PB GFI Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Day 10- and still coming NE , It`s on the Euro Ensembles too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Day 10- and still coming NE , It`s on the Euro Ensembles too IF you take the euro as is, we'd have a two foot snow cover by the 11th or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Day 10 system Euro ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Okay first order of business, the Super Bowl is cold and dry on the 18z GFS. System gets squashed to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Would be crazy if the long range 12z gefs has any clue. Just takes all siberian cold and dumping it into canada. Has shown this a couple times if I'm not mistaken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The Polar Vortex will be tilted in a manner that will pump up the SE ridge some and create a gradient pattern. These systems tend to track right over the boundary like a low pressure system moving up a stationary front. It will come down to the orientation of this boundary and climo would suggest a track well west to the lakes or south of our area. IDK maybe I'll end up being wrong, and if that's the case I'll be the first to admit it, but I stand by what I've been saying all along, This isn't going to cut. I hope you are right but not looking good at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Ugly GFS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 This is what is waiting after and " if " storm number 2 materializes on the EC next weekend . Imagine that over snowcover . Don't let the mid 40`s Sat and Sun fool you , it comes back in a big way . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 January has crack the top ten snowiest at all major locations except Bdr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happy pappy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro is a major snowstorm day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro is a major snowstorm day 10. Yup. That's some beauty there. I think I know why this one is more likely to pummel the I-95, but I'll get into that next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro is a major snowstorm day 10. And another epic winter weather event in the south, I think the city of Atlanta will evacuate a day in advance if this one happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro is a major snowstorm day 10. If those maps verified you'd have more than just a major snowstorm. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The snowmap has huge amounts for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. That would be a MECS/HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The snowmap has huge amounts for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. That would be a MECS/HECS. Those clown maps, those clown maps, those clown maps ... It is like Bozo drank some Kool Aid, and drew up the maps himself. "OOOOOOh Yeah". "They are indescribably beautiful, it's like the fourth of July." quote from " A Christmas Story". I'd take those maps over that stupid lamp any day. I'd would rather watch the snow bury that ugly lamp as the inches rapidly accumulate until that beast disappears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The 06Z GFS has the same massive snowstorm that the 00Z ECM has @HR 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happy pappy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The 06Z GFS has the same massive snowstorm that the 00Z ECM has @HR 240. USA_PCPPRSTMP_2m_240.gif very strong signal for something big around the 8th or 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 very strong signal for something big around the 8th or 9th. What's pretty creepy about this is that the H5 map is pretty similar between this run and the 00Z ECM's map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 What's pretty creepy about this is that the H5 map is pretty similar between this run and the 00Z ECM's map. The weekend threat has upper NESIS scale ramifications with what it has to work with. TONS of moisture from a Miller A and cold air not lacking on the EC and couple that with a BM track, not to mention it doesnt look like a fast mover. This will indeed be week in winter weather to remember in our lives if this comes to fruition starting monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The 06Z GFS has the same massive snowstorm that the 00Z ECM has @HR 240. USA_PCPPRSTMP_2m_240.gif Massive storm, but close to rain for NYC and is rain for much of Central/Southern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Massive storm, but close to rain for NYC and is rain for much of Central/Southern NJ. Don't believe the hype . This one is the real deal . DC to Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Don't believe the hype . This one is the real deal . DC to Boston This is our MECS/HECS storm of the year right here paul. Ill take a driving rainstorm wednesday to cash in on this strong pornography. This has the POTENTIAL to be a crippling NESIS 4+ blizzard from DC-BOSTON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro, GFS both have the aforementioned system. GFS Ensembles in great agreement for this extended range. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRS_6z/f240.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 This is our MECS/HECS storm of the year right here paul. Ill take a driving rainstorm wednesday to cash in on this strong pornography. This has the POTENTIAL to be a crippling NESIS 4+ blizzard from DC-BOSTON Not sure if that`s a full scale 12 to 24 , ( the clown maps looks pretty ) but they are just that .I think the lower end is there and is from DC to Boston . At 10 days out , I just like that all the ensembles see it this far out . Its possible , but 78 -93 - 96 - 2010 usually have some spacing to them , we had em 3 years apart in the 90`s maybe we can pull it off again, but a 4 maybe asking too much . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro, GFS both have the aforementioned system. GFS Ensembles in great agreement for this extended range. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRS_6z/f240.gif Cold will be there and so will the moisture. This one has the ingredients for something historic if all the stars line up to so to speak john. The mid week storm will set this up nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Euro, GFS both have the aforementioned system. GFS Ensembles in great agreement for this extended range http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRS_6z/f240.gif Didnt you say the cmc had it also ? Aka.. the crazy canadian as you called it..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Cold will be there and so will the moisture. This one has the ingredients for something historic if all the stars line up to so to speak john. The mid week storm will set this up nicely Ryan , not sure how old you are , but if you followed weather back in March 2001 , you would have gotten you`re first real glimpse of how a lock BOMB on the models can turn into dust very quickly . Not to mention 100`s of others since . I am loving that the ensembles see this and modeling is better 12 yrs later , but they are mathematical atmospheric solutions and sometimes they go POOF , day at a time brother . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I hope you guys are right but I am holding excitement at bay for now, because the February 4th-6th storm was showing the samething and now looks like a costal hugger,/ rain for the city, however looks great for interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Ryan , not sure how old you are , but if you followed weather back in March 2001 , you would have gotten you`re first real glimpse of how a lock BOMB on the models can turn into dust very quickly . Not to mention 100`s of others since . I am loving that the ensembles see this and modeling is better 12 yrs later , but they are mathematical atmospheric solutions and sometimes they go POOF , day at a time brother . Im 27 but i remember the shear dissapointment that was march 2001. Forecasted to get 20-30" of snow and i got 7" and rain/snow. I hear you im just stoked with the possibilities and who wouldnt be. My excitement is quelled inside, by sunday/monday we'll see if this storm really does want to deliver the goods paul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Im 27 but i remember the shear dissapointment that was march 2001. Forecasted to get 20-30" of snow and i got 7" and rain/snow. I hear you im just stoked with the possibilities and who wouldnt be. My excitement is quelled inside, by sunday/monday we'll see if this storm really does want to deliver the goods paul. Here in Philly the GFS was forecasting almost 40" of snow a few days out for March 2001, if you google it a guy in the NE forum posted a pretty cool summary of how it all played out on the models. I was just getting into following the models at that point. I'll personally NEVER forget the ETA model that went way North on Friday night before the storm, heartbreak at its finest. 24 hours out the GFS was still calling for 6-10" in Philly. People we're hanging onto the GFS because of how it crushed the ETA during the Dec 30 2000 storm. Back then the EURO only came out at 12z, and maps weren't released until around 7-8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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