snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Cause of you guys I went to remeasure and this time, in the park near my house, and found my snow depth is 30cm flat. lol, that was quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Even Buttonville is only at 24cm/9.5". May have been mentioned already but the latest RGEM is looking sweet for the wednesday event. H7 low tracks ENE towards DTW with the sfc low getting north of the ohio river at 48. Hopefully its onto something but doubt it at this point. Will probably end up with 0.2-0.35" of QPF with ratios ~15:1, which is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 May have been mentioned already but the latest RGEM is looking sweet for the wednesday event. H7 low tracks ENE towards DTW with the sfc low getting north of the ohio river at 48. Hopefully its onto something but doubt it at this point. Will probably end up with 0.2-0.35" of QPF with ratios ~15:1, which is pretty good. 12_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_048.jpg Wish the damn 18z run would update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontonian Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Depth down here is more like 7-9". Doubt theres that much of a difference up in vaughan. 36-40 cm. is about 12-14 inches. Ya, 7-9 inches is a difference. Typically downtown is about half of what is north of St. Clair with all these systems approaching around the freezing mark. At least colder air will be in place if QPF increases on next events. Hopefully.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 36-40 cm. is about 12-14 inches. Ya, 7-9 inches is a difference. Typically downtown is about half of what is north of St. Clair with all these systems approaching around the freezing mark. At least colder air will be in place if QPF increases on next events. Hopefully.... What he was saying was that Snowstorms' estimate was too high (as was he when he made it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 May have been mentioned already but the latest RGEM is looking sweet for the wednesday event. H7 low tracks ENE towards DTW with the sfc low getting north of the ohio river at 48. Hopefully its onto something but doubt it at this point. Will probably end up with 0.2-0.35" of QPF with ratios ~15:1, which is pretty good. 12_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_048.jpg Here's hoping. Anthony Farnell of Global is saying 10cm for Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 35-40 cm on ground now? Where is that? Here in downtown T.O maybe 5-8 cm of airy crust. Thinking 5-8 cm for next system, Tues.night- Wed. morning, here downtown T.O. I would normally think theres no way that downtown is 5-6 inches lower then my depth but you can really notice the difference in a short period of time along the lakeshore. South Etobicoke appears to have half of what I have so maybe 4 inches on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontonian Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What he was saying was that Snowstorms' estimate was too high (as was he when he made it). Ya, i was agreeing with Blizz of 96. The internet doesn't fully convey thought.....eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Feeling pretty optimistic regarding ratio's in the middle of the best upward motion/deformation zone early wednesday morning. Notice how the DGZ is very nicely saturated and ~350-400mb thick which is about as impressive as i've seen all season. As long as we can escape the very northern fringe of this system, 0.2-0.3" of QPF can go a long way with expected thermals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Ya, i was agreeing with Blizz of 96. The internet doesn't fully convey thought.....eh. Yeah my bad. Must have stuck my ruler in a drift LOL. My actual snow depth is 30cm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Feeling pretty optimistic regarding ratio's in the middle of the best upward motion/deformation zone early wednesday morning. Notice how the DGZ is very nicely saturated and ~350-400mb thick which is about as impressive as i've seen all season. As long as we can escape the very northern fringe of this system, 0.2-0.3" of QPF can go a long way with expected thermals. NAM_218_2014020318_F39_43.5000N_79.5000W.png Impressive. I was hinting at the possibility of deformation bands forming in combination with high snow ratios. SFC temps look to be around -7 to -11C. Should be interesting. Hopefully the 0z runs are more giving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 EC with a SWS for the north shores of Erie and Ontario. Don't sound particularly impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 24cm depth here, not bad at all. Snow piles biggest I've seen in a few winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 3-5" is my preliminary call for YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Feeling pretty optimistic regarding ratio's in the middle of the best upward motion/deformation zone early wednesday morning. Notice how the DGZ is very nicely saturated and ~350-400mb thick which is about as impressive as i've seen all season. As long as we can escape the very northern fringe of this system, 0.2-0.3" of QPF can go a long way with expected thermals. NAM_218_2014020318_F39_43.5000N_79.5000W.png With that kind of DGZ I could see the 5.5" SREF mean snowfall verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 3-5" is my preliminary call for YYZ. I'll stick with calling for 2-4". I think 4" is possible across the city if we're lucky. As I've said, our snowpack is only going to grow, so anything is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What he was saying was that Snowstorms' estimate was too high (as was he when he made it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 18z RGEM keeping the inland low more dominant then the coastal. Tracks the sfc low up to just east of CLE. Has 0.35-0.4" of QPF for YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Geez, I'm glad someone got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Geez, I'm glad someone got it. My call is 3" for most places, maybe 4" along the lakeshores Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 My call is 3" for most places, maybe 4" along the lakeshores 5" for Hamilton is my call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The UW Waterloo weather station is showing -18.8ºC currently...that seems awfully cold! Forecast was for -12ºC this evening which is my current temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The UW Waterloo weather station is showing -18.8ºC currently...that seems awfully cold! Forecast was for -12ºC this evening which is my current temp. KW drops like a stone under conditions like tonight. Its -17.0C at the airport so the reading of -18.8C isn't that far off. Earlier in the season KW dropped down to -25C under clear skies and then warmed up dramatically the moment some clouds and winds picked up. I remember watching the yo yo of temperatures that happened that night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 KW drops like a stone under conditions like tonight. Its -17.0C at the airport so the reading of -18.8C isn't that far off. Earlier in the season KW dropped down to -25C under clear skies and then warmed up dramatically the moment some clouds and winds picked up. I remember watching the yo yo of temperatures that happened that night. I checked to make sure too. Now its -20.8ºC so really getting down there. 9:45 pm: -21.8ºC...a perfect 1ºC drop 3 times now in 15 minute sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Notice the benefits of the Escarpment for Toronto with upsloping winds (E or NE). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 EC busts again. Temperature already down to -13.7C at YYZ verses predicted low of -11C. http://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-143_metric_e.html Clear skies, fresh snow cover and calm winds making way for decent radiative cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I checked to make sure too. Now its -20.8ºC so really getting down there. 9:45 pm: -21.8ºC...a perfect 1ºC drop 3 times now in 15 minute sections. Toronto Pearson is currently five degrees colder than outside my house. I'm at -8.7c, Pearson is at -13.7c! Not often you see that, That's radiational cooling for you, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Toronto Pearson is currently five degrees colder than outside my house. I'm at -8.7c, Pearson is at -13.7c! Not often you see that, That's radiational cooling for you, I guess. Just dropped to -9.3c at my place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 -11.4 at YorkU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Toronto Pearson is currently five degrees colder than outside my house. I'm at -8.7c, Pearson is at -13.7c! Not often you see that, That's radiational cooling for you, I guess. Ya, I was just about to post Pearson had a 4C drop in one hour. Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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