Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Actually it's not. He's DDing it. Not sure he actually looked at the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I'm getting concerned about some serious zr issues around here. With such a prolonged period of extreme cold, roads and trees aren't going to have a chance to warm even with surface temps well above freezing...you get my drift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 A snippet I took out of Joe Lundberg's blog on Accuweather. One of the few guys on there I enjoy reading and is the most detailed/accurate. "Snow is the most likely form of precipitation from northern Missouri through northern Illinois toward southern Michigan, including cities like Chicago and Detroit, though enough warm air could sneak into southeastern Michigan to change the snow to ice or even rain." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 A snippet I took out of Joe Lundberg's blog on Accuweather. One of the few guys on there I enjoy reading and is the most detailed/accurate. "Snow is the most likely form of precipitation from northern Missouri through northern Illinois toward southern Michigan, including cities like Chicago and Detroit, though enough warm air could sneak into southeastern Michigan to change the snow to ice or even rain." South of 94 I would be "slightly" worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GGEM through 102 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Euro is taking a baby step back to the south. 1008mb low over OH/IN/MI border. Not nearly as juicy as before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Euro is taking a baby step back to the south. 1008mb low over OH/IN/MI border. Not nearly as juicy as before. I'm looking at the free maps, but it doesn't look to have a one consolidated low per se...at 96 hours. Some trailing vorts maybe? Is that kinda close? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I'm looking at the free maps, but it doesn't look to have a one consolidated low per se...at 96 hours. Some trailing vorts maybe? Is that kinda close? I haven't looked real closely yet but it does look like it breaks up the lead wave into one or two additional pieces. Strung out mess of light precip for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Hawks? soccer on ice and that north shift on the gfs could be seen coming a mile away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 euro #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 euro #1 Heh. I'd hit that. But I assume it has the funky snow algorithm thing going on. In other words, more rain/mix than frozen is probably likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Heh. I'd hit that. But I assume it has the funky snow algorithm thing going on. In other words, more rain/mix than frozen is probably likely. euro has had two runs showing that secondary piece in the lower OV.... like you mentioned how it's breaking this into separate pieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 euro has had two runs showing that secondary piece in the lower OV.... like you mentioned how it's breaking this into separate pieces. Right, I forgot about that. Well, should be interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 the weak thursday event was never anything to write home about but the NAM keeps babystepping north...nice hit for MSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 soccer on ice Much more exciting than soccer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 LOT bullish-ish AFOREMENTIONED THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT COLD FRONT LOOKS TO DRAPEOUT ACROSS THE AREA FRI UNDER QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. WEAK HIGHPRESSURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A BREAK-IN-THE-ACTION FOR A PERIOD. THE ECAND GFS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON TIMING OF A PACIFIC WAVE TIGHTENINGTHIS BAROCLINICITY AND BRINGING BETTER FORCING FOR PRECIP. OVERALLBOTH MODELS HAVE A GOOD UPPER JET SETUP TO DEVELOP FOCUSED WARM AIRADVECTION/ISENTROPIC ASCENT ACROSS THE BOUNDARY...SO FEEL THATLIKELY POPS WERE NEEDED. CONTINUE TO FAVOR THE SLIGHTLY QUICKEREC...BUT A LITTLE MORE IN THE MIDDLE GROUND WITH CONTINUING SOMEHIGHER POPS ON SATURDAY...NAMELY IN EASTERN AREAS. MOISTURE VALUESWITH THIS SYSTEM ARE NOT SHABBY WITH 3-4 G/KG ON LIFTING SURFACES.COULD EASILY FORESEE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WITH A BLEND OF THESEMODELS...ESPECIALLY IF THE GFS WERE TO VERIFY WITH BETTER SYNOPTICSYSTEM DEVELOPMENT IMPACTING THE AREA IN ITS LAST SEVERAL RUNS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks like a busy 7 days incoming. On top of the busy 2 months. Independent contractors going to be out of salt, and already many on seasonal contracts heading for the hills. What a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 It's the NAM but kinda nice to see it not amped up and torching us through 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 It's the NAM but kinda nice to see it not amped up and torching us through 84 hours. Would you worry if it did? Trash model at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 DTX already has me down for "Snow Likely" for Friday/Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Would you worry if it did? Trash model at that range. Not really. I'm used to seeing that so this is a nice change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks like Toronto will finally get in on some good snows Here's hoping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Not really. I'm used to seeing that so this is a nice change. I see. Setting yourself up already for the next one too? Chad way too bullish for Friday night/Saturday. 3-6"? I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I see. Setting yourself up already for the next one too? Chad way too bullish for Friday night/Saturday. 3-6"? I don't think so. Well he did say tweaking is a certainty... I really don't know about amounts. I think we'll get something before we have to worry about a changeover but how much tbd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Well he did say tweaking is a certainty... I really don't know about amounts. I think we'll get something before we have to worry about a changeover but how much tbd. I'm not sure either. I have fairly low expectations with this one, so I'll be content with whatever snow we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 18z GFS is pretty good. 3-6" stripe from northern MO through northern IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 18z GFS is pretty good. 3-6" stripe from northern MO through northern IL. Looks like a nice setup across S On as well. A general 3-6" of wet snow in and around YYZ as the H85 iaotherm hugs the WNY border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GFS Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks like a nice setup across S On as well. A general 3-6" of wet snow in and around YYZ as the H85 iaotherm hugs the WNY border. Yeah I like that to, gives us some mixing problems here. But 2-4 inch front end and 2-4 back end snows with this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks like a nice 5-8" event north of Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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