WestCoaster Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Calling my Jan 4-5 forecast "hysterical". The icon next to Blizzard96's forecast of 7-8". You want to disagree, that's fine. But you've got to show more respect then you have been. I think you mistook my for = "that would be amazeballs" = "that would never happen" (I can't believe I have to justify emoticons!) I said that Jan 4-5 met what all of us were expecting for the most part, except for you. I recall a day or so before you were very angry in the complaint thread and said we would be lucky to get 1" of slop, but then you cooled down and nailed totals with your revision. It was in jest, it wasn't demeaning or insulting and I apologize if that's how you interpreted it. I think I have shrugged off a lot of what I would consider offline to be harassing behaviour towards me this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I think you mistook my for = "that would be amazeballs" = "that would never happen" (I can't believe I have to justify emoticons!) I said that Jan 4-5 met what all of us were expecting for the most part, except for you. I recall a day or so before you were very angry in the complaint thread and said we would be lucky to get 1" of slop, but then you cooled down and nailed totals with your revision. It was in jest, it wasn't demeaning or insulting and I apologize if that's how you interpreted it. I think I have shrugged off a lot of what I would consider offline to be harassing behaviour towards me this month. Fine. Apology accepted. I apologize too if I'm coming off as priggish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Why don't you give the full context. You wrote "lol" next to my forecast. And I won't repeat that type of boorish behaviour going forward. Any future conflict between you and I will be handled by the staff. No I didn't... Full context, as requested: 1-2" of slop is a lock! Temps at -0.1C here downtown That was what you quoted me when you made those disparaging remarks. I'm not seeing the rude "lol" worthy of that amount of venom. Anyway, I'm not going to continue with this discussion, it doesn't have a place on this forum. We are here to discuss the weather. I'm sorry to have stepped on your toes. I am under the impression that you are a sensible adult so I would kindly appreciate any issues you have with me personally to be resolved in PM. As always, if you feel any commentary made by me breaks any of the fundamental rules on this forum, then please report them promptly to the staff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Fine. Apology accepted. I apologize too if I'm coming off as priggish. Accepted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Now now guys, please stop all the fighting. Toronto looks like there in a prime spot for some snow the next 5-10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Fine. Apology accepted. I apologize too if I'm coming off as priggish. I think we've all entered a "snow drought fever" causing us to display irrational behavior towards one another, haha. No offense, but WestCoaster you do have a bias inside of you to underplay and punt everything thats more than 24 hours out. Forecasts are never accurate, and the same with models. If you can keep your composure through all the bullsh!t then your good. Your an amazing poster and I love reading your thoughts, but you need to stop being so uptight because a model or two didn't meet your expectations. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I think we've all entered a "snow drought fever" causing us to display irrational behavior towards one another, haha. No offense, but WestCoaster you do have a bias inside of you to underplay and punt everything thats more than 24 hours out. Forecasts are never accurate, and the same with models. If you can keep your composure through all the bullsh!t then your good. Your an amazing poster and I love reading your thoughts, but you need to stop being so uptight because a model or two didn't meet your expectations. . It's strange how earlier in the season I was labelled a weenie with too high expectations, and now I'm apparently the opposite! To be fair, every storm this season has met my expectations that I had about 72 hours beforehand, so I wouldn't consider myself to be too pessimistic or optimistic, more realistic. With the exception of the downtown storm earlier in December where I thought 8" was possible and I ended up with 6". I know that realistic is sometimes lumped in with pessimistic around here, so I need to watch for that. I appreciate the kind words. I love participating here and it hurts me to hear that I am rubbing people the wrong way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Saturday definitely has some interesting potential, specially areas with little impact from the lake. I do believe the mixing line will setup somewhere around the Niagara Frontier into the Eastern Niagara region. Would imagine most of the GTA and much of Southern Ontario for that matter will stay all snow. NAM looks quite good for our region. If GFS/NAM solution were to verify I wouldn't hesitate to say some areas go north of 6". GGEM seems to have the mixing line further west....with that sort of solution I would still see 2-4 inches being quite likely with parts of SW ON still seeing a good 6 inches. On another note...Snowstorms I see you said you have a 25-30cm snow pack while WestCoaster is sitting at 8cm. How far are you guys apart? Have a good snow pack here...would have to measure, probably similar to yours, higher in spots and lower in others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 No I didn't... Full context, as requested: That was what you quoted me when you made those disparaging remarks. I'm not seeing the rude "lol" worthy of that amount of venom. Anyway, I'm not going to continue with this discussion, it doesn't have a place on this forum. We are here to discuss the weather. I'm sorry to have stepped on your toes. I am under the impression that you are a sensible adult so I would kindly appreciate any issues you have with me personally to be resolved in PM. As always, if you feel any commentary made by me breaks any of the fundamental rules on this forum, then please report them promptly to the staff. Had a whole response for this but **** it. Apologies already doled out. No need to keep kicking a dead horse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Saturday definitely has some interesting potential, specially areas with little impact from the lake. I do believe the mixing line will setup somewhere around the Niagara Frontier into the Eastern Niagara region. Would imagine most of the GTA and much of Southern Ontario for that matter will