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Southern Ontario Winter '13/'14 Discussion


harrisale

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Is there a reason why we get so many pixie dust snow events in KW? YKF rarely ever reports SN or +SN and a lot of times over the years we stay all grains while radar has us in heavy returns and people report "rip city" snow action around us. It's not always the case, but it does happen a couple times a winter.

Best measurement I can get is 3.5"

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And then there's the March 1st blizzard. More about that later.  :)

I don't remember the last time I got a snowstorm or blizzard in the month of March. History is rich with them but recent times nothing. If there is a year to change it, its this one.

 

So you're expecting all snow or snow to rain back to snow? I could see that being the case, maybe I just picked up mid-event there. What's the consensus of forecasts around town? In any case Wednesday will overshadow them, just as the Super Bowl will overshadow Groundhog Day (thank God for small mercies).

I forgot about that, rodent day tomorrow. There is a rumor that security will be beefed up at WW just in case  :lol: .

 

Now there is talk of accumulations of over 6 inches in parts of GTA for Saturdays event.

 

The Feb 5th -6th is getting good hype as well already;   it will be more significant.

Yep:

 

 

BNXjZIk__bigger.jpegRyan Maue @RyanMaue 22 hrs - With western trough, boatloads of Arctic air & Gulf Mexico moisture next week, going to be rough ride weather-wise. No need to even hype it.
 
 
cscott_twitter_pic_bigger.JPGChris Scott @ChrisScottWx 1 day - After Saturday's heavy wet snow, confidence growing for classic snow storm for S'rn ON/QC late Tues into Wed #onstorm
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Is there a reason why we get so many pixie dust snow events in KW? YKF rarely ever reports SN or +SN and a lot of times over the years we stay all grains while radar has us in heavy returns and people report "rip city" snow action around us. It's not always the case, but it does happen a couple times a winter.

Best measurement I can get is 3.5"

 

Can't explain that but I agree about YKF. Because they're upstream I often check in on them during snowstorms and I don't think I've ever seen them reporting SN or better.

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Not 100% sure but it's a reasonable explanation.

What other effect could this theory have on the weather? Could it explain the common occurrence of thunderstorms virtually vanishing as they approach the twin cities. Locally we've all watched that supercell in Perth Co. drifting this way only to rapidly disappear out towards Wellesley. A local storm chaser and I have discussed this a few times, but not even she has an explanation. I just call it the Waterloo Region 'weather bubble' ;)

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So far this event has been a bit underwhelming here downtown.

Only measuring maybe 4.5cm new snow today.

Still 0.5c for temperature but light rain w/few flakes now.

At least this should go for awhile. Could change bit....please.

 

Just half a degree lower......

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What other effect could this theory have on the weather? Could it explain the common occurrence of thunderstorms virtually vanishing as they approach the twin cities. Locally we've all watched that supercell in Perth Co. drifting this way only to rapidly disappear out towards Wellesley. A local storm chaser and I have discussed this a few times, but not even she has an explanation. I just call it the Waterloo Region 'weather bubble' ;)

 

Not sure about that. In Toronto that happens all the time because of the marine layer, but you're well inland. Might be that the most favourable area for the development of lake breeze convergence zone is more to your N & W?

 

Funny thing is that I always thought KW was an excellent spot for tsra development (not a severe guy so don't hold me to this).

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