Snowstorms Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 1:42 AM, blizzardof96 said: 18z runs appear to have partial sampling, while the 0z runs will have ~50% sampling. Hopefully we can get in on a bit more of a consensus between the globals over this way. A 50 mile SE shift would mean a big difference between getting 2-4" of slop and rain vs 6+ inches of snow. Alot of variability atm. I hope its in our favour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I know that's what he said captain obvious Chicago Storm, just thought it might've been a typo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Srefs went down ever so slightly for ord for first time. Doesn't mean anything though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 After Saturday, ORD should have surpassed the combined season totals of 2011-2012 and 2012-2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 1:50 AM, wisconsinwx said: I know that's what he said captain obvious Chicago Storm, just thought it might've been a typo. I wouldn't confuse seasonal and monthly. Our grammar is spot on this side of the border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 1:53 AM, gosaints said: Srefs went down ever so slightly for ord for first time. Doesn't mean anything though 2nd time in a row actually, although there was some taint from today's snows in those earlier runs. 4-7" cluster is excellent. A couple weird DAB members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Just got back from Buffalo/Niagara viewing the semi-frozen falls. Amazing scenery! Ran into snow and blowing snow in Tonawanda and buffalo yesterday as well - totally unforecasted. Haven't checked this in two days/ How's it looking for Toronto? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 1:57 AM, Thundersnow12 said: I wouldn't confuse seasonal and monthly. Our grammar is spot on this side of the border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 ok you greedy snow hogs, move over and make room... the 84hr 18z nam just gave me a ticket to this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 1:44 AM, A-L-E-K said: Nice loop. Found a nice false color one. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/flash-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 1:58 AM, A-L-E-K said: 2nd time in a row actually, although there was some taint from today's snows in those earlier runs. 4-7" cluster is excellent. A couple weird DAB members cluster forming in the 7 to 9 range for JOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Oh god NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM looks juiced... ORD getting hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 2:01 AM, buckeye said: ok you greedy snow hogs, move over and make room... the 84hr 18z nam just gave me a ticket to this thread. Night and day from the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 NAM run going to be good. Already wet and stronger and 850mb, little tighter gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 00z NAM is coming in a bit stronger/warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 2:09 AM, Hoosier said: Night and day from the GFS. it was a bit tongue and cheek....hence the 84hr 18z nam reference.... but thanks for pointing that out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 gonna be some solid looking clown maps from this run....wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Well it was nice while it lasted. Silly me for getting sucked in by its shift southward on the 12z run. I'm sure DTW will somehow managed to get its 2-4" special out of this though. EDIT: Congrats Geos!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Yeah... it's juiced! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 2:12 AM, Hoosier said: 00z NAM is coming in a bit stronger/warmer. Another terrible performance by the models. How far does the mix line make it into NE IL is the question... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 2:20 AM, Chicago WX said: Another terrible performance by the models. How far does the mix line make it into NE IL is the question... GGEM says "not a terrible performance by me!" Looks like we get a nice round of ice early Saturday before warming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 2:20 AM, Chicago WX said: Another terrible performance by the models. How far does the mix line make it into NE IL is the question... Tip of Lake Michigan in Indiana... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Nam=Rain storm for Detroit.. congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I like it...might be a beautiful, dry, warm day here. Good day to get the cars cleaned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Feeling more confident locking in my 2-4" call then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 2:21 AM, Hoosier said: GGEM says "not a terrible performance by me!" Looks like we get a nice round of ice early Saturday before warming up. Ah, yes. GGEM=the old Euro these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 On 1/31/2014 at 2:14 AM, Gilbertfly said: gonna be some solid looking clown maps from this run....wowLol ya think. Pulling for a climatological record in Chicago at thing point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 So the GGEM of all models may manage to pull a coupe. Amazing. Yet, I bet going forward if it shows monster solutions for us with the 3rd-5th storm, there's a 99.9% chance it won't verify and it will trend weaker/SE to whatever the crappy model consensus will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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