stay all snow. NAM looks quite good for our region. If GFS/NAM solution were to verify I wouldn't hesitate to say some areas go north of 6". GGEM seems to have the mixing line further west....with that sort of solution I would still see 2-4 inches being quite likely with parts of SW ON still seeing a good 6 inches. On another note...Snowstorms I see you said you have a 25-30cm snow pack while WestCoaster is sitting at 8cm. How far are you guys apart? Have a good snow pack here...would have to measure, probably similar to yours, higher in spots and lower in others. About 30 km. YYZ has 9cm on the ground, Buttonville (closer to him) has 23cm, and those two airports are about a 20 km distance away. Pretty big gradient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 It's strange how earlier in the season I was labelled a weenie with too high expectations, and now I'm apparently the opposite! To be fair, every storm this season has met my expectations that I had about 72 hours beforehand, so I wouldn't consider myself to be too pessimistic or optimistic, more realistic. With the exception of the downtown storm earlier in December where I thought 8" was possible and I ended up with 6". I know that realistic is sometimes lumped in with pessimistic around here, so I need to watch for that. I appreciate the kind words. I love participating here and it hurts me to hear that I am rubbing people the wrong way Everyone who has enough enthusiasm about the weather to post in a weather forum is a big weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 In happier news... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/DGEXEAST_18z/dgexloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 18z GEFS look pretty good for YYZ. 10/12 members have the 540 line south of YYZ(albeit very close), one member goes north and the last member has the 540 line hugging the area for the entirety of the event. Good consensus on one very close call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I'm calling a 12cm snow with a 10:1 ratio.... Perhaps a little slop but mostly SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 In happier news... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/DGEXEAST_18z/dgexloop.html I like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 About 30 km. YYZ has 9cm on the ground, Buttonville (closer to him) has 23cm, and those two airports are about a 20 km distance away. Pretty big gradient! Sharp gradient indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I like. I fainted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Sharp gradient indeed. Snowdome encircled in red; two pink dots are my main locales where I get my measurements. You could tell especially during last Friday night's "event" that the areas within the snow forcefield had almost no radar returns for a good portion of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I'm calling a 12cm snow with a 10:1 ratio.... Perhaps a little slop but mostly SN. I think that Windsor will do very well with both systems upcoming. In terms of cold and snow I think Windsor has had a fabulous winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 F*ckin eh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Snowdome encircled in red; two pink dots are my main locales where I get my measurements. You could tell especially during last Friday night's "event" that the areas within the snow forcefield had almost no radar returns for a good portion of the event. It is a very tight gradient around the GTA. South Mississauga has about 15cm while north Brampton (30 minute drive) has over 30cm. Felt like I was in a different world up there tonight. The entire GTA is all over the place and I believe it is more pronounced this year because we have all retained a snowpack since mid December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 It is a very tight gradient around the GTA. South Mississauga has about 15cm while north Brampton (30 minute drive) has over 30cm. Felt like I was in a different world up there tonight. The entire GTA is all over the place and I believe it is more pronounced this year because we have all retained a snowpack since mid December. More of an ice pack after the ice storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 GFS continues to look impressive for this weekend (but looks absolutely awful for the Feb 5 storm) Curious to see the Canadian. Already looking bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Wow, Canadian couldn't have gone worse. Dry slut followed by rain. Barely any snow on that run. How bizarre. You've got the GFS showing 7" and the Canadian showing zip, and we're only a few days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Wow, Canadian couldn't have gone worse. Dry slut followed by rain. Barely any snow on that run. How bizarre. You've got the GFS showing 7" and the Canadian showing zip, and we're only a few days out. Geos posted a snowfall map from the GEM. It shows about 3" before the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Geos posted a snowfall map from the GEM. It shows about 3" before the changeover. But after the changeover I think it essentially becomes negated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 But after the changeover I think it essentially becomes negated That's an interesting perspective. But I think to most people here there's a big difference between 3" of snow then a changeover to rain, and no snow whatsoever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Mean temperature for the month as of yesterday is -8.9C for YYZ. January now running colder than 2009 and on pace to being the coldest in 10 years. What happens today and tomorrow will determine the final monthly mean temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 That's an interesting perspective. But I think to most people here there's a big difference between 3" of snow then a changeover to rain, and no snow whatsoever. I can understand that. Living on the west coast for a long time, our main source of snow in the lowlands was overrunning events. We'd get rain to snow with the passing arctic front into the cold, a few days of cold and sunny, followed by the transition out with snow to rain as the mild Pacific system comes in. Many times we'd get 15-30cm during the transition out and it would be completely gone 6 hours later, so I always have a very bad taste in my mouth when it comes to snow to rain scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The Muskoka's have had 12.3 feet of snow so far this winter, and 11 feet in northern Grey County. http://barrie.ctvnews.ca/record-snowfall-amounts-in-muskoka-and-thornbury-1.1663094 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.