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Down to the wire and models are saying wtf? 12/19-20 event


weathafella

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Notice how the elements east of the band are flying west, but the band itself is moving rather slowly west. All that air is converging and getting lifted. Frontogenesis. It also is similar to what happened in early November when the dryslot raced into ORH, but southern areas like Kevin and Steve hung onto the snow. You can see that going on over the Cape with moisture moving sw.

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band appears to be rotating a bit more south of west with every mile it scoots west now....i dont' know if i'll get in on it now? damn.....gonna be a nice ride into work tommorrow morn....needham...then stoneham ....

stuff east of kev apt' in PTOWN looks to be moving SW.

friend called GF from chatham and said they just LOST power!! (20 min ago)

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000

FXUS61 KBOX 210120

AFDBOX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

820 PM EST MON DEC 20 2010

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT/...

-- Changed Discussion --BASED ON LATEST OBSERVATIONS...REPORTS AND RADAR TRENDS INCREASED

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. WE ARE NOW GOING

FOR 7 TO 14 INCHES ON CAPE COD AS RADAR SHOWING 35 DBZ RETURNS

WORKING INTO THE REGION. IN ADDITION...40 TO 45 MPH WIND GUSTS

COMBINED WITH THE WET SNOW MAY RESULT IN A FEW DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND

SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. ACROSS NANTUCKET...WE UPGRADED TO A WINTER

STORM WARNING FOR 5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE

GUSTING TO 50 MPH IN THIS REGION. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED ACROSS

CAPE COD OR NANTUCKET TONIGHT WITH THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WIND

GUSTS. THIS IS A SERIOUS STORM FOR A SMALL PORTION OF OUR COUNTY

WARNING AREA. STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW MAY RESULT IN NEAR WHITE

OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. WE ALSO JUST UPGRADED EASTERN PLYMOUTH

COUNTY TO A WINTER STORM WARNING AS MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WAS

CONTINUING TO BACK IN OFF THE OCEAN.

ACROSS EASTERN MA...WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW WAS BACKING IN OFF THE

OCEAN AND THERE WERE POCKETS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW. THE 12Z

ECMWF MODEL SEEMS TO BE PICKING THIS UP THE BEST...BUT EVEN IT MAY

BE UNDERDONE. WE ARE GOING WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES FROM BOSTON ONTO THE

NORTH SHORE. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S IT WILL

STICK ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS...SO HAVE DECIDED TO HOIST A WINTER

WEATHER ADVISORY IN THIS REGION. ALSO EXPANDED WINTER WEATHER

ADVISORIES FOR THE REST OF BRISTOL AND INTO NORFOLK COUNTY BASED ON

RADAR TRENDS.-- End Changed Discussion --

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