on_wx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The Waterloo report is not mine UPDATED WEATHER SUMMARY FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND THE NATIONAL CAPITALREGION ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2:06 A.M. EST SUNDAY2 FEBRUARY 2014.FOLLOWING IS A SUMMARY OF SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RECEIVED BY ENVIRONMENTCANADA. FOR AREAS CLOSE TO LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO, LESSER AMOUNTSWERE REPORTED AS THE TEMPERATURE ROSE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARKCHANGING THE SNOW TO RAIN. GENERALLY BETWEEN 10 AND 15 CENTIMETRES OFSNOW FELL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO.THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED LATER THIS MORNING AS ADDITIONALINFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. SNOWFALL WARNINGS ARE STILL IN EFFECTFOR EASTERN ONTARIO WHERE SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL.THE VALUES IN THE TABLE BELOW ARE VALID AS OF 1.00 A.M. UNLESSOTHERWISE NOTED.LOCATION TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNT (CENTIMETRES)WINDSOR 11LONDON 9 (AS OF 10.00 P.M. SATURDAY)HAMILTON 9MOUNT FOREST 11WATERLOO 10 (AS OF 7.00 P.M. SATURDAY)BRAMPTON 13 (AS OF 12.00 A.M.)WOODBRIDGE 15TORONTO PEARSON 9BUTTONVILLE AIRPORT 10PETERBOROUGH 13KEMPTVILLE 14OTTAWA 16PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS SUMMARY MAY CONTAIN PRELIMINARY OR UNOFFICIALINFORMATION AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE A COMPLETE OR FINAL REPORT.END Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:27 AM, ayuud11 said: Photo doesn't show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:34 AM, BuffaloWeather said: Photo doesn't show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 4pm snap, snowfall was so fine the camera couldn't even pick it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Total snowfall came to 11cm here. Looks like we have a thin layer of ZR on top of the snow cover. Got really lucky that we had little to no rain yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:33 AM, WaterlooWx said: The Waterloo report is not mine UPDATED WEATHER SUMMARY FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND THE NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2:06 A.M. EST SUNDAY 2 FEBRUARY 2014. FOLLOWING IS A SUMMARY OF SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RECEIVED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. FOR AREAS CLOSE TO LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO, LESSER AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED AS THE TEMPERATURE ROSE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK CHANGING THE SNOW TO RAIN. GENERALLY BETWEEN 10 AND 15 CENTIMETRES OF SNOW FELL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO. THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED LATER THIS MORNING AS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. SNOWFALL WARNINGS ARE STILL IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN ONTARIO WHERE SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL. THE VALUES IN THE TABLE BELOW ARE VALID AS OF 1.00 A.M. UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED. LOCATION TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNT (CENTIMETRES) WINDSOR 11 LONDON 9 (AS OF 10.00 P.M. SATURDAY) HAMILTON 9 MOUNT FOREST 11 WATERLOO 10 (AS OF 7.00 P.M. SATURDAY) BRAMPTON 13 (AS OF 12.00 A.M.) WOODBRIDGE 15 TORONTO PEARSON 9 BUTTONVILLE AIRPORT 10 PETERBOROUGH 13 KEMPTVILLE 14 OTTAWA 16 PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS SUMMARY MAY CONTAIN PRELIMINARY OR UNOFFICIAL INFORMATION AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE A COMPLETE OR FINAL REPORT. END Generally it looks like the warning did not verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:38 AM, ayuud11 said: Those are nice maps. I like the specific numbers for given stations. Just wished they'd fix the ZR = SN problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:38 AM, ayuud11 said: It's good that we're likely to get something out of the Wednesday event, but nothing compared to what might have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Chris scott seems to be impressed with the potential as he is edging more towards a NAM like solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Spent the night in the Carlisle area of Hamilton that stayed all snow for the duration of the event, where there was about 15cm of accumulation. I drove back to my place which is on the border of Ancaster and Hamilton on the west mountain, and there is about 10cm, however it is cement, and my road is basically sheet ice. Parents said it rained for about 1-2 hours last evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 14.1cm is my final total with this storm. It looks amazing outside with all the trees covered up nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 12z GEM ramps up accums from a trace on the 0z run to 3-4" on the 12z run with the mid week storm. GFS also nudged north a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 2, 2014 Author Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 5:10 PM, blizzardof96 said: 12z GEM ramps up accums from a trace on the 0z run to 3-4" on the 12z run with the mid week storm. GFS also nudged north a bit. Good trends. Now that the previous system has passed and next will start getting into sampling range tonight, the models should start to lock on soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Ended up with 10cm in midtown and only 5cm downtown. Meh. Wednesdays storm as anticipated looks to be similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 5:10 PM, blizzardof96 said: 12z GEM ramps up accums from a trace on the 0z run to 3-4" on the 12z run with the mid week storm. GFS also nudged north a bit. Models aren't properly handling the S/W and are killing off the northern stream too quickly. As a result, you end up with disorganized bands on the northern fringe of the system, while all the moisture from the Gulf gets locked up on the warmer side. I suspect the models will come around in the coming day or two and show a more potent low affecting the region. At this point in time, I