CT Rain Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 RGEM has the ME precip in 48 hours. Looks pretty heavy too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looks pretty heavy too The NAM hasn't been too bad with this 'storm' in terms of right ideas. It's a close miss, the cape gets a lot of QPF. There's going to be a trough coming back down that will likely have a lot of QPF. The GFS is all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looks pretty heavy too Does it get into SNE, too....not too privy to the rgem links.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Does it get into SNE, too....not too privy on the rgem links.... No way to tell, at 48 hours it's just north of us hopefully getting ready to head south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 No way to tell, at 48 hours it's just north of us hopefully getting ready to head south. Thanks, Scott. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Does it get into SNE, too....not too privy to the rgem links.... RGEM certainly looks threatening...but no way to tell for sure how much we'd get after 48h...but it definitely has the scenario set for a good snow with all the action up in Maine...a look that has been absent on the paltry model solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 RGEM certainly looks threatening...but no way to tell for sure how much we'd get after 48h...but it definitely has the scenario set for a good snow with all the action up in Maine...a look that has been absent on the paltry model solutions. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Thanks, Scott. 48 hrs? fool me once..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Thanks, Scott. GFS is hitting that feature fairly hard at 48 hours. Not as tough as the NAM but improvement for sure. The key for those of us down in eastern sections is this radar the next hour or two. NAM had the flow backing and that is evident on the radar well to our south. The key will be whether or not this batch of echoes moving NW gets turned NE or can it slide past the existing line of precip? If it can we may have fun down here. Winds really picking up, feels like a storm now just minus the cold, snow, and shovels. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 48 hrs? fool me once..... The NAM alone made me feel compelled to just toss foot longs at it, but the RGEM joining makes me want to keep a close vigil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Scott... I wonder if people a mile or two inland are accumulating in those OES bands? PYM is 1 1/2SM in -SN while GHG is rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Scott... I wonder if people a mile or two inland are accumulating in those OES bands? PYM is 1 1/2SM in -SN while GHG is rain did you see the kingston pic ray also had a friend phone in almost 2 inches in marshfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Any ideas on what the 7AM commute will be like heading down 24 tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Nam gives me 1.50" qpf, GFS gives .10" qpf.............. What a joke....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Scott... I wonder if people a mile or two inland are accumulating in those OES bands? PYM is 1 1/2SM in -SN while GHG is rain My folks live on the nw side of GHG and it's been snow from the beginning. They had close to half an inch around 8:30. The other thing is that the AWOS has been screwy at times. It reported rain a few times last year with the temp in thw 20s, but it says it's 36 so it could be a mix. I don't completely trust the obs sometimes, but even Scott said it's a mix on the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 did you see the kingston pic ray also had a friend phone in almost 2 inches in marshfield. Cool...we'll run with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Nam gives me 1.50" qpf, GFS gives .10" qpf.............. What a joke....... I usually side with the one that shows the least exciting sensible weather. 9/10 times it works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I usually side with the one that shows the least exciting sensible weather. 9/10 times it works. This; boring usually prevails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yeah I'll bet some folks a couple miles off the water in those bands are up near 2" already....that pic was pretty decent and showed at least an inch an hour ago (or more?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Scott... I wonder if people a mile or two inland are accumulating in those OES bands? PYM is 1 1/2SM in -SN while GHG is rain Yes probably. This is a problem within 1-2 miles of the coast. The water is just too warm...and also to my NW the precip is more legit, it's piddly here. Nam gives me 1.50" qpf, GFS gives .10" qpf.............. What a joke....... The NAM is holding back the feature at 500mb at 48 hours as it rides through the Dakotas. It also has voriticty coming down from eastern canada into NE. The RGEM has this feature too, the GFS doesn't really. But the RGEM is closer to the GFS with the 500mb energy coming in from the Dakotas, NAM is an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 My folks live on the nw side of GHG and it's been snow from the beginning. They had close to half an inch around 8:30. The other thing is that the AWOS has been screwy at times. It reported rain a few times last year with the temp in thw 20s, but it says it's 36 so it could be a mix. I don't completely trust the obs sometimes, but even Scott said it's a mix on the water. How close to the water is that AWOS? Visbility still 10 SM there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yes probably. This is a problem within 1-2 miles of the coast. The water is just too warm...and also to my NW the precip is more legit, it's piddly here. Yeah they see that off Erie and Ontario a lot where some people a mile or two next to the lake get screwed while areas with some elevation inland get nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 How close to the water is that AWOS? Visbility still 10 SM there It's barely 0.5 miles or so. I don't know why it's 10sm miles either. Like I said, it can be weird sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It's barely 0.5 miles or so. I don't know why it's 10sm miles either. Like I said, it can be weird sometimes. if it's that close could just be rain with the high visibility... who knows. Might need to get a mile or so inland to be cold enough for snow. FMH is 32/32 a couple miles inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 if it's that close could just be rain with the high visibility... who knows. Might need to get a mile or so inland to be cold enough for snow. FMH is 32/32 a couple miles inland Yeah it could be just -ra. FMH is rather high I think as well...in terms of elevation. I think maybe 160'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Scott... I wonder if people a mile or two inland are accumulating in those OES bands? PYM is 1 1/2SM in -SN while GHG is rain my buddy from school (a fellow met major) lives in middleboro, ma. he called me and told me he has the 4 wheel drive on with 1.5" on the ground....temp is 30.4 there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 is there a WWA up for eastern or southern plymouth county may be a good idea...esp a mile or so away from water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Guys what's really of note with the 48-72 hour range: The key feature riding across the northern plains, the GFS has slowed that by about 500 miles just in the last three runs. So....the NAM may be onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I'll stick by the no accumulations where I am by morning. System looks anemic, maybe after 5-6am it starts to back in some. The OES seems to be falling apart too. Patriots about to lose, GFS looks flatter on the XMas day storm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 From Kingston, roughly 3.5-4 miles from the water, along the Plympton/Kingston line. [/img]Uploaded with ImageShack.us [/img]Uploaded with ImageShack.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.