ackwaves Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 nantucket about to get backhanded by old man winter or bent over by the cosmis dildo http://radar.weather...ct=N0Z&loop=yes i'll go with ole man winter Too warm. 40f. NE winds over warmer water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 radar trends look bullish for SE mass ...CC later this afternoon. .....for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 perhaps new bed plymouth falmouth could get somethin this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Hey, Pickles--it's not a bust at all. We have a few flakes flying in God's countyr. WAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY West. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Scooter..you haven't really given your thoughts thru Thursday for areas not in Eastern mass. Seems like Phil and i think everyone snows.. What about you? No wishy washiness please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Hey, Pickles--it's not a bust at all. We have a few flakes flying in God's countyr. WAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY West. lol take pics composite radar picks it up well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I actually came up with an equation to derive a realistic snowfall forecast from kevin's predictions. Its pretty simple...just multiply by 0.40 and that's what wl probably happen. thanks! I'll start applying the conversion factor I also came up with an equation for obtaining a realistic storm track from Kev's forecast. Multply the distance from the benchmark by 2.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Scooter..you haven't really given your thoughts thru Thursday for areas not in Eastern mass. Seems like Phil and i think everyone snows.. What about you? No wishy washiness please I want to see the euro first. I'm not terribly excited about this, but I'm hoping we can squeeze out some snow. The gfs did have the vortmax rotating west which is good I guess. If Dr No doesn't differ all that much from 00z, I'll feel better. 00z went a little nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Sky has that snow imminent weenie look to it right now lol..too bad it's still 1-2 days weeks away..30.6/22 Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Where's messenger? Look.....RUC close in (6 hours) is supported by this linked radar..time sensitive of course. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/ruc/hr4/index_slp_l_loop.shtml http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 kev any weenie flakes flying composite radar has some and MPM saw a few earlier as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 LOL, most of you have all gone mad. Led down the Primrose path by Pickles and Blizz as they skip to the beat of fantasyland music. At least the pro Mets and a few keen eyed observers are still grounded in reality. There really isn't likely to be much snow this week, maybe a t-1" in the eastern wastelands but I think everyone should hope for better times with the X-mas threat. A few renegade flakes are flying here but I don't think it has anything to do with the current system which is moving inexhorably ENE OTS. The one caveat is congrats to Phil and the rest of the CC gang as it does look like they'll see a little. Also, kudos to Phil for keeping his emotions in check even though he has had the best position for becoming a total weenie on this one. Think Snow.... about a week from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 LOL, most of you have all gone mad. Led down the Primrose path by me and my dazzling long hair you were in awe like i was gene simmons. At least the pro Mets and a few keen eyed observers are still grounded in reality. There really isn't likely to be much snow this week, maybe a t-1" in the eastern wastelands but I think everyone should hope for better times with the X-mas threat. A few renegade flakes are flying here but I don't think it has anything to do with the current system which is moving inexhorably ENE OTS. The one caveat is congrats to Phil and the rest of the CC gang as it does look like they'll see a little. Also, kudos to Phil for keeping his emotions in check even though he has had the best position for becoming a total weenie on this one. Think Snow.... about a week from now. we forgive you pete we hear your voice echo ...heavy heavy winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 kev any weenie flakes flying composite radar has some and MPM saw a few earlier as well. No..just cloudy 32.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 we forgive you pete we hear your voice echo ...heavy heavy winter Oh, heavy heavy Winter is coming, it's just not going to be backing in from the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Pristine winter day here...mostly sunny and 26F now. Way up from the low of 3F. I guess our 2-4" of cover helped a bit with radiating overnight. From my perspective it looks good old "Interior Eastern NY and Western NE" (maybe VT excepted) is in the sucker hole most of this week. Maybe we get lucky finally with the Christmas storm. Yeah the NAM teased .25" back to here, but I'd be highly dubious at this point. LOL, most of you have all gone mad. Led down the Primrose path by Pickles and Blizz as they skip to the beat of fantasyland music. At least the pro Mets and a few