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February 2014 Pattern Discussion Thread


free_man

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This pattern ironically could fit the WP correlation for Feb well. If the ridge does retro you would think it furnaces us with zonal flow, but no so fast. The correlation in Feb for a -WP February is some troughing in the east and SW ridging which the GEFS have. I still think the EC is too PAC jet happy and I'm sticking with that. Big turnaround in the 12z GFS today.

 

 

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/data/correlation/corr.test1.pl?iregr=1&var=Geopotential+Height&level=500mb&mon1=2&mon2=2&iy%5B1%5D=&iy%5B2%5D=&ilead=0&ilag=0&type=6&timefile=&customtitle=&labelc=Color&labels=Shaded&cint=&lowr=&highr=&scale=&switch=0&proj=Northern+Hemisphere&xlat1=&xlat2=&xlon1=&xlon2=&custproj=Cylindrical+Equidistant&level1=1000mb&level2=10mb&Submit=Create+Plot

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well of course not, the rarity of last year alone , but a true noreaster wrapped up at the BM, moving slowly from the Delmarva would be a treat, more about the date than the intensity

Yes... and a number of biggies have fallen between the 4th and 10th of Feb.  Just an overall good period. Temps are good, storminess. 

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Feb will be our BEST month. 

 

Just get Past the Super Bowl weekend and some 40's then it's back to all on onslaught of winter and probably build our best snow pack. Snow for Days and Days and Feet and Feet. Then more Arctic Chill.

 

Signed

 

BLIZZ

 

*disclaimer   these posts are subject to hype and exaggeration of any model trends and or an imagination of such trends occurring in future all bias to the snowy/cold side

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