snowstormcanuck Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 How's the spread? Starting to narrow? Can't check at work for some reason, browser won't support the SREF plots. Yup. Low guys are around 5" and the high ones are 11". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Essex County, Elgin County, and Chatham-Kent have been added to the snowfall warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Harrisale, remember to start a part ii of this thread soon. Once threads get near/over 1000 they're supposed to be closed. Dang only in two weeks, you canucks sure like to discuss weather eh? it takes us couple months to reach this over at upstate lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 LE band very visible on HRRR simulated radar. Looks reminiscent of the Dec 14 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontonian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 EC hasn't updated to snowfall warning for GTA yet or increased past their10-14 cm call. Light SSW winds when last checked. Maybe even lake enhancement adding to totals looks possible. Isn't really the raw ENE wind, snow killing feel, to this at moment. So much for the 5-10 cm talk of yesterday. This system is trending always better for GTA synoptic storm watchers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 18z RGEM trends SE in tandem with the NAM. 0.4" of QPF in the city with a 0.5" max right along the lake shore and into the hammer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Current model summary for YYZ. Fairly decent agreement on ~0.35-0.45" of liquid for Toronto. After reviewing soundings and COBB data, the DGZ is near 350mb deep for much of the event so ratio's should be somewhere in the 12-16:1 range IMO. Feeling good about my 4-7" call. 18z NAM/NAM WRF: 0.35-0.4" of liquid 18z RGEM: 0.4-0.45" 18z GFS: 0.3-0.4" 12z euro: 0.48" of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Liking the HRRR, LES band shown nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Liking the HRRR, LES band shown nicely. Yeah, it looks a lot more impressive than I would have thought given the parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 You guys are going to laugh. I heard someone on the radio say today that this felt like "the worst winter ever". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 RAP coming in hot. 0.4" of QPF across the GTA with the defo-band still cranking for a few more hours at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Nice RAP run ^^. Can see the donut hole slowing starting to fill in over KBUF site. Should only be a few hours until flakes start flying. Should be just in time for a walk before bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42724-southern-ontario-winter-13-14-discussion-part-ii/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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