keen eyed observers are still grounded in reality. There really isn't likely to be much snow this week, maybe a t-1" in the eastern wastelands but I think everyone should hope for better times with the X-mas threat. A few renegade flakes are flying here but I don't think it has anything to do with the current system which is moving inexhorably ENE OTS. The one caveat is congrats to Phil and the rest of the CC gang as it does look like they'll see a little. Also, kudos to Phil for keeping his emotions in check even though he has had the best position for becoming a total weenie on this one. Think Snow.... about a week from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Pristine winter day here...mostly sunny and 26F now. Way up from the low of 3F. I guess our 2-4" of cover helped a bit with radiating overnight. From my perspective it looks good old "Interior Eastern NY and Western NE" (maybe VT excepted) is in the sucker hole most of this week. Maybe we get lucky finally with the Christmas storm. Yeah the NAM teased .25" back to here, but I'd be highly dubious at this point. I'm looking forward to a partly to mostly cloudy week with high temps in the 20's. That Nam solution has little chance to work out for us. I do think the X-mas storm has some potential, good signal something could happen. However, it's way out in fantasyland as far as I'm concerned. You know, Andy had this whole non 'event' pegged from early this past week. He's quite good. 27/17 currently. I think you are right about our snowcover, I've been in te single digits (one night below 0) every night this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Looks like the euro brings the precip shield a little further nw. It actually gives the Cape 0.25-0.40 or so in 36 hrs. 0.5 " line kissing Chatham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Looks like the euro brings the precip shield a little further nw. It actually gives the Cape 0.25-0.40 or so in 36 hrs. 0.5 " line kissing Chatham. I'm glad for Phil. he may be able to grab 3-6 from this tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 He said this morning that he is somewhat more interested in the Christmas event, but too early to call that..... and that amplitude of the ridge out west will be a key factor. I'm looking forward to a partly to mostly cloudy week with high temps in the 20's. That Nam solution has little chance to work out for us. I do think the X-mas storm has some potential, good signal something could happen. However, it's way out in fantasyland as far as I'm concerned. You know, Andy had this whole non 'event' pegged from early this past week. He's quite good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 He said this morning that he is somewhat more interested in the Christmas event, but too early to call that..... and that amplitude of the ridge out west will be a key factor. Good to hear. He really get's it right for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'm glad for Phil. he may be able to grab 3-6 from this tonight Me too. Phil deserves a little happiness as he has maintained a quiet vigil for a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Looks like the euro brings the precip shield a little further nw. It actually gives the Cape 0.25-0.40 or so in 36 hrs. 0.5 " line kissing Chatham. as we thought..... a last sec 'trend' scott do you know how much euro brought c.c for that same time frame on 0z ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Looks like flurries/light snow breaking out in southern CT..or maybe just virga? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'm glad for Phil. he may be able to grab 3-6 from this tonight It even gives me 2-3" by hr 60. The Cape gets almost 0.5" with 0.75+ towards the elbow by hr 60.It basically takes this precip shield and stalls ir near the Cape. It menders a little, but even gets some qpf back beyond 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 looks like its going to snow!!!...until I looked at my temp at 38.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Be interesting to see how it handles the later retro snows...if there are any. I wouldn't believe the NAM unless it gets some back up such as from the ECMWF. It even gives me 2-3" by hr 60. The Cape gets almost 0.5" with 0.75+ towards the elbow by hr 60.It basically takes this precip shield and stalls ir near the Cape. It menders a little, but even gets some qpf back beyond 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 as we thought..... a last sec 'trend' scott do you know how much euro brought c.c for that same time frame on 0z ? It only gave them 0.25" before the wrap around stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 It even gives me 2-3" by hr 60. The Cape gets almost 0.5" with 0.75+ towards the elbow by hr 60.It basically takes this precip shield and stalls ir near the Cape. It menders a little, but even gets some qpf back beyond 128. scott just out of curiousity what does it have for eastern end of long island next 24-36. cause they look like they are on the door step of getting hammered this afternoon. http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=okx&product=NCR&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 It also lost the wrap around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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