gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Has to be as far left as it can go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 So the GGEM of all models may manage to pull a coupe. Amazing. Yet, I bet going forward if it shows monster solutions with the 3rd-5th storm, there's a 99.9% chance it won't verify and it will trend weaker/SE to whatever the crappy model consensus is. It did a great job last week as well with the clipper train. It's really been on a roll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 2m wet bulb 0 line on the NAM looks like it's south of the Kankakee River at 15z Saturday. Not a good sign for avoiding a bad icing situation. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 So the GGEM of all models may manage to pull a coupe. Amazing. Yet, I bet going forward if it shows monster solutions with the 3rd-5th storm, there's a 99.9% chance it won't verify and it will trend weaker/SE to whatever the crappy model consensus is. Looks like a storm with little cold sector precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Has to be as far left as it can go I'd certainly hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Has to be as far left as it can go Nah. There's still room/time for more. I'd be giddy if I was BowMe, right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 So the GGEM of all models may manage to pull a coupe. Amazing. Yet, I bet going forward if it shows monster solutions for us with the 3rd-5th storm, there's a 99.9% chance it won't verify and it will trend weaker/SE to whatever the crappy model consensus will be. DTW has won about 90% of the time this winter so you shouldn't be too upset. Can't win 'em all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Looks like 1-3 inches to 0.25 ZR/Sleet/Rain back to 1-3 inches of snow. I'll probably end up with a net gain in snow, but not exactly something I really want to see. I'd rather skip the whole storm and just have blue skies and 25F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 DTW has won about 90% of the time this winter so you shouldn't be too upset. Can't win 'em all. Eh, I don't blame him. When you're rolling, it's harder to lose them. You never know if and when they'll come back. Well, for LAF...they might be gone for good. But DTW still has a lot of life left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 DTW has won about 90% of the time this winter so you shouldn't be too upset. Can't win 'em all. I probably would trade much of the relative crap we've gotten so far (in terms of individual storm impacts) for what will probably happen with this system, given again the intense lift and moisture values progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 2m wet bulb 0 line on the NAM looks like it's south of the Kankakee River at 15z Saturday. Not a good sign for avoiding a bad icing situation. Sent from my SCH-I535 IKK to VPZ looks dicey on this run assuming there's not much sleet mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I probably would trade much of the relative crap we've gotten so far (in terms of individual storm impacts) for what will probably happen with this system, given again the intense lift and moisture values progged. Exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 2m wet bulb 0 line on the NAM looks like it's south of the Kankakee River at 15z Saturday. Not a good sign for avoiding a bad icing situation. Sent from my SCH-I535 IKK to VPZ looks dicey on this run assuming there's not much sleet mixing in. I think all areas that see anything other than snow or sleet, even if surface temps warm above freezing are game for a bad icing situation, considering the problems we had a few weeks ago with temperatures warming close to 40 and rain. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Not as as I was thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Eh, I don't blame him. When you're rolling, it's harder to lose them. You never know if and when they'll come back. Well, for LAF...they might be gone for good. But DTW still has a lot of life left. Well, I figure if I can shrug off another excruciating miss given what an abysmal snowhole Toronto has been this winter, anybody on pace for 80-100" can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Chicago = win. What a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 But anyways, it's probably time for me to exit out of this thread. At least there's still the 3rd-5th storm to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Exactly cue Josh bitchslapping these posts in 3..2..1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Well, I figure if I can shrug off another excruciating miss given what an abysmal snowhole Toronto has been this winter, anybody on pace for 80-100" can. Right, understood. It's all about one's backyard. I mean I'm in here bemoaning my fate with this one, after a exceptionally snowy month...but, you know. Still sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 any minute MKE will issue WSW!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 any minute MKE will issue WSW!!!! No kidding they will! 4km NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 now WE wait.... ....for the nw trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 So the GGEM of all models may manage to pull a coupe. Amazing. Yet, I bet going forward if it shows monster solutions for us with the 3rd-5th storm, there's a 99.9% chance it won't verify and it will trend weaker/SE to whatever the crappy model consensus will be. The GEM actually has done decent this winter. It nailed the December 14th storm locally when none of the other models had it. And this is nothing close to a monster. The GEM is always unrealistic with its monsters, but it does nail other storms often times. It also nailed Dec 31-Jan 2 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Good rain for LAF on the NAM though. 1.06" is pretty solid. Enjoy the snow, to those up north. Hopefully it overachieves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 cue Josh bitchslapping these posts in 3..2..1 Well let him have at it. He's made it very clear over the years that he's a firm snowcover lover. With the record-breaking siberian airmass and frequent nickel and dime events, this has practically been his textbook type of winter. As long as he has some type of snow on the ground all winter with flakes flying, he's a happy camper and won't care what type of snowstorms we get. We will never see eye-to-eye when it comes to this, which is fine. (ok, exiting thread for real now) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 cue Josh bitchslapping these posts in 3..2..1 he should...are you kidding me....Detroit poster bitching about ANYTHING??? Josh is probably busy right now frantically running snow pack preservation calculations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Good rain for LAF on the NAM though. 1.06" is pretty solid. Enjoy the snow, to those up north. Hopefully it overachieves. Where are we going to put all of this water with the frozen ground? Could get interesting as the temps drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Where are we going to put all of this water with the frozen ground? Could get interesting as the temps drop. Indeed. Pond hockey on the roads by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 cue Josh bitchslapping these posts in 3..2..1 If you havent noticed....there are some people who will find something wrong with EVERY snowstorm. Its like they have to go through a checklist of every possible thing a snowstorm can have, and if there is ANYTHING missing, it WILL get complained about. See it every winter here. We have had absolutely everything but the kitchen sink here this winter and its still b*tching. NOW...if this storm was modeled to BULLSEYE DTW, we would be hearing our usual "of course we jackpot the run of the mill storms....but Feb 5th will miss us either N or S". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Here we go Detroit just beat it's all time snowiest month on record. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.