharp but it's still not too far off man. Love the southern vort right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 through hour 51 it's actually wetter and a bit further north with the precip (or virga at this stage) than the 06z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 I really like what the NAM is doing with that southern energy. It's really helping juice up everything south. @60 snow is pushing into CAE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 On 1/26/2014 at 2:23 PM, burgertime said: SFC looks night and day with moisture in TX @54. Keep moving east vort! Lots of moisture to work with at 60hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 60hr that southern vort is trucking like a son of a gun into southern most TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 This is going to be like the Christmas storm -- Charlotte types go from begging precip to make it north to begging cold air to make it south .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I feel delusional tracking this thing-- hoping for my area. NAM is better, it's ashamed it can't slow down 12 more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 precip is wetter in general but for those of us further north notice the increase in totals in the lower ms valley. The further north the precip is there the better for north ga/western carolinas.I hope that continues but we'll see. 06z run 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 looking great for the coastal areas at 60...great run considering the new data ingested, lets see how accums are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 On 1/26/2014 at 2:28 PM, WeatherNC said: Lots of moisture to work with at 60hrs 700nam.JPG Hi-Res will have moisture making it to us earlier I can almost guarantee it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 On 1/26/2014 at 2:10 PM, burgertime said: I just my mom in Marion, SC that she might get snow. She laughed at me dude. You tell some people living down there that and it aint right on their doorstep they will laugh every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 On 1/26/2014 at 2:31 PM, Huffwx said: I feel delusional tracking this thing-- hoping for my area. NAM is better, it's ashamed it can't slow down 12 more hours. You're welcome to come to the house if you need to chase Keith! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 On 1/26/2014 at 2:29 PM, Buddy1987 said: 60hr that southern vort is trucking like a son of a gun into southern most TX Good but the polar vort is trending NW. That needs to fall into the southern wave to pull the prcip shield north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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