weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Radar suggests we listen to latest RUC as it has this first push coming in around 6.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Waiting for 12z GFS to bring us back to reality. Hoping for a west jog and think it can happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Basically nowcast event. Too difficult an environment to expect pinpoint accuracy (or even in the neighborhood accuracy) from models or mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'll be shocked if the entirety of SNE isn't snowcovered this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Basically nowcast event. Too difficult an environment to expect pinpoint accuracy (or even in the neighborhood accuracy) from models or mets. I think an ave. Of model consensus at this pt. Will yield a decent picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'll be shocked if the entirety of SNE isn't snowcovered this week Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'll be shocked if the entirety of SNE isn't snowcovered this week Well we have near total agreement on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'll be shocked if the entirety of SNE isn't snowcovered this week I'm on this train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'll be shocked if the entirety of SNE isn't snowcovered this week i guess this is the one of the three threads we'll roll with. shows how many weenies still interested we're tossin all models as they are out to lunch we need to watch wv and pray one main low congeals and then weenies will be tossed so much that the next 24 hours will live in the h books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 I think an ave. Of model consensus at this pt. Will yield a decent picture. Do we go with globals or mesoscales for this event. Mesoscale in this case can have huge implications for population centers but synoptic elements for the big picture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'm on this train. You know what this week reminds me of..There was a week in Feb 2007 that snowed everyday for most of the week..not sure if it was 2nd or 3rd week. Will would remember. I know you guys on the coast didn't fare as well..but this setup reminds me of that in several ways. There was even a norlun that week..that dropped 3-6 inches of snow fron CT up thru ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 May as well close Pickles thread and my thread as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Any mods paying attention...can the threads be combined into this one? TY, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Well we have near total agreement on that one. Well the folks down in SW CT were unsure earlier..even they will see snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 i mean i am content with the fact tonite will wiff and then the inv trough is a phantom.....but nothing would suprise me ......and i am intersted to see how the main LP evolves TODAY and wether there could be one main low that takes over and throws the models the finger! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I think we should keep the two events separate...this can be the hallucination/weenie NW trend thread for the initial coastal later today/tomorrow....we alreayd have an established thread for the inverted trough/norlun potential later in the week...that gets enhanced by a new shortwave that comes out of the midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 RGEM does not agree at least through Monday... I think NAM/GFS/ECMWF/CMC agree on inverted trof measurable snow. The big question for me is the prelude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Radar is very depressing this morning out of okx, returns not making it north at all, low overcast has lifted out, now just a few mid level clouds and cirrus deck. Hope you guy s out on the cape get brushed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Seriously? Yeah dude...most of the mets other than Ryan agree too. We're all looking and feeling pretty good about this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 They can close mine, I guess it was a race for this one..Nowcast type events are tough to get excited for since they vary so much. Almost GFS time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Yeah dude...most of the mets other than Ryan agree too. We're all looking and feeling pretty good about this Man, I have to pay attention. Lots of conflicting thoughts in these threads. By the way, Grienke to Brewers. Starting to scratch my arse with what the Yanks are up to. Although, I didn't think Grienke was a good fit for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I think we should keep the two events separate...this can be the hallucination/weenie NW trend thread for the initial coastal later today/tomorrow....we alreayd have an established thread for the inverted trough/norlun potential later in the week...that gets enhanced by a new shortwave that comes out of the midwest. seems my thread fits that best . lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I think we should keep the two events separate...this can be the hallucination/weenie NW trend thread for the initial coastal later today/tomorrow....we alreayd have an established thread for the inverted trough/norlun potential later in the week...that gets enhanced by a new shortwave that comes out of the midwest. Appreciated all the texts. Euro looks pretty darn good. Hopefully the NAM is too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Basically nowcast event. Too difficult an environment to expect pinpoint accuracy (or even in the neighborhood accuracy) from models or mets. I posted the paper original written by the men who the Norlun Tough was named after. Somebody between Dryslut and CCwx.net is going to get the best Christmas present ever and it might be you Jerry. http://www.weatheranswer.com/public/NORLUN2.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Well the NAM ditched the extreme NW trend initially with this storm. The precip is now coming from the crazy wraparound. Strike 1 for the NAM, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I'm on this train. Pretty good model run last night. I got my ticket as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Man, I have to pay attention. Lots of conflicting thoughts in these threads. By the way, Grienke to Brewers. Starting to scratch my arse with what the Yanks are up to. Although, I didn't think Grienke was a good fit for NYC. I'm glad he didn't go to the Yanks. With his social disorder..the city would have destroyed him and his career. They're gonna land King Felix, but probably not until mid season near trade deadline. I'm still not sure about tonight..but by Wed we should all be snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Pretty good model run last night. I got my ticket as well. Ticket in hand but won't board until 12z euro..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 LOL at poster "weenie radar" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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