Hoosier Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 LOT holding a conference call at 3pm for Fri/Sat. Any guess on what they will do? I'm thinking a watch for at least the northern 1/2 to 2/3 of the cwa but wouldn't be surprised if they just blanket the entire area and possibly convert southern areas to advisories as it gets closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Now it is cooking with larger flakes. Blowing around in sheets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 9z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Any guess on what they will do? I'm thinking a watch for at least the northern 1/2 to 2/3 of the cwa but wouldn't be surprised if they just blanket the entire area and possibly convert southern areas to advisories as it gets closer. I'm guessing watch as well and probably all the CWA and adjust accordingly as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Any guess on what they will do? I'm thinking a watch for at least the northern 1/2 to 2/3 of the cwa but wouldn't be surprised if they just blanket the entire area and possibly convert southern areas to advisories as it gets closer. bolded sounds right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro is mostly rain here while the NAM sticks with mostly frozen precip of some sort. GFS is in between. Should be interesting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 LOT holding a conference call at 3pm for Fri/Sat. Any guess on what they will do? I'm thinking a watch for at least the northern 1/2 to 2/3 of the cwa but wouldn't be surprised if they just blanket the entire area and possibly convert southern areas to advisories as it gets closer. We're basically in the time window for watch issuance, so I don't think any of the guidance today gave any reason not have enough confidence (50%) for a watch. It's possible that the northern tier of counties may be left out if a watch is issued with everywhere south of I90 in the watch down to the Kankakee River. As far as the southern counties, those are tough because it looks like they'll see snow initially followed by mixing. Even plain rain would be a problem with cold ground temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Question for the northern Illinois people who went through the icing with temps above freezing a couple weeks ago. Did you notice any accretion on things like trees, power lines etc or was it mainly just ice on the pavement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 NAM is out to lunch. Euro, GGEM, GFS, etc the way to go. My updated call. Less frozen/freezing for LAF, but no changes to the second part. My Fri/Sat call for LAF: 0.5" of snow/mix...0.80" of rain. Top out in the low 40's on Saturday. Overall jackpot snowfall locations of 6-8"...central part of the QC - north central IL - western/northern Chicago suburbs - southeast WI - southwest lower MI - southeast MI ,north of DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 We're basically in the time window for watch issuance, so I don't think any of the guidance today gave any reason not have enough confidence (50%) for a watch. It's possible that the northern tier of counties may be left out if a watch is issued with everywhere south of I90 in the watch down to the Kankakee River. As far as the southern counties, those are tough because it looks like they'll see snow initially followed by mixing. Even plain rain would be a problem with cold ground temps. Thanks for your input as always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Question for the northern Illinois people who went through the icing with temps above freezing a couple weeks ago. Did you notice any accretion on things like trees, power lines etc or was it mainly just ice on the pavement? Just on the pavement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Question for the northern Illinois people who went through the icing with temps above freezing a couple weeks ago. Did you notice any accretion on things like trees, power lines etc or was it mainly just ice on the pavement? Just surfaces in contact with the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Question for the northern Illinois people who went through the icing with temps above freezing a couple weeks ago. Did you notice any accretion on things like trees, power lines etc or was it mainly just ice on the pavement? mainly pavement but it was really pouring during that event as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Question for the northern Illinois people who went through the icing with temps above freezing a couple weeks ago. Did you notice any accretion on things like trees, power lines etc or was it mainly just ice on the pavement? just on the ground....at least for MBY ... I remember checking the trees and bushes and didn't see anything...but at that time we were up around 36 to 38 degrees...driveway, sidewalk, and street (despite residual salt) were sheets of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 24 hr water vapor loop is fun to watch...the death of the west coast ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Question for the northern Illinois people who went through the icing with temps above freezing a couple weeks ago. Did you notice any accretion on things like trees, power lines etc or was it mainly just ice on the pavement? Ground surfaces only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 It looks like it is about to end way too fast. May get lucky and squeak out an inch but I'm not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Wow, quick replies. Thanks guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Impressive right now, but it will end probably by 2:10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Question for the northern Illinois people who went through the icing with temps above freezing a couple weeks ago. Did you notice any accretion on things like trees, power lines etc or was it mainly just ice on the pavement? Pavement, driveway was an ice rink pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro is mostly rain here while the NAM sticks with mostly frozen precip of some sort. GFS is in between. Should be interesting.... Looks like things are going to back to normal.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 That would be hard to swallow. Best believe I will be lighting up that complaint thread IF that happens, especially if things are as wet/wetter than progged now on the models. I don't give a care how many 1-3"/2-4" clippers we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Another thing to consider for LAF area is that if things speed up at all, we'd be bringing in the bulk of the precip before any diurnal assistance to the temperature rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Question for the northern Illinois people who went through the icing with temps above freezing a couple weeks ago. Did you notice any accretion on things like trees, power lines etc or was it mainly just ice on the pavement? That is what made it a deceptive and problematic issue. Rain was clearly dripping off the trees, signs, etc; so one assumed it was rain on the ground too. But it wasn't... Saw about 10 accidents that afternoon in one intersection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Radar loop looks pretty cool right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 850s over OK on Friday afternoon went from SW to SSW on the NAM...wouldn't be surprised to see a minor bump in temps with the main low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 decent SN with some moderate bursts of blowing snow....actually looks relatively nasty out there right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Still waiting... taking longer than I thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 i can see the snow approaching on the horizon...should only last 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 850s over OK on Friday afternoon went from SW to SSW on the NAM...wouldn't be surprised to see a minor bump in temps with the main low. Sfc low over northeast NM a tad stronger this run but inverted trof out ahead is a bit south this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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