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January 30-February 2nd Wave Train


Chicago Storm

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A couple weaker disturbances streaking eastward across the region have been showing up fairly regularly on the models.  The Euro consistently shows them, but the GFS has been off and on.  Today's 12z Euro drops about 2 inches here Thursday and another 4 inches Friday.  Those aren't huge events, but it's better than anything we've had this month.

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Thursday's wave starting to look more interesting, perhaps 2-4" for much of Wisconsin?

 

Maybe 1-2", its going to be a quick hitter. Its cool to see our shortwave move out of the Rockies and phase with the cold front associated with the system in Canada, definitely a much better solution than 24hrs ago.

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GGEM didn't change that much. It was less organized than the ECMWF on the 12z. 

 

pretty big shift from 12z.  In fact looking at the 500mb I'm surprised it makes it that far northwest riding a positively tilted trough with so much confluence and the orientation of the PV.  Like other's have said, lots of moving parts.  If the euro holds serve, it probably has the right idea.    But wtf do I know... :gun_bandana:  :grad:

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it is the same general idea that takes a further east origin to its track, but overall, the same idea the 12z had.........which will change again.

 

lol, you think so? Regardless, verbatim, it was different for here. But arguing details is fruitless at this stage.

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