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January 30-February 2nd Wave Train


Chicago Storm

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I would think even if briefly warms into the 30s or mixes/changes to rain, it would still be a net snow gain rather than loss by Saturday night.

Yeah the stuff we have is pretty compacted already. I doubt it would cut into it much if any unless its like 5 hours of 35 degree fog.
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Looks like the the LLJ Friday night is what really gets the precip going and should remain somewhat healthy streaking ENE but with WSW 850's in the warm sector, your moisture transport into the cold air isn't that great so it will remain difficult to get a deformation band of snow on the NW side of the low so most of the snow should come with that initial slug of precip. A wave that can dig more would have a little more potential. We'll see.

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Saturday Snow likely, possibly mixed with rain. Cloudy, with a high near 28.

:underthewx:

 

Eh. Not a big deal in the grand scheme of things.

 

FWIW, DTX was also very confident that we were getting an severe ice storm with the President Day 2011 storm, even after the snow began falling. 

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