Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 lock it in! Nice having Joe optimistic this year. You've missed a lot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 OFF TOPIC- But holy cow that storm at hour 190+ on the Euro ... Oo The 0Z GGEM had this storm as did the 0z GFS. Needs to be watched as the S/W enters California and reorganizes itself near the Gulf. Nice SE ridge out ahead of it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Not to get too detailed in a specific run of a model, but the mixing would probably come at the tail end of the event looking at the thermodynamic profile. It would be close from the middle part of the event and beyond. Also just to clarify what you are talking about for others, mixing would mean sleet or freezing rain, this wouldn't go over to plain rain here. Temperatures remain 30 or below for the event, normally I wouldn't wish for a mixed event but something to put a lid on the blowing and drifting of the snow would be nice. Im almost ready to agree with you...getting tired of the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nice having Joe optimistic this year. You've missed a lot! Yeah he was a debbie the last couple winters but i guess in the end he somehow seen what us snow weenies didn't want to. He's great just like you and many others here yet somehow he can vibe a meh situation and confidently run with it.. I expect nothing but good things for your area to continue just from his vibe given out in post not to metion his incredible forecasting ability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 OFF TOPIC- But holy cow that storm at hour 190+ on the Euro ... Oo All 3 models have something around that time, the rich keep getting richer. Back in the fall when I mentioned this would be a hyper active winter like 07-08, I never envisioned this. This has been an incredible ride thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Really don't want another ice storm. Dodged the bullet in the last one in. got to witness some incredible icing without losing power while 80% of the county I live in did lose power. Can't imagine I would get lucky like that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Really don't want another ice storm. Dodged the bullet in the last one in. got to witness some incredible icing without losing power while 80% of the county I live in did lose power. Can't imagine I would get lucky like that again. Almost forgot about the big ice storm (yuck) this winter.. You guys have had a truly epic start to winter. no doubt in my mind it doesn't go out like a lamb. You guys have rocked out feb's and this one is gonna be hard not to in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 GFS Ensembles look interesting enough for both storm threats. Overall, Chicago and Detroit look pretty good in this early stage (yet again) so I'll lean towards the rich getting richer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Almost forgot about the big ice storm (yuck) this winter.. You guys have had a truly epic start to winter. no doubt in my mind it doesn't go out like a lamb. You guys have rocked out feb's and this one is gonna be hard not to in the end. Yea it's been our winter here in michigan for sure. Appreciating it fully as these kinds of winters are few and far between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nice having Joe optimistic this year. You've missed a lot! That's what chasin' records does to one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 That's what chasin' records does to one. doesn't mean you have to be a douche on skype the last 2 winters Matty ice and the falcons didn't help the lame last 2 winters on a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Wow at that storm on the EURO around 216hr... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 quite a few of the 6z GEFS have a decent storm during the period in question with some pretty major timing differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 To clear it up a little, my posts have sucked lately. But, got some things going on in life that's dragging me down a bit. I apologize for bringing it into my posting. Moving on now... Alas, storm train looks to get rolling. Probably a pattern that will confuse the models at times, so hang tight. But, it should give everyone some opportunities. I'd still rather be more north than south, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 To clear it up a little, my posts have sucked lately. But, got some things going on in life that's dragging me down a bit. I apologize for bringing it into my posting. Moving on now... Alas, storm train looks to get rolling. Probably a pattern that will confuse the models at times, so hang tight. But, it should give everyone some opportunities. I'd still rather be more north than south, but we'll see. Very glad to see you back this AM. But so sorry to hear about your real life drags, never fun and i hope they work out for the best asap for all involved. You're a top notch and very knowledgeable poster no matter what life is dealing you and I always very look forward to reading yours and everybody eles's wx thoughts.. You're going to have lots of winter weather joy to come yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Very glad to see you back this AM. But so sorry to hear about your real life drags, never fun and i hope they work out for the best asap for all involved. You're a top notch and very knowledgeable poster no matter what life is dealing you and I always very look forward to reading yours and everybody eles's wx thoughts.. You're going to have lots of winter weather joy to come yet. Can't say it better so i'll just quote it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Can't say it better so i'll just quote it. x2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 To clear it up a little, my posts have sucked lately. But, got some things going on in life that's dragging me down a bit. I apologize for bringing it into my posting. Moving on now... Alas, storm train looks to get rolling. Probably a pattern that will confuse the models at times, so hang tight. But, it should give everyone some opportunities. I'd still rather be more north than south, but we'll see. you're part of the life blood of the sub.... no worries! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Too much love for a dumb weenie. But thanks fellas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 12z GFS a little more interested in Jan 30-31. South of the 0z Euro, but baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 To clear it up a little, my posts have sucked lately. But, got some things going on in life that's dragging me down a bit. I apologize for bringing it into my posting. Moving on now... Alas, storm train looks to get rolling. Probably a pattern that will confuse the models at times, so hang tight. But, it should give everyone some opportunities. I'd still rather be more north than south, but we'll see. I don't know most in here, but I do know that I enjoy your analysis (along with most everyone else's)...take care of yourself so you can keep it rolling brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 the end of the week into the weekend is just so active...nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Appreciate it, Gilbertfly. 12z GFS is pretty nice for here, with the 1/30-31 system. It's an improvement over the 0z run, but still south of the Euro. Some northward corrections are likely with the GFS. Might be a kitchen sinker for LAF, in the end. Should be fun and interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Bit more moisture showing up. Maybe a 2-4" deal for N IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 fugly to get any left turner on the gfs runs of late... sure i could draw up what I want to see to thread a needle storm up here but that's not going to happen or get me what I want. We punt for now and work on the shopping mall maps collection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Yeah recent GFS runs are further south.... and weaker for the 31st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Weenie run for IN and OH peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Weenie run for IN and OH peeps. this looks pretty close to in line with my thoughts for the wave train...exception being a little more mix or ice than snow on the southern fringes of that swath into the OV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The latest GFS is too progressive and the waves have no room to amplify and gain strength. The potential is their but timing is key with both waves. Lets see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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