favor a track along the Ohio River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 5:22 PM, WestCoaster said: Ended up with 10cm in midtown and only 5cm downtown. Meh. Wednesdays storm as anticipated looks to be similar Maybe in reverse order though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The downtown Toronto station at the U of T reported 1.8 cm for Jan 31st. I'm sure that was from the early part of yesterday's storm. I think the observer did the daily morning measurement around 10-11 am yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro shows about 5-10cm for the GTA. Meh.....starting to lose faith with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 6:33 PM, Snowstorms said: Euro shows about 5-10cm for the GTA. Meh.....starting to lose faith with this one. My hope was tied to the models overdoing that extreme retrogression in the northern stream. They seem pretty adamant at this point though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:28 PM, blizzardof96 said: Chris scott seems to be impressed with the potential as he is edging more towards a NAM like solution. Like Canuck, Chris Scott is a meteorologist I have a lot of faith in, so we'll see. On 2/2/2014 at 6:33 PM, Snowstorms said: Euro shows about 5-10cm for the GTA. Meh.....starting to lose faith with this one. On 2/2/2014 at 6:47 PM, snowstormcanuck said: My hope was tied to the models overdoing that extreme retrogression in the northern stream. They seem pretty adamant at this point though. I wouldn't give up on it just yet. By the way, have you seen what the GFS is depicting for Sunday 9th? Wow! Looks like a similar track to January 2, 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:28 PM, blizzardof96 said: Chris scott seems to be impressed with the potential as he is edging more towards a NAM like solution. I've been following him closely for the last week and he went from impressed and hyped, to one tweet that started back-peddling and downplaying because of some model guidance that backed off, to then back to the former up to this point. Like OB said, I have faith in his judgment and is one of my favorite Canadian meteorologists. I hope that model image posted above is dead wrong, that would be awful for my area. Because of the uncertain totals for the next storm, my interest is higher for the one modeled Feb.9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:15 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: Like Canuck, Chris Scott is a meteorologist I have a lot of faith in, so we'll see. I wouldn't give up on it just yet. By the way, have you seen what the GFS is depicting for Sunday 9th? Wow! Looks like a similar track to January 2, 1999. If Wednesday was a miss for us, verification of the 12z GFS for Sunday/Monday would make that instantly forgotten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 5-10cm is still a nice shovelable snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:30 PM, snowstormcanuck said: 5-10cm is still a nice shovelable snow. The Euro is a close call. If it shifts a 100 miles more north were talking about 15cm then. Again, most models are shearing the northern stream away too quickly IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:33 PM, Snowstorms said: The Euro is a close call. If it shifts a 100 miles more north were talking about 15cm then. Again, most models are shearing the northern stream away too quickly IMO. Farnell tweeted 3 hours ago that he's still liking a bigger storm. That was before the full 12z suite though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:30 PM, snowstormcanuck said: 5-10cm is still a nice shovelable snow. I agree. Anything that builds our snowpack is good. One thing I am concerned about is the warming trend on the Euro around the 13th. I would really like this month to finish up below normal in the temperature department. Do you think Pearson will hit -20C this month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:48 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: I agree. Anything that builds our snowpack is good. One thing I am concerned about is the warming trend on the Euro around the 13th. I would really like this month to finish up below normal in the temperature department. Do you think Pearson will hit -20C this month? Already hit it 6 times when we only probably average 1-2/year. I'd say you're probably running out of luck in that department, especially considering we're now getting past the coldest part of the year. You never know though. I think Toronto's coldest temp so far this century happen in March of 2003. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 7:53 PM, snowstormcanuck said: Already hit it 6 times when we only probably average 1-2/year. I'd say you're probably running out of luck in that department, especially considering we're now getting past the coldest part of the year. You never know though. I think Toronto's coldest temp so far this century happen in March of 2003. You're right. I remember it well. Do you think February will end up below average temperature-wise. Coldest February this century thus far is 2007. Might not beat that (mean of -8.4c) but if we can beat 2003 (mean -7.0c) we can make it into second place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 8:13 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: You're right. I remember it well. Do you think February will end up below average temperature-wise. Coldest February this century thus far is 2007. Might not beat that (mean of -8.4c) but if we can beat 2003 (mean -7.0c) we can make it into second place. Honestly, I'm not an LR guy OB. So I'll abstain from making any predictions. It's a short month and at least the first 10 days look below normal. That'll help. After that, who knows, but I've heard the CFS looks favourable for cold the majority of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Quite a range of outcomes for Tuesday night and Wednesday snowfall, but I am optimistic this will deliver 15-20 cm for GTA. I would speculate the month will be 1.5 C deg below normal, a cold regime will last into early March, then it will reverse to above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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